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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cham : Palgrave Macmillan
    UID:
    b3kat_BV046137706
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (XIX, 128 Seiten)
    ISBN: 9783030214326
    Series Statement: Palgrave texts in econometrics
    Note: Additional material to this book can be downloaded from http://extras.springer.com
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-3-030-21431-9
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-3-030-21433-3
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-3-030-21434-0
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics , Mathematics
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    Keywords: Ökonometrie ; Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung ; Ökonometrisches Modell ; Modellierung ; Zeitreihenanalyse
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cham :Springer International Publishing AG,
    UID:
    almahu_9949728768202882
    Format: 1 online resource (142 pages)
    Edition: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9783030214326
    Series Statement: Palgrave Texts in Econometrics Series
    Note: Intro -- Preface -- Acknowledgements -- Contents -- About the Authors -- List of Figures -- 1 Introduction -- Reference -- 2 Key Concepts: A Series of Primers -- 2.1 Time Series Data -- 2.2 Stationarity and Non-stationarity -- 2.3 Structural Breaks -- 2.4 Model Selection -- References -- 3 Why Is the World Always Changing? -- 3.1 Major sources of changes -- 3.2 Incorrectly modelling non-stationarity -- References -- 4 Making Trends and Breaks Work to Our Advantage -- 4.1 Solutions to stochastic trend non-stationarity -- 4.2 Cointegration between integrated processes -- 4.3 Location Shifts -- 4.4 DSGE models -- 4.5 Handling location shifts -- 4.6 Some benefits of non-stationarity -- References -- 5 Detectives of Change: Indicator Saturation -- 5.1 Impulse-Indicator Saturation -- 5.2 Step-Indicator Saturation -- 5.3 Designing Indicator Saturation -- 5.3.1 Trend-Indicator Saturation -- 5.3.2 Multiplicative-Indicator Saturation -- 5.3.3 Designed-Break Indicator Saturation -- 5.4 Outliers and Non-linearity -- References -- 6 The Polymath: Combining Theory and Data -- 6.1 Theory Driven and Data Driven Models -- 6.2 The Drawbacks of Using Each Approach in Isolation -- 6.3 A Combined Approach -- 6.4 Applying the Combined Approach to UK Inflation Data -- References -- 7 Seeing into the Future -- 7.1 Forecasting ignoring shifts -- 7.2 Stochastic trends and forecast uncertainty -- 7.3 Location Shifts and Forecast Uncertainty -- 7.4 Differencing away our troubles -- 7.5 Recommendations -- References -- 8 Conclusions: The Ever-Changing Way Forward -- References -- Author Index -- Subject Index -- Index.
    Additional Edition: Print version: Castle, Jennifer L. Modelling Our Changing World Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2019 ISBN 9783030214319
    Language: English
    Keywords: Electronic books. ; Electronic books
    URL: Full-text  ((OIS Credentials Required))
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  • 3
    UID:
    almafu_BV035016219
    Format: XII, 451 S. : , graph. Darst.
    Edition: 1. publ.
    ISBN: 978-0-19-923719-7
    Note: Literaturangaben
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics
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    Keywords: Ökonometrie ; Festschrift ; Konferenzschrift ; Konferenzschrift ; Festschrift
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    New Haven :Yale University Press,
    UID:
    almahu_BV046077144
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (xiv, 213 Seiten) : , Illustrationen, Diagramme.
    ISBN: 978-0-300-24824-1
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-0-300-24466-3
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics
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    Keywords: Ökonometrie ; Prognoseverfahren ; Unsicherheit ; Prognose
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
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  • 5
    Book
    Book
    Hamburg : Carlsen
    UID:
    kobvindex_VBRD-i35515826610380
    Format: 380 S.
    ISBN: 3551582661
    Content: Als eines Abends ein Polizist bei Laurel vor der Tür steht, wird ihr Leben von einem Moment auf den anderen in zwei Teile gerissen: das Davor und das Danach. Denn ihre Familie wird von der kurzen Fahrt zur Eisdiele nie mehr zurückkehren, sie ist bei einem Unfall ums Leben gekommen. Mit im Auto saßen auch die Eltern von David, nur er blieb wie Laurel verschont. Die beiden versuchen auf ganz verschiedene Weise, zurück ins Leben zu finden. Laurel sieht sich in ihrer Trauer und Verzweiflung mit ganz banalen Problemen konfrontiert: Was tun mit den Jacken ihrer Eltern, die noch im Flur hängen? Was soll sie mit dem plötzlichen Interesse ihrer Mitschüler an der "Überlebenden" anfangen? Und soll sie trotz allem zum Abschlussball gehen und versuchen, Spaß zu haben? Langsam, ganz langsam, findet Laurel ihren Weg und lernt dabei auch den unnahbaren David immer besser kennen.
