Kooperativer Bibliotheksverbund

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Format: 1 online resource (56 pages)

Series Statement: Policy research working papers.

Content: This paper conducts an integrated assessment of climate change impacts and climate mitigation on agricultural commodity markets and food availability in low- and middle-income countries. The analysis uses the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM to generate scenarios to 2080. The findings show that climate change effects on the agricultural sector will increase progressively over the century. By 2030, the impact of climate change on food consumption is moderate but already twice as large in a world with high inequalities than in a more equal world. In the long run, impacts could be much stronger, with global average calorie losses of 6 percent by 2050 and 14 percent by 2080. A mitigation policy to stabilize climate below 2?C uniformly applied to all regions as a carbon tax would also result in a 6 percent reduction in food availability by 2050 and 12 percent reduction by 2080 compared to the reference scenario. To avoid more severe impacts of climate change mitigation on development than climate change itself, revenue from carbon pricing policies will need to be redistributed appropriately. Overall, the projected effects of climate change and mitigation on agricultural markets raise important issues for food security in the long run, but remain more limited in the medium term horizon of 2030. Thus, there are opportunities for low- and middle-income countries to pursue immediate development needs and thus prepare for later periods when adaptation needs and mitigation efforts will become the greatest.

Language: English

DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-7477

URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)

URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)

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Format: 1 Online-Ressource (p. cm)

ISBN: 9780821397428 , 9780821397787

Note: "This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank. - Includes bibliographical references and index

Language: English

DOI: 10.1596/978-0-8213-9742-8

URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)

URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)

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Format: pages cm.

ISBN: 9780821397428 (alk. paper) , 9780821397787 (alk. paper)

Series Statement: World Bank e-Library.

Note: "This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank."

Additional Edition: Print Version: ISBN 9780821397428

Language: English

URL: http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/978-0-8213-9742-8

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Format: 1 Online-Ressource (11 Seiten)

Content: The food and land use sector is a major contributor to India's total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. On one hand, India is committed to sustainability targets in the Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sectors, on the other, there is little clarity whether these objectives can align with national developmental priorities of food security and environmental protection. This study fills the gap by reviewing multiple corridors to sustain the AFOLU systems through an integrated assessment framework using partial equilibrium modeling. We create three pathways that combine the shared socio-economic pathways with alternative assumptions on diets and mitigation strategies. We analyze our results of the pathways on key indicators of land-use change, GHG emissions, food security, water withdrawals in agriculture, agricultural trade and production diversity. Our findings indicate that dietary shift, improved efficiency in livestock production systems, lower fertilizer use, and higher yield through sustainable intensification can reduce GHG emissions from the AFOLU sectors up to 80% by 2050. Dietary shifts could help meet EAT-Lancet recommended minimum calorie requirements alongside meeting mitigation ambitions. Further, water withdrawals in agriculture would reduce by half by 2050 in the presence of environmental flow protection and mitigation strategies. We conclude by pointing towards specific cstrategic policy design changes that would be essential to embark on such a sustainable pathway.

Content: Peer Reviewed

In: Bristol : IOP Publ., 17,7

Language: English

DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ac788a

DOI: 10.18452/24936

URN: urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-110-18452/25617-8

URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)

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Format: xviii, 158 p. : , col. ill., col. map.

Edition: Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI : ProQuest, 2015. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest affiliated libraries.

Series Statement: Directions in development (Washington, D.C.). Environment and sustainable development

Note: "This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank."

Language: English

Keywords: Electronic books.

URL: Click to View

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Format: pages cm.

ISBN: 0-8213-9778-8

Series Statement: Directions in development (Washington, D.C.). Environment and sustainable development

Content: The Congo Basin forests have been mainly ""passively"" protected by chronic political instability and conflict, poor infrastructure, and poor governance. Congo Basin countries thus still fit the profile of high forest cover/ low deforestation (HFLD) countries. However, there are signs that Congo Basin forests are under increasing pressure from a variety of sources, including mineral extraction, road development, agribusiness, and biofuels, in addition to subsistence agricultural expansion and charcoal collection.Congo Basin countries are now at a crossroad - they are not yet locked into a deve

