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  • GBV  (16)
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  • 1
    UID:
    (DE-627)89114515X
    ISBN: 3319496034
    In: International Conference "Breakthrough Technologies of the 21st Century and their Transformative Power on the Existing Industrial Structure and Socioeconomic Realm" (3. : 2016 : Sankt Petersburg), Industry 4.0, Cham, Switzerland : Springer, 2017, (2017), Seite 243-261, 3319496034
    In: 9783319841977
    In: 9783319496030
    In: year:2017
    In: pages:243-261
    Language: English
    Keywords: Kongressbeitrag ; Aufsatz im Buch
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  • 2
    UID:
    (DE-627)1702868729
    ISSN: 0040-1625
    In: Technological forecasting & social change, Amsterdam : Elsevier, 1970, 155(2020) vom: Juni, Seite 1-15, 0040-1625
    In: volume:155
    In: year:2020
    In: month:06
    In: pages:1-15
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
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  • 3
    UID:
    (DE-627)1813976503
    ISSN: 0040-1625
    In: Technological forecasting & social change, Amsterdam : Elsevier, 1970, 175(2022) vom: Feb., Seite 1-10, 0040-1625
    In: volume:175
    In: year:2022
    In: month:02
    In: pages:1-10
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
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  • 4
    UID:
    (DE-627)1028111649
    ISSN: 0040-1625
    In: Technological forecasting & social change, Amsterdam : Elsevier, 1970, 115(2017), Seite 52-68, 0040-1625
    In: volume:115
    In: year:2017
    In: pages:52-68
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
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  • 5
    UID:
    (DE-627)1653641053
    Format: Online-Ressource (XVIII, 265 p. 77 illus., 59 illus. in color, online resource)
    ISBN: 9783319412627
    Series Statement: International Perspectives on Social Policy, Administration, and Practice
    Content: This thought-provoking monograph analyzes long- medium- and short-term global cycles of prosperity, recession, and depression, plotting them against centuries of important world events. Major research on economic and political cycles is integrated to clarify evolving relationships between the global center and its periphery as well as current worldwide economic upheavals and potential future developments. Central to this survey are successive waves of industrial and, later, technological and cybernetic progress, leading to the current era of globalization and the changes of the roles of both Western powers and former minors players, however that will lead to the formation of the world order without a hegemon. Additionally, the authors predict what they term the Great Convergence, the lessening of inequities between the global core and the rest of the world, including the wealth gap between First and Third World nations. Among the topics in this ambitious volume: · Why politics is often omitted from economic analysis. · Why economic cycles are crucial to understanding the modern geopolitical landscape. · How the aging of the developed world will affect world technological and economic future. · The evolving technological forecast for Global North and South. · Where the U.S. is likely to stand on the future world stage. Economic Cycles, Crises, and the Global Periphery will inspire discussion and debate among sociologists, global economists, demographers, global historians, and futurologists. This expert knowledge is necessary for further research, proactive response, and preparedness for a new age of sociopolitical change
    Content: Introduction: cyclical and world-systemic aspects of economic reality with respect to contemporary crisis -- Kondratieff waves in the world system perspective -- Interaction between Kondratieff waves and juglar cycles -- From Kondratieff waves to Akamatsu waves? A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles -- Conclusion: new Kondratieff waves and forthcoming global social transformation
    Additional Edition: 9783319412603
    Additional Edition: Druckausg. Grinin, Leonid Efimovič, 1958 - Economic cycles, crises, and the global periphery [Cham] : Springer, 2016 3319412604
    Additional Edition: 9783319412603
    Additional Edition: Printed edition 9783319412603
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics
    RVK:
    Keywords: Konjunkturzyklus ; Finanzkrise
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Cover
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  • 6
    UID:
    (DE-627)1031843051
    Format: Online-Ressource (XVII, 364 p. 50 illus., 45 illus. in color, online resource)
    Edition: Springer eBook Collection. Political Science and International Studies
    ISBN: 9783319910772
    Series Statement: Perspectives on Development in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region
