Format:
1 Online-Ressource (xi, 386 Seiten)
,
1 Karte
ISBN:
9781503634473
Content:
North Korea remains a puzzle to Americans. It is difficult for the general reader to assess the real danger North Korea and its current enigmatic leader, Kim Jong Un, pose. How did North Korea, one of the poorest and most isolated countries in the world in the crosshairs of every U.S. administration during the past 30 years, progress from no nuclear weapons in 2001 to a threatening arsenal of 30 to 50 weapons in 2021? Hinge Points posits that the conventional wisdom that America's good faith diplomatic efforts were circumvented by the North's repeated violations of diplomatic agreements is neither true nor helpful. The book takes a different look at the problem, one of critical introspection that combines rigorous analysis of political and technical developments. Based on his visits to North Korea and an in-depth analysis of the political and technical developments, Hecker argues that decisions should have been based on technically informed risk/benefit analysis that sought to manage the risks as best as possible, instead of trying to drive them to zero. Hinge Points reviews common-mode failures of the three administrations, including a needlessly heavy reliance on Beijing, ineffective utilization of sanctions as a policy tool, the lack of a holistic approach to peace on the Korean Peninsula, and the failure to properly prioritize and recognize the seriousness of the North Korean nuclear threat. The book describes the political landscapes in the Bush, Obama, and Trump administrations that led to "hinge points," and provides detailed assessments of North Korea's nuclear and missile programs at those times to demonstrate how Washington's response missed the mark, leading to the crisis we face today
Note:
2 Nuclear Background
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3 The State of Play Prior to January 2004
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4 “Would You Like to See Our Product?”
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5 Disastrous Consequences of Bolton’s Hammer
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6 Back to North Korea: “No LWR Till Pigs Fly”
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7 Kim Jong Il: Buying Time
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8 “Tell America It Worked. DPRK Is Filled with Pride”
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9 2007: Back to the Negotiating Table
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10 2007 and 2008 Visits: Back to Yongbyon to Confirm Disablement
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11 2008: Almost There, but It All Falls Apart
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12 2009 Visit: “You Don’t Know How Bad It Will Get”
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13 2009 and 2010: Clenching the Fist, Not Reaching for Obama’s Outstretched Hand
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14 2010 Visit: “Tomorrow, You Will Have a Bigger Surprise”
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15 November 2010 to April 2012: Deal Blows Up, Along with Rocket
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16 “Does the U.S. Blow This Up Over One Stupid Rocket Launch?”
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17 From Strategic Patience to Benign Neglect
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18 The “Fire and Fury” of 2017
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19 From the Olympics to Singapore
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20 The Train Wreck in Hanoi
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21 Closing Observations: Hinge Points and Missteps
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9781503634459
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Hecker, Siegfried S., 1943 - Hinge points Stanford, California : Stanford University Press, 2023 ISBN 9781503634459
Language:
English
Keywords:
Nordkorea
;
Atomare Rüstung
DOI:
10.1515/9781503634473
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