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Expert political judgment : How good is it? How can we know? (2006)

Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

Princeton, N.J. [u.a.] : Princeton Univ. Press

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UID:

gbv_895457784

Format: XVI, 321 S. , graph. Darst.

Edition: 6. pr., and 1. paperback pr.

ISBN: 9780691128719 , 0691128715

Note: Includes bibliographical references and index

Additional Edition: Online-Ausg. Tetlock, Philip E Expert Political Judgment Princeton : Princeton University Press, 2009

Language: English

Subjects: Economics , Political Science , General works

RVK:

MD 7500

RVK:

AK 29700

RVK:

QD 000

Keywords: Politische Psychologie ; Politikberatung ; Entscheidungsfindung ; Expertise ; Experte ; Politikberatung ; Politische Psychologie ; Politische Entscheidung

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis (Kostenfrei)

URL: http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0654/2004061694-d.html

URL: http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0654/2004061694-t.html

URL: http://www.loc.gov/catdir/enhancements/fy0734/2004061694-b.html

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis (Kostenfrei)

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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Zentrum Info.arbeit Bundeswehr

UB Potsdam

Wissenschaftspark Albert Einstein

Hertie School

Informationszentrum DGAP

Book

Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction (2016)

Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- ; Gardner, Dan 1968-

London :rh Books,

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UID:

almafu_BV043515432

Format: 340 Seiten : , Diagramme.

ISBN: 978-1-847-94715-4

Language: English

Subjects: Computer Science , Sociology

RVK:

MR 2950

RVK:

ST 302

Keywords: Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose

URL: http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028931501&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

Author information: Gardner, Dan 1968-

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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FU Berlin

Hertie School

HNE Eberswalde

Informationszentrum DGAP

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Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction (2015)

Tetlock, Philip E. [Verfasser] 1954- ; Gardner, Dan [Verfasser] 1968-

New York : Crown Publishers

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Details

UID:

b3kat_BV043342976

Format: 340 Seiten , Diagramme

Edition: First Edition

ISBN: 9780804136716 , 9780804136693

Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe ISBN 978-0-8041-3670-9

Language: English

Subjects: Computer Science , Economics , Sociology

RVK:

QC 020

RVK:

ST 302

RVK:

MR 2950

Keywords: Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

Author information: Gardner, Dan 1968-

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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Stabi Berlin

UB Potsdam

FH Potsdam

Book

Expert political judgment : how good is it? How can we know? (2017)

Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

Princeton ; Oxford :Princeton University Press,

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Details

UID:

almafu_BV049380389

Format: 368 Seiten.

Edition: New edition

ISBN: 978-0-691-17597-3 , 978-0-691-17828-8

Note: Mit einem neuen Vorwort des Verfassers

Language: English

Subjects: Political Science

RVK:

MD 7600

Keywords: Politische Psychologie ; Experte ; Politik ; Meinung ; Prognose ; Experte ; Politikberatung ; Politische Psychologie ; Ideologie

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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Stabi Berlin

FU Berlin

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Superforecasting : die Kunst der richtigen Prognose (2016)

Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- ; Gardner, Dan 1968- ; Neubauer, Jürgen 1967- ; [et al.]

Frankfurt am Main : S. Fischer

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UID:

b3kat_BV043771814

Format: 336 Seiten , Illustrationen, Diagramme , 22 cm

ISBN: 9783100800244 , 3100800249

Uniform Title: Superforecasting

Language: German

Subjects: Computer Science , Economics , Sociology

RVK:

MR 2950

RVK:

QC 020

RVK:

QP 327

RVK:

ST 302

Keywords: Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung ; Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose

URL: Inhaltstext

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

URL: Inhaltstext

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

Author information: Neubauer, Jürgen 1967-

Author information: Gardner, Dan 1968-

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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BTU Cottbus

MPI Bildungsforschung

Online Resource

Reasoning and choice : explorations in political psychology (1991)

Sniderman, Paul M., ; Brody, Richard A., ; Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,

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UID:

almafu_9960119834002883

Format: 1 online resource (xiv, 306 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).

ISBN: 0-511-87884-2 , 0-511-72046-7

Series Statement: Cambridge studies in public opinion and political psychology

Content: Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, this book offers a major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary citizens figure out what they favour and oppose politically. Reacting against the conventional wisdom, which stresses how little attention the general public pays to political issues and the lack of consistency in their opinions, the studies presented in this book redirect attention to the processes of reasoning that can be discerned when people are confronted with choices about political issues. These studies demonstrate that ordinary people are in fact capable of reasoning dependably about political issues by the use of judgmental heuristics, even if they have only a limited knowledge of politics and of specific issues.

Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015). , Introduction: Major themes -- The role of heuristics in political reasoning : a theory sketch -- Values under pressure : AIDS and civil liberties -- The principle-policy puzzle : the paradox of American racial attitudes -- Reasoning claims -- The likability heuristic -- Democratic values and mass publics -- Ideological reasoning -- Information and electoral choice -- Stability and change in party identification : presidential to off-years -- The American dilemma : the role of law as a persuasive symbol -- Ideology and issues persuasibility : dynamics of racial policy attitudes -- The new racism and the American ethos -- Retrospect and prospect. , English

Additional Edition: ISBN 0-521-40770-2

Additional Edition: ISBN 0-521-40255-7

Language: English

URL: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511720468

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Online Resource

HU Berlin

FU Berlin

Book

Superforecasting : the art and science of prediction (2015)

Tetlock, Philip E. [Sonstige] 1954- ; Gardner, Daniel [Sonstige] 1945-

London : Random House

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UID:

b3kat_BV042922492

Format: 340 S. , graph. Darst.

ISBN: pbk. , 9781847947147

Language: English

Subjects: Sociology

RVK:

MR 2950

Keywords: Sozialer Wandel ; Wirtschaftsentwicklung ; Prognose ; Prognose ; Entscheidungsunterstützung

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

URL: View cover art

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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TH Wildau

Article

How Americans think about trade : Reconciling conflicts among money, power, and principles (2001)

Herrmann, Richard K. 1952- ; Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- ; Diascro, Matthew N.

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UID:

kobvindex_DGP1643389904

Format: graph. Darst., Tab.

ISSN: 0020-8833

In: International studies quarterly, Cary, NC : Oxford University Press, 1967, 45(2001), 2, Seite 191-218, 0020-8833

Language: English

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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Book

Reasoning and choice : explorations in political psychology (1999)

Sniderman, Paul M. ; Brody, Richard A. ; Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- ; [et al.]

Cambridge [u.a.] : Cambridge Univ. Press

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Details

UID:

gbv_083660860

Format: XIV, 306 S , graph. Darst

Edition: Reprint

ISBN: 0521407702 , 0521402557

Language: English

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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UB Potsdam

Article

How Americans think about trade : Reconciling conflicts among money, power, and principles (2001)

Herrmann, Richard K. 1952- ; Tetlock, Philip E. 1954- ; Diascro, Matthew N.

Show associated volumes

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Details

UID:

gbv_1643389904

Format: graph. Darst., Tab.

ISSN: 0020-8833

In: International studies quarterly, Cary, NC : Oxford University Press, 1967, 45(2001), 2, Seite 191-218, 0020-8833

In: volume:45

In: year:2001

In: number:2

In: pages:191-218

Language: English

Author information: Tetlock, Philip E. 1954-

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