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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    MDPI AG ; 2021
    In:  Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Vol. 9, No. 7 ( 2021-07-16), p. 774-
    In: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, MDPI AG, Vol. 9, No. 7 ( 2021-07-16), p. 774-
    Abstract: In a modern economy, international trade is an important factor in the development of various regions. Shipping is one of the most important elements of the global supply chain. However, after the economic crisis of 2008, global shipping revenues plummeted. One way to restore profitability is the consolidation of shipping routes and the globalization of shipping lines. As container transport lines move to larger ships, the structure of the delivery route becomes a structure with intermediate points. This trend put forward higher demands on the port infrastructure, which aggravated the competition between regional ports, as well as ports that could degrade into a large cargo consolidation port. The economic advantage is enhanced by cooperation between shipping lines and ports. Thus, ports and shipping lines in the same supply chain can be mutually beneficial partners. The study analyses the effectiveness of horizontal and vertical cooperation between ports and carriers. As a source of information, a review of the literature on this issue, expert opinions, and statistical data is taken. Next, a mathematical model is built on the basis of cooperative game theory, and numerical analysis is carried out. The results show that the strategy of cooperation of shipping lines strongly depends on the situation with the supply and demand of vessels. A port that interacts with shipping lines will significantly reduce port charges, which creates the advantage of receiving more port requests. However, cooperation may lead to losses for the port, so a redistribution of profits is necessary to maintain the coalition.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2077-1312
    Language: English
    Publisher: MDPI AG
    Publication Date: 2021
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2738390-8
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Saint Petersburg State University ; 2020
    In:  Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Applied Mathematics. Computer Science. Control Processes Vol. 16, No. 3 ( 2020), p. 249-259
    In: Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Applied Mathematics. Computer Science. Control Processes, Saint Petersburg State University, Vol. 16, No. 3 ( 2020), p. 249-259
    Abstract: The case-based rate reasoning (CBRR) method is presented for predicting future values of the coronavirus epidemic’s main parameters in Russia, which makes it possible to build shortterm forecasts based on analogues of the percentage growth dynamics in other countries. A new heuristic method for estimating the duration of the transition process of the percentage increase between specified levels is described, taking into account information about the dynamics of epidemiological processes in countries of the spreading chain. The CBRR software module has been developed in the MATLAB environment, which implements the proposed approach and intelligent proprietary algorithms for constructing trajectories of predicted epidemic indicators.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 1811-9905 , 2542-2251
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: Saint Petersburg State University
    Publication Date: 2020
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Elsevier BV ; 2018
    In:  Value in Health Regional Issues Vol. 16 ( 2018-09), p. 39-45
    In: Value in Health Regional Issues, Elsevier BV, Vol. 16 ( 2018-09), p. 39-45
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2212-1099
    Language: English
    Publisher: Elsevier BV
    Publication Date: 2018
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2677520-7
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    MDPI AG ; 2021
    In:  Journal of Marine Science and Engineering Vol. 9, No. 3 ( 2021-02-28), p. 254-
    In: Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, MDPI AG, Vol. 9, No. 3 ( 2021-02-28), p. 254-
    Abstract: To create an autonomously moving vessel, it is necessary to know exactly how to determine the current coordinates of the vessel in the selected coordinate system, determine the actual trajectory of the vessel, estimate the motion trend to predict the current coordinates, and calculate the course correction to return to the line of the specified path. The navigational and hydrographic conditions of navigation on each section of the route determine the requirements for the accuracy of observations and the time spent on locating the vessel. The problem of predicting the trajectory of the vessel’s motion in automatic mode is especially important for river vessels or river-sea vessels, predicting the trajectory of the route sections during the maneuvering of the vessel. At the moment, one of the most accurate ways of determining the coordinates of the vessel is by reading the satellite signal. However, when a vessel is near hydraulic structures, problems may arise connected with obtaining a satellite signal due to interference and, therefore, the error in measuring the coordinates of the vessel increases. The likelihood of collisions and various kinds of incidents increases. In such cases, it is possible to correct the trajectory of the movement using an autonomous navigation system. In this work, opportunities of the possible application of artificial neural networks to create such a corrective system using only the coordinates of the ship’s position are discussed. It was found that this is possible on sections of the route where the ship does not maneuver.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2077-1312
    Language: English
    Publisher: MDPI AG
    Publication Date: 2021
    detail.hit.zdb_id: 2738390-8
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  • 5
    In: Problems of Endocrinology, Endocrinology Research Centre, Vol. 63, No. 5 ( 2017-12-11), p. 307-319
    Abstract: Background. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and its complications are the major causes of long-term disability, significant performance loss, and premature mortality. Poor glycemic control, diabetes-related complications, and insulin therapy are associated with a significant increase in diabetes costs. The high cost of insulin analogues restricts reimbursement of their costs in some countries. Comprehensive clinical and economic assessments of different insulin analogues are the useful tool that may help policy-makers to set priorities in medicine provision within the existing system of healthcare funding. Aim — to compare the clinical and economic effectiveness of insulin degludec (100 U/mL) and insulin glargine (100 U/mL) in basal-bolus therapy for T2DM. Material and methods. Economic evaluation was based on cost effectiveness analysis (CEA), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), cost effectiveness modelling (using 5-year time horizon), sensitivity analysis, and economic feasibility assessment. The clinical effectiveness was evaluated based on changes in the HbA1c level, frequency of severe hypoglycemia, and number of patient-years without complications. Only direct medical costs (costs for insulin therapy and treatment of severe hypoglycemia and diabetes-related complications) were analyzed. Results. The mean total direct medical costs amounted to 783,789 RUR/patient for degludec (of these, the cost of insulin therapy accounted for 68%) and 730,805 RUR/patient for glargine (of these, the costs for treatment of severe hypoglycemia and diabetes complications accounted for 62.58%). Degludec has a higher efficacy (additional HbA1c reduction by 0.52%), lower rate of severe hypoglycemia, and larger number of complication-free patient-years. Incremental costs (ICER) for degludec amounted to 101,236 RUR/patient (based on a decrease in the HbA1c level) and 353,224 RUR/patient (based on an increase in the number of complication-free patient-years); these values were 14.3- and 4.1-fold lower than the threshold of willingness-to-pay, respectively. Additional analysis of costs in patients with severe hypoglycemia rates of 3 and 〉 3 events/patient/year demonstrated that the estimated mean total costs for insulin degludec were lower by 5 and 23%, respectively, than those for insulin glargine. Conclusion. Our findings demonstrate the clinical and cost benefits of insulin degludec in T2DM patients, which supports its broader use in routine clinical practice for achieving the best glycemic control with minimal adverse effects.
    Type of Medium: Online Resource
    ISSN: 2308-1430 , 0375-9660
    URL: Issue
    Language: Unknown
    Publisher: Endocrinology Research Centre
    Publication Date: 2017
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