Format:
Online-Ressource (XIV, 428 p. 199 illus., 104 illus. in color, online resource)
ISBN:
9789400777200
Series Statement:
SpringerLink
Content:
This book deals with recent advances in our understanding and prediction of tropical cyclogenesis, intensification and movement as well as landfall processes like heavy rainfall, gale wind and storm surge based on the latest observational and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling platforms. It also includes tropical cyclone (TC) management issues like early warning systems, recent high impact TC events, disaster preparedness, assessment of risk and vulnerability including construction, archiving and retrieval of the best tracking and historical data sets, policy decision etc., in view of recent findings on climate change aspects and their impact on TC activity. The chapters are authored by leading experts, both from research and operational environments.This book is relevant to cyclone forecasters and researchers, managers, policy makers, graduate and undergraduate students. It intends to stimulate thinking and hence further research in the field of TCs and climate change, especially over the Indian Ocean region and provides high-quality reference materials for all the users mentioned above for the management of TCs over this region.
Note:
Includes index
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Preface; About the Editors; Contents; PART I Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change; Construction and Quality of Best Tracks Parameters for Study of Climate Change Impact on Tropical Cyclones over the North Indian; 1. Introduction; 2. Characteristics of Best Tracks in Satellite Era; 2.1 Satellite Observations of CDs; 2.2 IMD's Use of Weather Satellites for CD Monitoring; 2.3 Methods Used to Interpret Genesis, Location and Intensity of CDs; 2.4 Errors in Estimation of Location and Intensity during Satellite Era; 3. Frequency of CD, CS, SCS and VSCS; 4. Trends in Frequency in Satellite Era
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4.1 Trend in Frequency of CD4.2 Trend in Frequency of CS or Higher Intensity Storms; 4.3 Trend in Frequency of SCS or Higher Intensity Storms; 4.4 Trend in Frequency of Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) or Higher Intensity Storms; 5. Conclusions; REFERENCES; ""Climate Change and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones"" International Initiative - Progress since the First International Con; 1. Introduction; 2. Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Archive; 3. Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Trends; 4. Historical Cyclone Data Portal
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5. Future Work - Prospects for Improving Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones6. Summary; Acknowledgement; REFERENCES; Climate Change in Tropical Cyclones and Monsoon Depressions of North Indian Ocean; 1. Introduction; 2. Climate Change in Annual Frequency of TC and MD; 3. FDO in Cyclones, Equatorial Wind and SST of Indian Ocean; 4. Decreasing Trend in MD Frequency and Monsoon LLJ; 5. Climate Change in the Intensity of Cyclones; 6. Conclusions; REFERENCES; Mechanism of the Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Frequency Changes due to Global Warming; 1. Introduction; 2. Hypothesis
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3. Model and Experiment4. Global TC Frequency Changes; 5. Regional TC Frequency Changes; 6. Indian Ocean TC Frequency Changes; 7. Discussion; 8. Conclusions; Acknowledgement; REFERENCES; Recent Research at GFDL on Surface Temperature Trends and Simulations of Tropical Cyclone Activity in the Indian Ocean Region; 1. Introduction and Overview; 2. Assessment of Regional Surface Temperature Trends in the Indian Ocean/Southern Asia Region; Summary; 3. Simulations of Northern Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Activity; Summary; Acknowledgements; REFERENCES
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PART II Climatological Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones and Future ProjectionFuture Changes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Indian Ocean Projected by the New HighResolution MRI-AGCM; 1. Introduction; 2. Models and Experimental Design; 3. Results; 3.1 Projected Future Changes in TC Genesis Number; 3.2 Projected Future Changes in TC Frequency; 3.3 Mechanisms of Future Changes in TC Genesis Frequency; 4. Summary; REFERENCES; Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Indian Ocean in the Warmer Climate; 1. Introduction; 2. Data and Methodology and Discussion; 3. Results and Discussion
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3.1 Frequency of Genesis
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9789400777194
Additional Edition:
Druckausg. ISBN 978-940-077-719-4
Language:
English
DOI:
10.1007/978-94-007-7720-0
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