    Content: This book provides an in-depth analysis of public opinion patterns among Muslims, particularly in the Arab world. On the basis of data from the World Values Survey, the Arab Barometer Project and the Arab Opinion Index, the author compares the dynamics of Muslim opinion structures with global publics and arrives at social scientific predictions of value change in the region. Using country factor scores from a variety of surveys, the author also develops composite indices of support for democracy and a liberal society on a global level and in the Muslim world, and analyzes a multivariate model of opinion structures in the Arab world, based on over 40 variables from 12 countries in the Arab League and covering 67% of the total population of the Arab countries. While being optimistic about the general, long-term trend towards democracy and the resilience of Arab and Muslim civil society against Islamism, the author also highlights anti-semitic trends in the region and discusses them in the larger context of xenophobia in traditional societies
    Content: 1.Introduction. Why Arab Spring Became Arab Winter? -- 2. The Middle East in the World System Context in Comparison with India and China: Some Backgrounds of Islamism in the MENA Region -- 3. Islamism and its Role in Modern Islamic Societies -- 4. Perturbations in the Arab World during the Arab Spring: A General Analysis -- 5.Arab Spring, Revolutions, and the Democratic Values -- 6.Background -- 7.Methods and Data for the Analysis -- 8.What We Really Know about Mass Support for Radical Islamism as the Ideology of Islamist Terrorism -- 9.The Arab World Between the Arab Spring and Support for Terrorism - What We Know from Opinion Research and What the Multivariate Can Tell Us -- 10. The Solitude of the West in the Fight Against Terror - What We Know from Opinion Research and What the Multivariate Analysis Can Tell Us -- 11. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy -- 12. Islamism, Arab Spring and the Future of Democracy
    Additional Edition: 9783319910765
    Additional Edition: 9783319910789
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 978-3-319-91076-5
    Additional Edition: Printed edition 9783319910765
    Additional Edition: Printed edition 9783319910789
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 7
    UID:
    (DE-627)104760664X
    Format: 430 Seiten , Diagramme
    Edition: Izdanie stereotipnoe
    Original writing title: О причинах русской революции
    Original writing publisher: Москва : URSS
    ISBN: 9785382018256
    Series Statement: Alʹmamach "Istorija i matematika" 7
    Note: In kyrillischer Schrift, Text russisch
    Language: Russian
    Keywords: Februarrevolution ; Oktoberrevolution ; Ursache ; Malthusianismus ; Geschichte 1880-1917
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  • 8
    UID:
    (DE-627)1813806152
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (XXI, 1061 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9783030864682
    Series Statement: Societies and political orders in transition
    Content: Introduction. Changing Yet Persistent: Revolutions and Revolutionary Events -- 1 Aims of this Volume -- 2 Revolutions Change Their Types and Forms Over the Course of History -- 3 Toward a Typology of Revolutionary Events -- 4 Waves of Revolutions of the Twenty-First Century -- 5 Revolutions of the 21st Century: A List -- 6 The Structure of This Volume -- References -- The Phenomenon and Theories of Revolution -- The Phenomenon and Theories of Revolutions -- 1 The Changing Theories of Revolution -- 2 The Phenomenon of Revolution -- 3 Conclusion -- References -- On Revolutionary Situations, Stages of Revolution, and Some Other Aspects of the Theory of Revolution -- 1 Introductory Notes -- 2 Impact of Revolutions on the World System -- 2.1 The Mutual Influence Between Revolutions and the World System -- 2.2 Revolutions as a Geopolitical Weapon and Reduction of Their Positive Role in the Beginning of the Twenty-First Century -- 3 On the Revolutionary Situation -- 3.1 A General Revolutionary Situation and Objective Conditions for Its Emergence -- 3.2 Features of an Acute Pre-revolutionary Crisis -- 3.3 A Particular Revolutionary Situation -- 4 About Great Revolutions -- 5 Stages of Revolutionary Change -- 5.1 A Revolutionary Cycle -- 5.2 Revolution and the Thermidorian Law -- 5.3 Ideology and the Thermidorian Law -- 5.4 Bonapartism -- 6 On the Cases When the Elite Loses Its Sense of Self-Preservation -- 7 On the Role of Information Technologies in Revolutionary Practices -- References -- Revolutions, Counterrevolutions, and Democracy -- 1 The Problems and Contradictions of Young Democratic Societies -- 2 Revolutions and Reactions -- 3 Why Is the Path to Sustainable Democracy so Hard? -- 4 Minority and Majority in Revolutions.
