In:
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science (PLoS), Vol. 16, No. 10 ( 2021-10-22), p. e0258976-
Abstract:
Obligate coastline taxa generally occupy very limited areas, especially when there is a close affinity with a specific coast type. Climate change can be a meaningful threat for them, reducing suitable habitat or forcing migration events. Cistus ladanifer subsp. sulcatus is an endemic plant of Portugal, known to occur only in the top of its south-western coast’s prominent cliffs. In spite of being included in the annexes II and IV of the European Habitats Directive of Natura 2000 Network, this taxon is still understudied, especially regarding the effects of climate change on its distribution. To overcome such gap, Maxent was used to model the current distribution of C . ladanifer subsp. sulcatus and project its future distribution considering different General Circulation Models, periods (2050 and 2070) and Representation Concentration Pathways (4.5 and 8.5). The results suggested an extensive range contraction in the future, and extinction is a possible scenario. The proximity to littoral cliffs is crucial for this plant’s occurrence, but these formations are irregularly distributed along the coast, hindering range expansions, further inhibited by a small dispersal capacity. C istus ladanifer subsp. sulcatus will probably remain confined to south-western Portugal in the future, where it will continue to face relevant threats like human activity, reinforcing the need for its conservation.
Type of Medium:
Online Resource
ISSN:
1932-6203
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g001
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g002
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g003
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g004
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g005
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g006
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g007
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.g008
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.t001
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.t002
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.t003
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.s001
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.s002
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.s003
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.s004
DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0258976.s005
Language:
English
Publisher:
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Publication Date:
2021
detail.hit.zdb_id:
2267670-3
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