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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,
    UID:
    almahu_9948233554602882
    Format: 1 online resource (xii, 488 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).
    ISBN: 9780511614279 (ebook)
    Series Statement: Ecology, biodiversity, and conservation
    Content: This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a taxonomy of uncertainty and the importance of context. It provides a critical examination of the use and abuse of expert judgement and goes on to outline approaches to hazard identification and subjective ranking that account for uncertainty and context. The second part of the book describes technical tools that can assist risk assessments to be transparent and internally consistent. These include interval arithmetic, ecotoxicological methods, logic trees and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods have an established place in risk assessments in many disciplines and their strengths and weaknesses are explored. The last part of the book outlines some new approaches, including p-bounds and information-gap theory, and describes how quantitative and subjective assessments can be used to make transparent decisions.
    Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015).
    Additional Edition: Print version: ISBN 9780521835343
    Language: English
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 2
    UID:
    almahu_9948234245802882
    Format: 1 online resource (xiv, 412 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).
    ISBN: 9781139019606 (ebook)
    Content: With climate change and increasing globalisation of trade and travel, the risks presented by invasive pests and pathogens to natural environments, agriculture and economies have never been greater, and are only increasing with time. Governments world-wide are responding to these increased threats by strengthening quarantine and biosecurity. This book presents a comprehensive review of risk-based techniques that help policy makers and regulators protect national interests from invasive pests and pathogens before, at, and inside national borders. Selected from the research corpus of the Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis at the University of Melbourne, this book provides solutions that reflect scientific rigour coupled with practical, hands-on applications. Focusing on surveillance, stochastic modelling, intelligence gathering, decision making and risk communication, the contents combine the strengths of risk analysts, mathematicians, economists, biologists and statisticians. The book presents tested scientific solutions to the greatest challenges faced by quarantine and biosecurity policy makers and regulators today.
    Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 17 Jul 2017).
    Additional Edition: Print version: ISBN 9780521765961
    Language: English
    Subjects: Biology
    RVK:
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge : Cambridge University Press
    UID:
    gbv_859312526
    Format: 1 online resource (214 pages)
    ISBN: 9781107112087 , 9781107112087 , 9781107531024 , 9781316282472
    Content: Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made
    Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 12 Feb 2016)
    Additional Edition: ISBN 9781107112087
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Burgman, Mark A., 1956 - Trusting judgements Cambridge (United Kingdom) : Cambridge University Press, 2016 ISBN 9781107531024
    Language: English
    Subjects: Natural Sciences , Political Science
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Politikberatung ; Politischer Berater ; Politische Entscheidung
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,
    UID:
    almahu_9947413847302882
    Format: 1 online resource (ix, 203 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).
    ISBN: 9781316282472 (ebook)
    Content: Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.
    Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 01 Feb 2016). , Machine generated contents note: Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. What's wrong with consulting experts?; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. What leads experts astray?; 4. Dealing with individual experts; 5. The wisdom of crowds revisited; 6. Tips to get the best out of experts; Appendix. Sources; References; Index.
    Additional Edition: Print version: ISBN 9781107112087
    Language: English
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 5
    Book
    Book
    London [u. a.] :Chapman & Hall,
    UID:
    almahu_BV025918609
    Format: VIII, 314 S. : , graph. Darst.
    ISBN: 0-412-35030-0
    Series Statement: Population and community biology series 12
    Language: English
    Subjects: General works
    RVK:
    Keywords: Populationsbiologie ; Naturschutz ; Populationsbiologie ; Mathematisches Modell ; Artenschutz ; Risikoanalyse
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 6
    Book
    Book
    Cambridge [u.a.] : Cambridge Univ. Press
    UID:
    b3kat_BV036792695
    Format: XII, 488 S. , Ill., graph. Darst.
    Edition: 3. print.
    ISBN: 9780521835343 , 9780521543019 , 0521835348 , 0521543010
    Series Statement: Ecology, biodiversity and conservation
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index
    Language: English
    Subjects: Biology , General works
    RVK:
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Naturschutz ; Risikomanagement ; Naturschutz ; Entscheidungsfindung ; Artenschutz ; Risikomanagement ; Artenschutz ; Entscheidung
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 7
    Book
    Book
    London [u.a.] : Chapman & Hall
    UID:
    gbv_1617908010
    Format: VIII, 314 S. , Ill., graph. Darst.
    Edition: Repr.
    ISBN: 0412350300
    Series Statement: Population and community biology series 12
    Note: Includes bibliographical references (p. [285]-308) and index
    Language: English
    Subjects: Biology
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Artenschutz ; Mathematisches Modell ; Populationsbiologie ; Risiko ; Untersuchungsmethode
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 8
    UID:
    almahu_BV044253277
    Format: xiv, 412 Seiten : , Diagramme, Karten.
    ISBN: 978-0-521-14674-6 , 978-0-521-76596-1
    Language: English
    Subjects: Geography , Biology
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Invasive Art ; Wildtiermanagement ; Risikoanalyse ; Aufsatzsammlung
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 9
    UID:
    gbv_733806333
    Format: graph. Darst.
    ISSN: 0888-8892
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 767 - 768
    In: Conservation biology, Malden, Mass. [u.a.] : Wiley-Blackwell, 1987, 26(2012), 5, Seite 760-768, 0888-8892
    In: volume:26
    In: year:2012
    In: number:5
    In: pages:760-768
    Language: English
    Author information: Gigerenzer, Gerd 1947-
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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  • 10
    Book
    Book
    New York :Cambridge University Press,
    UID:
    almahu_BV019865911
    Format: XII, 488 S. : , graph. Darst.
    ISBN: 0-521-83534-8 , 0-521-54301-0
    Series Statement: Ecology, biodiversity, and conservation
    Content: "This book outlines how to conduct a complete environmental risk assessment. The first part documents the psychology and philosophy of risk perception and assessment, introducing a taxonomy of uncertainty and the importance of context; it provides a critical examination of the use and abuse of expert judgement and goes on to outline approaches to hazard identification and subjective ranking that account for uncertainty and context. The second part of the book describes technical tools that can help risk assessments to be transparent and internally consistent; these include interval arithmetic, ecotoxicological methods, logic trees and Monte Carlo simulation. These methods have an established place in risk assessments in many disciplines and their strengths and weaknesses are explored
    Content: The last part of the book outlines some new approaches, including p-bounds and information-gap theory, and describes how quantitative and subjective assessments can be used to make transparent decisions."--BOOK JACKET
    Note: Includes bibliographical references and index
    Language: English
    Subjects: Biology , General works
    RVK:
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Keywords: Naturschutz ; Risikomanagement ; Naturschutz ; Entscheidungsfindung ; Artenschutz ; Risikomanagement ; Artenschutz ; Entscheidung
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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