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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder : An Empirical Study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African Cities (2009)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV048264552
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (28 p)
    Content: By 2050, two-thirds of the world's population will live in cities, and the greatest growth in urban populations will take place in the least developed countries. This presents many governments with considerable challenges related to urban governance and the provision of services and opportunities to a burgeoning urban population. Among the concerns is that large youth bulges in urban centers could be a source of political instability and violence. Here, we assess this claim empirically using newly collected data on city-level urban social disorder, ranging from non-violent actions, such as demonstrations and strikes, to violent political actions, such as riots, terrorism, and armed conflict. The dataset covers 55 major cities in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa for 1960-2006. The study also utilizes a new United Nations Population Division dataset on urban populations by age and sex. The study further considers factors that could condition the effect of age structure, in particular the level of informal employment, economic growth, education, and gender imbalances. The analysis finds that large male youth bulges aged 15-24 are not generally associated with increased risks of either violent or non-violent social disturbance. Furthermore, the proxy measures of "youth exclusion" do not seem to increase the risk that large urban male youth bulges are associated with either form of disturbance. However, several other factors that may be associated with higher levels of youth exclusion - notably absence of democratic institutions, low economic growth, and low levels of secondary educational attainment - are significantly and robustly associated with increasing levels of urban social disturbance
    Additional Edition: Urdal, Henrik Urban Youth Bulges and Social Disorder
    Language: English
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-5110
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
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    Online Access
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    Stabi Berlin
    UB Potsdam
    EUV Frankfurt
    HTW Berlin
    MPI Bildungsforschung
  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Breaking the Waves ? : Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political Violence ? (2009)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV048264556
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (40 p)
    Content: Much of the developing world has experienced a decline in mortality, while fertility often has remained high. This has produced youthful populations in many countries, generally referred to as "youth bulges." Recent empirical research suggests that youth bulges may be associated with increased risks of political violence and conflict. This paper addresses ways that education may serve as a strategy to reduce the risk of political violence, particularly in the context of large cohorts of young males. The authors use a new education dataset measuring educational attainment. The dataset is constructed using demographic back-projection techniques, and offers uninterrupted time-series data for 120 countries. The empirical analysis finds evidence that large, young male population bulges are more likely to increase the risk of conflict in societies where male secondary education is low. The effect on conflict risk by low education and large youth populations is particularly strong in low and middle-income countries. This is especially challenging for Sub-Saharan Africa, the region facing the youngest age structure and the lowest educational attainment levels. Although quantitative studies generally find a strong relationship between indicators of development and conflict risk, the results suggest that poor countries do have some leverage over reducing conflict potential through increased educational opportunities for young people. There is further evidence that the interaction of large youth cohorts and low education levels may be mediated by structural economic factors. The study supports broad policy interventions in education by relaxing concerns about the consequences of rapid educational expansion
    Additional Edition: Barakat, Bilal Breaking the Waves ?
    Language: English
    DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-5114
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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    Online Resource
    Online Access
    Open Access Request
    Stabi Berlin
    UB Potsdam
    EUV Frankfurt
    HTW Berlin
    MPI Bildungsforschung
  • 3
    Article
    Article
    People vs. Malthus : population pressure, environmental degradation, and armed conflict revisited (2005)
    Show associated volumes
    Details
    UID:
    kobvindex_DGP1641893419
    Format: Tab., Lit. S. 431-433
    ISSN: 0022-3433
    In: Journal of peace research, London [u.a.] : SAGE Publ., 1964, 42(2005), 4, Seite 417-434, 0022-3433
    Language: English
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Urban youth bulges and social disorder : an empirical study of Asian and Sub-Saharan African cities (2009)
    Washington, DC : World Bank, Africa Region, Post Conflict & Social Development Unit
    Details
    UID:
    gbv_616347901
    Format: Online-Ressource (26 S.) , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: Policy research working paper 5110
    Content: By 2050, two-thirds of the world s population will live in cities, and the greatest growth in urban populations will take place in the least developed countries. This presents many governments with considerable challenges related to urban governance and the provision of services and opportunities to a burgeoning urban population. Among the concerns is that large youth bulges in urban centers could be a source of political instability and violence. Here, we assess this claim empirically using newly collected data on city-level urban social disorder, ranging from non-violent actions, such as demonstrations and strikes, to violent political actions, such as riots, terrorism, and armed conflict. The dataset covers 55 major cities in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa for 1960-2006. The study also utilizes a new United Nations Population Division dataset on urban populations by age and sex. The study further considers factors that could condition the effect of age structure, in particular the level of informal employment, economic growth, education, and gender imbalances. The analysis finds that large male youth bulges aged 15-24 are not generally associated with increased risks of either violent or non-violent social disturbance. Furthermore, the proxy measures of "youth exclusion" do not seem to increase the risk that large urban male youth bulges are associated with either form of disturbance. However, several other factors that may be associated with higher levels of youth exclusion - notably absence of democratic institutions, low economic growth, and low levels of secondary educational attainment - are significantly and robustly associated with increasing levels of urban social disturbance.