    Additional Edition: 9783030864675
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe 9783030864675
    Language: English
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  • 9
    UID:
    (DE-627)1804280216
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (XXI, 1061 Seiten)
    ISBN: 9783030864682
    Series Statement: Societies and Political Orders in Transition
    Content: 1. Introduction. Changing yet Persistent: Revolutions and Revolutionary Events -- 2. The Phenomenon and Theories of Revolution -- 3. On Revolutionary Situations, Stages of Revolution, and Some Other Aspects of the Theory of Revolution -- 4. Revolutions, Counterrevolutions, and Democracy -- 5. Revolutions and Historical Process -- 6. Evolution and Typology of Revolutions -- 7. The “Problem of Structure and Agency” and Contemporary Sociology of Revolution and Social Movements -- 8. Revolution and Modernization Traps -- 9. Typology and Principles of Dynamics of Revolutionary Waves in World History -- 10. Revolutionary Waves of the Early Modern Period: Types and Phases -- 11. The European Revolutions and Revolutionary Waves of the 19th Century: Their Causes and Consequence -- 12. Revolutionary Waves and Lines of the 20th Century -- 13. On Revolutionary Waves since the 16th Century -- 14. All Around the World: Revolutionary Potential in the Age of Authoritarian Revanchism -- 15. “Color” Revolutions. Successes and Limitations of Non-Violent Protest -- 16. The Bulldozer Revolution in Serbia -- 17. Serbian “Otpor” and the Color Revolutions’ diffusion -- 18. The Rose Revolution in Georgia -- 19. The Orange Revolution in Ukraine -- 20. Revolutions in Kyrgyzstan -- 21. ‘Moldovan Spring’ 2009. The Atypical ‘Revolution’ of April 7 and the Days that Followed.-22. The Green Movement in Iran: 2009–2010 -- 23. The Arab Spring: Causes, Conditions, and Driving Forces -- 24. The Jasmine Revolution in Tunisia and the Birth of the Arab Spring Uprisings -- 25. Egypt’s 2011 Revolution. A Demographic Structural Analysis -- 26. The Arab Spring in Yemen -- 27. The Syrian Revolution -- 28. Revolution in Libya -- 29. The Extent of Military Involvement in Non-Violent, Civilian Revolts and Their Aftermath -- 30. The Arab Spring: A Quantitative Analysis -- 31. Global Echo of the Arab Spring -- 32. Euromaidan Revolution in Ukraine -- 33. Two Experiences of the Islamic “Revival”: The 1979 Islamic Revolution in Iran and the Formation of the Islamic State in Syria and Iraq in the 2010s -- 34. Turkey. The (Gülen) Cemaat and the State: An Unfinished Conquest -- 35. The Armenian Revolution of 2018: A Historical-Sociological Interpretation -- 36. Modern Protest Civil Movements in Sub-Saharan Africa in the Context of Global Political Destabilization -- 37. Articulating the Web of Transnational Social Movements -- 38. Revolutions of the 21st Century as a Factor of the World System Reconfiguration -- 39. Global Inequality and World Revolutions: Past, Present and Future -- 40. Revolution Forecasting. Formulation of the Problem -- 41. Conclusion. How Many Revolutions.
    Content: The 21st century has witnessed a considerable and increasing number of political revolutions around the world. This contradicts the popular belief of many experts in the 1970s that revolutions occurred mainly in monarchies and empires. Instead, the revolutions of this century have several new characteristics, which call for a renewed analysis of the subject. This handbook offers a comparative perspective on the new wave of revolutions of the last decade. Presenting case studies on the color revolutions, the Arab revolutions of 2010–2011, and the global wave of revolutions in 2013–2018 that spanned regions ranging from Africa to the Caucasus, it offers a better understanding of the varied forms, features, and historical backgrounds of revolutions, as well as their causes. Accordingly, it highlights recent revolutions in their historical and world-systems contexts. The handbook is divided into seven parts, the first of which examines the history of views on revolution and important aspects of the theory of revolution. The second part analyzes revolutions within long-term historical trends and in their world-system contexts. In turn, the third part explores specific major revolutionary waves in history. The fourth part analyzes the first revolutionary wave of the 21st century (2000–2009), the so-called color revolutions, while the fifth discusses the second wave – the Arab Spring (2010–2013) – as an important turning point. The sixth part is dedicated to analyzing revolutions and revolutionary movements beyond the Arab Spring and some revolutionary events from the third wave that began in 2018. The seventh and final part offers forecasts on the future of revolutions. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars and students from various disciplines interested in historical trends, sociopolitical change, contentious politics, social movements, and revolutionary processes involving both nonviolent campaigns and political violence. "Once again, this volume demonstrates the kind of open-minded, systematic analysis that the field of revolutionary studies requires." (Prof. George Lawson, Department of International Relations, Australian National University Canberra).
    Additional Edition: 9783030864675
    Additional Edition: 9783030864699
    Additional Edition: 9783030864705
    Language: English
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  • 10
    UID:
    (DE-627)1815219831
    Format: xxi, 1061 Seiten , Illustrationen, Diagramme
    ISBN: 9783030864675 , 9783030864705
    Series Statement: Societies and political orders in transition
    Note: Literaturangaben
    Additional Edition: 9783030864682
    Language: English
    Subjects: Political Science
    RVK:
    Keywords: Aufsatzsammlung
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