In:
Quality and life, Academy for Quality, Vol. 27, No. 3 ( 2020-09-23), p. 19-26
Abstract:
It is proposed to use the phenomenology of the well-known «scale strength factor» to construct a hardware platform for probabilistic modeling of the interaction kinetics of necessary and sufficient conditions for the occurrence of epidemics or pandemics. Exponential-plastic models have been obtained that reflect the characteristic features of these mass-population phenomena, which provide the possibility of probabilistic forecasting of various scenarios of their course. Examples of calculations based on the proposed probabilistic model are given and their correspondence to real statistical data on the development of morbidity in different countries is shown.
Type of Medium:
Online Resource
ISSN:
2312-5209
Uniform Title:
Вероятностная модель взаимодействия необходимых и достаточных условий массовой заболеваемости населения с учетом масштабно-популяционного фактора
DOI:
10.34214/2312-5209-2020-27-3
DOI:
10.34214/2312-5209-2020-27-3-19-26
Language:
Unknown
Publisher:
Academy for Quality
Publication Date:
2020
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