Format:
60 Seiten
,
Diagramme
,
21 cm x 14.8 cm
Edition:
1st edition
ISBN:
9783848771561
,
384877156X
Series Statement:
GIDS Analysis volume 5
Content:
This monograph generalises, and extends, the classic dynamic models in conflict analysis (Lanchester 1916, Richardson 1919, Boulding 1962). Restrictions on parameters are relaxed to account for alliances and for peacekeeping. Incrementalist as well as stochastic versions of the model are reviewed. These extensions allow for a rich variety of patterns of dynamic conflict. Using Monte Carlo techniques as well as time series analyses based on GDELT data (for the Ethiopian-Eritreian war, 1998–2000), we also assess the empirical usefulness of the model. It turns out that linear dynamic models capture selected phases of the conflict quite well, offering a potential taxonomy for conflict dynamics. We also discuss a method for introducing a modicum of (bounded) rationality into models from this tradition.
Note:
Bd. 5 der Reihe GIDS Analysis herausgegeben von: Prof. Dr. Stefan Bayer, Prof. Dr. Burkhard Meißner, Prof. Dr. Matthias Rogg, Prof. Dr. Gary S. Schaal und Jörn Thießen
,
Literaturverzeichnis: Seite 59-60
,
A general linear conflict model for the two-party case
,
Special case : the Richardson equations in two dimensions
,
Richardson-type conflict between three parties
,
Empirical analysis
,
Bounded rationality in dynamic models
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9783748912088
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe Beckmann, Klaus, 1965 - An enquiry into linear conflict models Baden-Baden : Nomos, 2021 ISBN 9783748912088
Language:
English
Subjects:
Political Science
Keywords:
Politischer Konflikt
;
Konfliktanalyse
Author information:
Reimer, Lennart
Author information:
Meißner, Burkhard 1959-
Author information:
Schaal, Gary S. 1971-
Author information:
Bayer, Stefan
Author information:
Beckmann, Klaus 1965-
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