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  • Online Resource  (5)
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  • HTW Berlin
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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Cham, Switzerland] :Springer,
    UID:
    almahu_BV043746281
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (xiv, 425 Seiten) : , Illustrationen, Diagramme (teilweise farbig).
    Edition: Third edition
    ISBN: 978-3-319-29854-2
    Series Statement: Springer texts in statistics
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe, Hardcover ISBN 978-3-319-29852-8
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics , Mathematics
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Prognose ; Zeitreihenanalyse ; Lehrbuch ; Lehrbuch ; Lehrbuch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Cover
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 2
    UID:
    almahu_9947362885802882
    Format: XIV, 437 p. , online resource.
    ISBN: 9780387216577
    Series Statement: Springer Texts in Statistics,
    Content: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory accessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and nonstationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introductions are also given to cointegration and to nonlinear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.
    Note: Stationary Processes -- ARMA Models -- Spectral Analysis -- Modeling and Forecasting with ARMA Processes -- Nonstationary and Seasonal Time Series Models -- Multivariate Time Series -- State-Space Models -- Forecasting Techniques -- Further Topics -- Erratum.
    In: Springer eBooks
    Additional Edition: Printed edition: ISBN 9780387953519
    Language: English
    Keywords: Lehrbuch ; Lehrbuch
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    URL: Cover
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York, NY :Springer New York :
    UID:
    almahu_9947363080102882
    Format: XIII, 422 p. , online resource.
    ISBN: 9781475725261
    Series Statement: Springer Texts in Statistics,
    Content: Some of the key mathematical results are stated without proof in order to make the underlying theory acccessible to a wider audience. The book assumes a knowledge only of basic calculus, matrix algebra, and elementary statistics. The emphasis is on methods and the analysis of data sets. The logic and tools of model-building for stationary and non-stationary time series are developed in detail and numerous exercises, many of which make use of the included computer package, provide the reader with ample opportunity to develop skills in this area. The core of the book covers stationary processes, ARMA and ARIMA processes, multivariate time series and state-space models, with an optional chapter on spectral analysis. Additional topics include harmonic regression, the Burg and Hannan-Rissanen algorithms, unit roots, regression with ARMA errors, structural models, the EM algorithm, generalized state-space models with applications to time series of count data, exponential smoothing, the Holt-Winters and ARAR forecasting algorithms, transfer function models and intervention analysis. Brief introducitons are also given to cointegration and to non-linear, continuous-time and long-memory models. The time series package included in the back of the book is a slightly modified version of the package ITSM, published separately as ITSM for Windows, by Springer-Verlag, 1994. It does not handle such large data sets as ITSM for Windows, but like the latter, runs on IBM-PC compatible computers under either DOS or Windows (version 3.1 or later). The programs are all menu-driven so that the reader can immediately apply the techniques in the book to time series data, with a minimal investment of time in the computational and algorithmic aspects of the analysis.
    Note: 1. Introduction -- 2. Stationary Processes -- 3. ARMA Models -- 4. Spectral Analysis -- 5. Modelling and Forecasting with ARMA Processes -- 6. Nonstationary and Seasonal Time Series Models -- 7. Multivariate Time Series -- 8. State-Space Models -- 9. Forecasting Techniques -- 10. Further Topics -- A. Random Variables and Probability Distributions -- A.1. Distribution Functions and Expectation -- A.2. Random Vectors -- A.3. The Multivariate Normal Distribution -- Problems -- B. Statistical Complements -- B.1. Least Squares Estimation -- B.1.1. The Gauss-Markov Theorem -- B.1.2. Generalized Least Squares -- B.2. Maximum Likelihood Estimation -- B.2.1. Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators -- B.3. Confidence Intervals -- B.3.1. Large-Sample Confidence Regions -- B.4. Hypothesis Testing -- B.4.1. Error Probabilities -- B.4.2. Large-Sample Tests Based on Confidence Regions -- C. Mean Square Convergence -- C.1. The Cauchy Criterion -- D. An ITSM Tutorial -- D.1. Getting Started -- D.1.1. Running PEST -- D.2. Preparing Your Data for Modelling -- D.2.1. Entering Data -- D.2.2. Filing Data -- D.2.3. Plotting Data -- D.2.4. Transforming Data -- D.3. Finding a Model for Your Data -- D.3.1. The Sample ACF and PACF -- D.3.2. Entering a Model -- D.3.3. Preliminary Estimation -- D.3.4. The AICC Statistic -- D.3.5. Changing Your Model -- D.3.6. Maximum Likelihood Estimation -- D.3.7. Optimization Results -- D.4. Testing Your Model -- D.4.1. Plotting the Residuals -- D.4.2. ACF/PACF of the Residuals -- D.4.3. Testing for Randomness of the Residuals -- D.5. Prediction -- D.5.1. Forecast Criteria -- D.5.2. Forecast Results -- D.5.3. Inverting Transformations -- D.6. Model Properties -- D.6.1. ARMA Models -- D.6.2. Model ACF, PACF -- D.6.3. Model Representations -- D.6.4. Generating Realizations of a Random Series -- D.6.5. Spectral Properties.
