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  • 1
    UID:
    gbv_1696615798
    Format: 1 online resource (104 pages)
    ISBN: 9780833082442
    Content: A comprehensive review of historical insurgencies that ended in settlement after a military stalemate shows that these negotiations followed a similar path that can be generalized into a âÂÂmaster narrativeâ of seven steps executed in a common sequence. Such a narrative could help guide and assess the progress of a similar approach to resolving the conflict in Afghanistan as U.S. forces prepare to withdraw.
    Content: Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures and Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- From Stalemate to Settlement: Lessons for Afghanistan from Historical Insurgencies That Have Been Resolved Through Negotiations -- Introduction -- How to Reach a Negotiated Settlement in Counterinsurgency Warfare -- The Notion of a Master Narrative -- Methods: Getting to a Master Narrative -- Previous RAND Research: Paths to Victory -- Developing the Master Narrative -- The Master Narrative -- Step 1: Military Stalemate and War-Weariness -- Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners or Non-Adversaries -- Step 3: Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected) -- Step 4: Official Intermediate Agreements -- Step 5: Power-Sharing Offers -- Step 6: Moderation of Insurgent Leadership -- Step 7: Third-Party Guarantors -- Sequences in the Individual Cases -- Extended Example: Northern Ireland, 1969-1999 -- Step 1: Military Stalemate and War-Weariness -- Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners -- Step 3: Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected) -- Step 4: Official Intermediate Agreements -- Step 5: Power-Sharing Offers -- Step 6: Moderation of Insurgent Leadership -- Step 7: Third-Party Guarantor -- Twelve Additional Cases of Historical Insurgency Settled Through Negotiation -- Yemen, 1962-1970 -- Philippines (MNLF), 1971-1996 -- Lebanese Civil War, 1975-1990 -- Western Sahara, 1975-1991 -- Mozambique (RENAMO), 1976-1995 -- Indonesia (Aceh), 1976-2005 -- Kampuchea, 1978-1992 -- Bosnia, 1992-1995 -- Tajikistan, 1992-1997 -- Burundi, 1993-2003 -- Chechnya I, 1994-1996 -- Democratic Republic of the Congo (Anti-Kabila), 1998-2003 -- Following the Master Narrative Toward an End Game in Afghanistan -- Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners.
    Note: Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
    Additional Edition: ISBN 9780833082374
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 9780833082374
    Language: English
    Keywords: Electronic books
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 2
    UID:
    gbv_1696570972
    Format: 1 online resource (86 pages)
    ISBN: 9780833058300
    Content: A RAND team conducted a Delphi expert elicitation exercise, the results of which offer an assessment of the contemporary security situation in Mexico through the lens of existing RAND research on urban instability and unrest, historical insurgencies, and defense-sector reform. Assessment scorecards from these projects were used to obtain input from the expert panel and to guide the resulting discussion.
    Content: Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Preface -- Contents -- Figures and Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Abbreviations -- Chapter One: Introduction -- The Evolution of Mexican Drug-Trafficking Organizations -- Origins of This Study -- Urban Unrest and Instability -- Counterinsurgency -- Defense-Sector Reform -- Labelling the Perpetrators and the Implications Thereof -- Organization of This Monograph -- Chapter Two: Methods and Approach: Applying Existing RAND Research Tools to Mexico -- The Urban Flashpoints Scorecard -- The Victory Has a Thousand Fathers Counterinsurgency Scorecard -- The Defense Sector Assessment Rating Tool Scorecard -- The Delphi Method for Expert Elicitation -- Chapter Three: Results from the RAND Mexican Security Delphi Exercise -- The RAND Mexican Security Delphi Exercise Process -- Delphi-Derived Scores for the Three Scorecards -- Delphi Discussion -- Chapter Four: Findings from the Urban Flashpoints Scorecard -- Mexico's Urban Flashpoints Vulnerability Score -- Flashpoint Factors of Concern in Mexico -- Flashpoint Factors for Which Concensus Was Lacking and Other Items of Interest from the Delphi Discussion -- Chapter Five: Findings from the Counterinsurgency Scorecard -- Is Mexico Like Historical Insurgencies? -- Mexico's Counterinsurgency Scorecard Score -- Mexico in Comparison with 30 Historical Cases of Insurgency -- Counterinsurgency Scorecard Factors for Which Consensus Was Lacking and Other Items of Interest from the Delphi Discussion -- Chapter Six: Findings from the Defense Sector Assessment Rating Tool Scorecard -- Assessment of Mexico's Counternarcotics Capabilities -- Assessment of Mexico's Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency Capabilities -- Assessment of Mexico's Border and Maritime Security Capabilities -- Overall Findings -- Chapter Seven: Conclusions and Suggestions for Further Research.
    Note: Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
    Additional Edition: ISBN 9780833058270
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 9780833058270
    Language: English
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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