    Language: German
    Keywords: Jugendbuch
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  • 6
    UID:
    b3kat_BV046914807
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource
    ISBN: 9781680837094
    Series Statement: Foundations and trends in econometrics volume 10, no.3/4
    Content: Climate Econometrics: An Overview provides a review of the research in this new and growing field
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-1-68083-708-7
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Dt. Taschenbuch-Verl.
    UID:
    kobvindex_ZLB34178305
    Format: 384 S.
    ISBN: 9783423434591
    Content: Eine Lovestory, so schön wie ein Spaziergang im Schnee ... Sechs Monate war sie fort, nun freut sich die siebzehnjährige Kendall unendlich auf New York im Winter - und auf das Wiedersehen mit ihrem Schwarm Jamie. Doch der bringt zu ihrem Treffen keinen anderen mit als ausgerechnet Max. Max, den Kendall nach dem einen fatalen Kuss im letzten Sommer viel lieber vergessen hätte. Max, der in seinem Herzen eigentlich ebenso wenig frei ist wie Kendall. Doch dann werden beide Zeugen eines Unfalls, und dieses Erlebnis bringt sie einander wieder näher. So nah, dass Kendall sich fragen muss, mit wem sie nun wirklich ins neue Jahr tanzen will - Jamie oder Max?
    Note: Jennifer Castle studierte Englische Literatur und Kreatives Schreiben an der Brown University. Sie arbeitete als Werbetexterin, entwickelte Webseiten für Kinder und schrieb einige (bisher unveröffentlichte) Drehbücher, bevor sie sich an ihren ersten Roman wagte. Mittlerweile hat sie mehrere Jugendbücher geschrieben, für die sie mehrfach ausgezeichnet wurde. Sie lebt mit ihrem Mann, zwei Töchtern und zwei Katzen im Hudson Valley, New York.
    Language: German
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  • 8
    UID:
    b3kat_BV042899896
    Format: XII, 451 S. , graph. Darst.
    Edition: 1. publ., paperback ed.
    ISBN: 9780198743781 , 9780199237197
    Note: Literaturangaben
    Language: English
    Subjects: Economics
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    Keywords: Ökonometrie ; Festschrift ; Konferenzschrift
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Disney Book Group
    UID:
    kobvindex_ZLB35065634
    ISBN: 9781368081542
    Content: "The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants meets 13 Little Blue Envelopes in this new young adult novel about a tight-knit, daring, and eclectic group of friends who dedicate every summer to completing their #SummerSistersBucketList together - that is until one of their own passes away.Best friends Carly, Daniella, Lainie, and Penny - aka the self-proclaimed #SummerSisters - have been coming to the New Jersey shore town of Ocean Park Heights ever since they could remember. And every year, the girls make a bucket list and dedicate their entire summer to completing every item on it, documenting their wacky escapades on FotoSlam for everyone to see. It's their tradition, and as long as the Summer Sisters had each other, the rocky jetty on the shore, and their bucket list, that would never change. Right? But then, tragedy strikes after Carly - the mastermind behind the bucket list- unexpectedly passes away. As the remaining Summer Sisters try to wrap their heads around their best friend's death, life seems determined to throw more curveballs at the girls, threatening to split the Summer Sisters up for good. Daniella is accepted to a prestigious music academy in New York City, Lainie finds out her family is moving to Florida and leaving Ocean Park Heights for good, and Penny struggles to find her footing as she feels ready to leave childhood behind more quickly than either of her friends. What will hold them together with Carly gone and the Summer Sisters seemingly over? Then, Daniella finds Carly's final bucket list. And just like that, the Summer Sisters are back! But of course, things don't always go as planned, and the girls try their hardest to navigate grief, loss, and coming-of-age woes while keeping the Summer Sisters - and Carly's memory - alive. "
    Content: Rezension(1): "〈a href=http://www.slj.com/ target=blank〉〈img src=https://images.contentreserve.com/schoollibraryjournal_logo.png alt=School Library Journal border=0 /〉〈/a〉: April 1, 2023Gr 6 Up- Carly, Daniella, Lainie, and Penny met on vacation in Ocean Park Heights, NJ, and consider themselves summer sisters, united by their annual Summer Sisters Bucket List. But the summer before freshman year is fraught with painful memories and unwanted changes following Carly's sudden death. Daniella, who is Carly's cousin, fends off panic attacks while in New York City for a summer music intensive. Lainie struggles with the sale of the family bakery and chafes at training the moody daughter of the new owner. Penny gets a beach job and crushes hard on a coworker but finds it hard to believe in love amid her parents' constant fighting. The girls drift apart until Daniella discovers a half-written Summer Sisters Bucket List in Carly's old room. Inspired by challenges like create our own hashtag and make it go viral and go parasailing, the girls set out to tackle the list in Carly's memory-but as they navigate jealousy, loneliness, and miscommunications, they worry that Carly might have been the only thing keeping them together. This novel takes a familiar plot and elevates it with strong, introspective character development and a realistic look at the many forms grief can take. Chapters alternate third-person perspectives among Penny (white), Lainie (Colombian) and Daniella (biracial Black and Italian). VERDICT This novel, which perfectly captures the joy of summer, the heartbreak of sudden loss, and the resilience of friendship, is recommended for general purchase, and is ideal for fans of Morgan Matson or Ashley Woodfolk.