    In: Springer eBooks
    Additional Edition: Printed edition: ISBN 9781475725285
    Language: English
    Keywords: Lehrbuch
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York, NY :Springer New York :
    UID:
    almahu_9947362743702882
    Format: XVI, 580 p. , online resource.
    Edition: Second Edition.
    ISBN: 9781441903204
    Series Statement: Springer Series in Statistics,
    Content: This paperback edition is a reprint of the 1991 edition. Time Series: Theory and Methods is a systematic account of linear time series models and their application to the modeling and prediction of data collected sequentially in time. The aim is to provide specific techniques for handling data and at the same time to provide a thorough understanding of the mathematical basis for the techniques. Both time and frequency domain methods are discussed, but the book is written in such a way that either approach could be emphasized. The book is intended to be a text for graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the natural or social sciences. It contains substantial chapters on multivariate series and state-space models (including applications of the Kalman recursions to missing-value problems) and shorter accounts of special topics including long-range dependence, infinite variance processes, and nonlinear models. Most of the programs used in the book are available in the modeling package ITSM2000, the student version of which can be downloaded from http://www.stat.colostate.edu/~pjbrock/student06.
    Note: 1 Stationary Time Series -- 2 Hilbert Spaces -- 3 Stationary ARMA Processes -- 4 The Spectral Representation of a Stationary Process -- 5 Prediction of Stationary Processes -- 6* Asymptotic Theory -- 7 Estimation of the Mean and the Autocovariance Function -- 8 Estimation for ARMA Models -- 9 Model Building and Forecasting with ARIMA Processes -- 10 Inference for the Spectrum of a Stationary Process -- 11 Multivariate Time Series -- 12 State-Space Models and the Kalman Recursions -- 13 Further Topics -- Appendix: Data Sets.
    In: Springer eBooks
    Additional Edition: Printed edition: ISBN 9781441903198
    Language: English
    Keywords: Lehrbuch
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New York, NY :Springer New York :
    UID:
    almahu_9947363064102882
    Format: XIV, 520 p. , online resource.
    ISBN: 9781489900043
    Series Statement: Springer Series in Statistics,
    Content: We have attempted in this book to give a systematic account of linear time series models and their application to the modelling and prediction of data collected sequentially in time. The aim is to provide specific techniques for handling data and at the same time to provide a thorough understanding of the mathematical basis for the techniques. Both time and frequency domain methods are discussed but the book is written in such a way that either approach could be emphasized. The book is intended to be a text for graduate students in statistics, mathematics, engineering, and the natural or social sciences. It has been used both at the M. S. level, emphasizing the more practical aspects of modelling, and at the Ph. D. level, where the detailed mathematical derivations of the deeper results can be included. Distinctive features of the book are the extensive use of elementary Hilbert space methods and recursive prediction techniques based on innovations, use of the exact Gaussian likelihood and AIC for inference, a thorough treatment of the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimators of the coefficients of univariate ARMA models, extensive illustrations of the tech­ niques by means of numerical examples, and a large number of problems for the reader. The companion diskette contains programs written for the IBM PC, which can be used to apply the methods described in the text.
    Note: Stationary Time Series -- Hilbert Spaces -- Stationary ARMA Processes -- The Spectral Representation of a Stationary Process -- Prediction of Stationary Processes -- Asymptotic Theory -- Estimation of the Mean and the Autocovariance Function -- Estimation for ARMA Models -- Model Building and Forecasting with ARIMA Processes -- Inference for the Spectrum of a Stationary Process -- Multivariate Time Series -- Further Topics.
    In: Springer eBooks
    Additional Edition: Printed edition: ISBN 9781489900067
    Language: English
    Keywords: Lehrbuch
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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