Note: "This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank." , C1; C2; Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; About the Author and Contributors; Abbreviations; Overview; Congo Basin Forests at a Glance; What Will Drive Deforestation in the Congo Basin? A Multisectoral Analysis; Boxes; Box O.1 Hunger in a Land of Plenty; Figures; Figure O.1 Land, Dense Forest, and Logging Areas in the Congo Basin; Tables; Table O.1.1 Key Development Indicators for Congo Basin Countries; Figure O.2 Average Annual Net Deforestation and Net Degradation Rates, Congo Basin, 1990-2000 and 2000-05; Box O.2 An Interactive Modeling and Awareness-Raising Exercise , Box O.3 Why Agricultural Productivity Increases Are Not Necessarily Good for Forests Figure O.3 Channels of Transmission of Increase in Global Demand for Meat and Increase in Deforestation in Congo Basin; Figure O.4 Number of People Relying on the Traditional Use of Biomass; Box O.4 Feeding Cities: Mixing Charcoal and Cassava near Kinshasa; Box O.5 Road Work Ahead; Box O.6 Simulating Changes Resulting from Improved Infrastructure; How to Reconcile Growth and Forest Protection Policy Options and Recommendations?; Box O.7 Small-Scale and Artisanal Mining and Adverse Impacts on Environment , Box O.8 A Fair Baseline Note; References; Introduction; Note; Chapter 1 Congo Basin Forests: Description; The Forest Ecosystems in the Congo Basin; Map; Map 1.1 Forest Ecosystems in the Congo Basin and Their Biodiversity; Table 1.1 Area Estimates (ha) of Land-Cover Types for the Six Congo Basin Countries; Table 1.2 Carbon Stocks in the Congo Basin Forests, 1990-2010; Box 1.1 Variations in Forest Carbon Stocks: Key Concepts; Figure B1.1.1 Forest Degradation and Deforestation: Variation of Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass , Figure B1.1.2 Sustainable Forest Management: Variation of the Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass Figure B1.1.3 Forest Regeneration: Variation of the Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass; Figure 1.1 Total Land Area, Total Dense Forest Area, and Area under Industrial Logging Concessions in the Congo Basin in 2010 (hectares); Table 1.3 Harvested Timber Volume and Primary Species Logged by Country in 2006; Figure 1.2 Annual Round Wood Production (m3) in the Congo Basin Countries; Table 1.4 Contribution of the Forestry Sector to GDP and Gross Value Added, 2009 , Box 1.2 COMIFAC's "Plan de Convergence"Table 1.5 Direct Employment in Commercial Forest Production and Processing, 2006; Table 1.6 Forest Management in the Congo Basin Countries, 2005-2010; Deforestation and Forest Degradation; Box 1.3 European Union's Forest Law Enforcement, Governance, and Trade Program; Figure 1.3 Contribution of Region to Humid Forest Loss across Regions; Figure 1.4 Changes in Forest Area in Main Regions in Africa on 1990-2010 period (in million hectares) , Table 1.7 Changes in Forest Area in Africa and in the Main Negative Contributors to World Total Forest Area, 1990-2010 , English

Additional Edition: ISBN 0-8213-9742-7

Language: English

UID:

Format: pages cm.

ISBN: 0-8213-9778-8

Series Statement: Directions in development (Washington, D.C.). Environment and sustainable development

Content: The Congo Basin forests have been mainly ""passively"" protected by chronic political instability and conflict, poor infrastructure, and poor governance. Congo Basin countries thus still fit the profile of high forest cover/ low deforestation (HFLD) countries. However, there are signs that Congo Basin forests are under increasing pressure from a variety of sources, including mineral extraction, road development, agribusiness, and biofuels, in addition to subsistence agricultural expansion and charcoal collection.Congo Basin countries are now at a crossroad - they are not yet locked into a deve