- Elizabeth GilesCopyright 2023 School Library Journal, LLC Used with permission. " Rezension(2): "〈a href=http://www.kirkusreviews.com target=blank〉〈img src=https://images.contentreserve.com/kirkus_logo.png alt=Kirkus border=0 /〉〈/a〉: February 1, 2023 A trio struggles during the first summer following the unexpected death of the fourth member of their close-knit group in this contemporary novel. Lainie, Penny, Daniella, and Carly met and bonded in the New Jersey seaside town of Ocean Park Heights when they were just kids, reuniting each year and joyfully completing the Summer Sisters Bucket List written by Carly. However, following Carly's death from an undiagnosed heart condition, the surviving girls must navigate both their grief and a host of new experiences in their lives. Alternating chapters from their third-person perspectives form this poignant story that explores each of their situations through the lenses of their distinct personalities. Daniella, who is struggling with panic attacks, is the only one who lives in OPH. She announces that this summer she will be departing for Manhattan to attend a music academy. Her experiences are juxtaposed with Lainie and Penny's off-kilter summer in OPH, during which they both struggle with family upheaval--and Penny with a first romantic relationship. If at times some of the life lessons they learn seem a bit on the nose, these vulnerable characters will still speak to readers. Carly and Penny default to White,Daniella, who is Carly's cousin, is biracial (African American and Italian American), and Lainie's family is Colombian. There is diversity in sexuality and ethnicity among the secondary characters. A bittersweet tale of friendship surviving and growing amid heartbreak and change. (Fiction. 12-18) COPYRIGHT(2023) Kirkus Reviews, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. " Rezension(3): "〈a href=https://www.booklistonline.com target=blank〉〈img src=https://images.contentreserve.com/booklist_logo.png alt=Booklist border=0 /〉〈/a〉: April 1, 2023 Grades 6-9 Lainie, Carly, Penny, and Daniella have been Summer Sisters for six years now, with a bucket list of silly and fun things to do. But this year, they're doing it without Carly, who has unexpectedly died. When Daniella finds a list that Carly started earlier in the year, the three remaining Summer Sisters agree to do it all together, in Carly's memory, and make their thirteenth summer everything it was supposed to be before. Making things extra difficult are the facts that Daniella isn't staying at the beach this year, Lainie's grandparents are selling their house and bakery on the shore, and Penny needs a job to get out of the house where her parents are fighting all the time. As they each deal with their own anxieties, crushes, and harsh realities, they have to try harder than before to have each other's backs. Comparisons to the Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants books are inevitable but accurate. This update offers a dose of reality and a rich cast. COPYRIGHT(2023) Booklist, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. " Rezension(4): "〈a href=http://www.publishersweekly.com target=blank〉〈img src=https://images.contentreserve.com/pw_logo.png alt=Publisher's Weekly border=0 /〉〈/a〉: February 20, 2023 Every summer, the self-proclaimed Summer Sisters, a group of 14-year-old best friends, meet up at Ocean Park Heights, N.J., and spend the season crossing items off their yearly bucket list (“Silly String fight on the Boardwalk. Trampoline sleepover... Hold hands with a boy”). Carly has always kept track of the list, so when she dies of an undiagnosed heart condition, Lainie, Penny, and Carly’s cousin Daniella struggle to imagine summer, and their friendship, without her. Vulnerably rendered chapters alternating between the three teens’ perspectives trace their efforts to complete this year’s list while they navigate myriad internal and external challenges, such as Daniella’s enrollment in an elite N.Y.C. summer music program and her experiences living with Carly’s grieving parents,Lainie’s attempts to cope with her grandparents selling their beloved shore bakery,and Penny’s first job and romance. Castle ( What Happens Now ) presents an uplifting and grounded telling that follows a tight-knit group exploring the world outside their comfort zones and grappling with intense grief while striving to maintain important relationships. Carly and Penny read as white,Daniella is Black and white,Lainie is of Colombian heritage. Ages 12–up. Agent: Jamie Weiss Chilton, Andrea Brown Literary. "
    Language: English
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  • 10
    Book
    Book
    New York : HarperCollins
    UID:
    kobvindex_ZLB34014072
    Format: 352 Seiten
    ISBN: 9780062250513
    Content: Combining the emotional deftness of Sarah Dessen with the magical spark of New York City in wintertime, this affecting novel- a romantic, thought-provoking tale of human connection--will inspire readers to pay closer attention to the world around them. Teens Kendall and Max witness a tragic accident during the holidays and, racked with guilt, accept a dare to perform seven random acts of kindness to strangers by New Year's Eve.
    Note: Englisch
    Language: English
    Keywords: Jugendbuch
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