Note: "This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank." , C1; C2; Contents; Foreword; Acknowledgments; About the Author and Contributors; Abbreviations; Overview; Congo Basin Forests at a Glance; What Will Drive Deforestation in the Congo Basin? A Multisectoral Analysis; Boxes; Box O.1 Hunger in a Land of Plenty; Figures; Figure O.1 Land, Dense Forest, and Logging Areas in the Congo Basin; Tables; Table O.1.1 Key Development Indicators for Congo Basin Countries; Figure O.2 Average Annual Net Deforestation and Net Degradation Rates, Congo Basin, 1990-2000 and 2000-05; Box O.2 An Interactive Modeling and Awareness-Raising Exercise , Box O.3 Why Agricultural Productivity Increases Are Not Necessarily Good for Forests Figure O.3 Channels of Transmission of Increase in Global Demand for Meat and Increase in Deforestation in Congo Basin; Figure O.4 Number of People Relying on the Traditional Use of Biomass; Box O.4 Feeding Cities: Mixing Charcoal and Cassava near Kinshasa; Box O.5 Road Work Ahead; Box O.6 Simulating Changes Resulting from Improved Infrastructure; How to Reconcile Growth and Forest Protection Policy Options and Recommendations?; Box O.7 Small-Scale and Artisanal Mining and Adverse Impacts on Environment , Box O.8 A Fair Baseline Note; References; Introduction; Note; Chapter 1 Congo Basin Forests: Description; The Forest Ecosystems in the Congo Basin; Map; Map 1.1 Forest Ecosystems in the Congo Basin and Their Biodiversity; Table 1.1 Area Estimates (ha) of Land-Cover Types for the Six Congo Basin Countries; Table 1.2 Carbon Stocks in the Congo Basin Forests, 1990-2010; Box 1.1 Variations in Forest Carbon Stocks: Key Concepts; Figure B1.1.1 Forest Degradation and Deforestation: Variation of Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass , Figure B1.1.2 Sustainable Forest Management: Variation of the Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass Figure B1.1.3 Forest Regeneration: Variation of the Carbon Stocks in Above-Ground Biomass; Figure 1.1 Total Land Area, Total Dense Forest Area, and Area under Industrial Logging Concessions in the Congo Basin in 2010 (hectares); Table 1.3 Harvested Timber Volume and Primary Species Logged by Country in 2006; Figure 1.2 Annual Round Wood Production (m3) in the Congo Basin Countries; Table 1.4 Contribution of the Forestry Sector to GDP and Gross Value Added, 2009 , Box 1.2 COMIFAC's "Plan de Convergence"Table 1.5 Direct Employment in Commercial Forest Production and Processing, 2006; Table 1.6 Forest Management in the Congo Basin Countries, 2005-2010; Deforestation and Forest Degradation; Box 1.3 European Union's Forest Law Enforcement, Governance, and Trade Program; Figure 1.3 Contribution of Region to Humid Forest Loss across Regions; Figure 1.4 Changes in Forest Area in Main Regions in Africa on 1990-2010 period (in million hectares) , Table 1.7 Changes in Forest Area in Africa and in the Main Negative Contributors to World Total Forest Area, 1990-2010 , English

Additional Edition: ISBN 0-8213-9742-7

Language: English

UID:

ISBN: 9780821397428 , 9780821397787

Language: English

URL: Volltext

UID:

Format: 1 online resource (56 pages)

Series Statement: Policy research working papers.

Content: This paper conducts an integrated assessment of climate change impacts and climate mitigation on agricultural commodity markets and food availability in low- and middle-income countries. The analysis uses the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM to generate scenarios to 2080. The findings show that climate change effects on the agricultural sector will increase progressively over the century. By 2030, the impact of climate change on food consumption is moderate but already twice as large in a world with high inequalities than in a more equal world. In the long run, impacts could be much stronger, with global average calorie losses of 6 percent by 2050 and 14 percent by 2080. A mitigation policy to stabilize climate below 2?C uniformly applied to all regions as a carbon tax would also result in a 6 percent reduction in food availability by 2050 and 12 percent reduction by 2080 compared to the reference scenario. To avoid more severe impacts of climate change mitigation on development than climate change itself, revenue from carbon pricing policies will need to be redistributed appropriately. Overall, the projected effects of climate change and mitigation on agricultural markets raise important issues for food security in the long run, but remain more limited in the medium term horizon of 2030. Thus, there are opportunities for low- and middle-income countries to pursue immediate development needs and thus prepare for later periods when adaptation needs and mitigation efforts will become the greatest.

Language: English

DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-7477

UID:

Format: 1 online resource (56 pages)

Series Statement: Policy research working papers.

Content: This paper conducts an integrated assessment of climate change impacts and climate mitigation on agricultural commodity markets and food availability in low- and middle-income countries. The analysis uses the partial equilibrium model GLOBIOM to generate scenarios to 2080. The findings show that climate change effects on the agricultural sector will increase progressively over the century. By 2030, the impact of climate change on food consumption is moderate but already twice as large in a world with high inequalities than in a more equal world. In the long run, impacts could be much stronger, with global average calorie losses of 6 percent by 2050 and 14 percent by 2080. A mitigation policy to stabilize climate below 2?C uniformly applied to all regions as a carbon tax would also result in a 6 percent reduction in food availability by 2050 and 12 percent reduction by 2080 compared to the reference scenario. To avoid more severe impacts of climate change mitigation on development than climate change itself, revenue from carbon pricing policies will need to be redistributed appropriately. Overall, the projected effects of climate change and mitigation on agricultural markets raise important issues for food security in the long run, but remain more limited in the medium term horizon of 2030. Thus, there are opportunities for low- and middle-income countries to pursue immediate development needs and thus prepare for later periods when adaptation needs and mitigation efforts will become the greatest.

Language: English

DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-7477