    Note: Literaturverz. S. 19 - 22 , Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader.
    Language: English
    Keywords: Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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    Online Resource
    Fulltext
    Stabi Berlin
  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Breaking the Waves? Does Education Mediate the Relationship Between Youth Bulges and Political Violence? (2012)
    Details
    UID:
    gbv_797528660
    Format: Online-Ressource
    Series Statement: Policy Research working paper WPS 5114
    Content: Much of the developing world has experienced a decline in mortality, while fertility often has remained high. This has produced youthful populations in many countries, generally referred to as "youth bulges." Recent empirical research suggests that youth bulges may be associated with increased risks of political violence and conflict. This paper addresses ways that education may serve as a strategy to reduce the risk of political violence, particularly in the context of large cohorts of young males. The authors use a new education dataset measuring educational attainment. The dataset is constructed using demographic back-projection techniques, and offers uninterrupted time-series data for 120 countries. The empirical analysis finds evidence that large, young male population bulges are more likely to increase the risk of conflict in societies where male secondary education is low. The effect on conflict risk by low education and large youth populations is particularly strong in low and middle-income countries. This is especially challenging for Sub-Saharan Africa, the region facing the youngest age structure and the lowest educational attainment levels. Although quantitative studies generally find a strong relationship between indicators of development and conflict risk, the results suggest that poor countries do have some leverage over reducing conflict potential through increased educational opportunities for young people. There is further evidence that the interaction of large youth cohorts and low education levels may be mediated by structural economic factors. The study supports broad policy interventions in education by relaxing concerns about the consequences of rapid educational expansion.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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    Online Resource
    Fulltext
    Stabi Berlin
  • 6
    Book
    Book
    People changing places : new perspectives on demography, migration, conflict, and the state (2019)
    New York, NY : Routledge, Taylor & Francis
    Details
    UID:
    gbv_1640962174
    Format: xvi, 238 Seiten , Diagramme, Karten, Illustrationen
    Edition: First published
    ISBN: 9780815360766 , 9780815360759
    Content: Demography, migration, conflict, and the state : the contentious politics of connecting people to places / Isabelle Côté and Matthew I. Mitchell -- "Sons of the soil" : conflicts and autochthony : bridging the literatures / Ragnhild Nordås -- This land is whose land? : "sons of the soil" conflicts in Darfur / Johan Brosché and Ralph Sundberg -- Ethnic census-taking, instability, and armed conflict / Håvard Strand, Henrik Urdal, and Isabelle Côté -- Internal migration, political liberalization, and violent conflict in authoritarian China / Isabelle Côté -- The concept of "rootedness" in the struggle for political power in the former Soviet Union in the 1990s / Pål Kolstø -- How homelands change : lessons from the experience of two Israeli nationalist movements / Nadav G. Shelef -- Sons of the Soviet soil and the collapse of the USSR / Monica Duffy Toft -- Migration and conflict in OECD countries / Michael S. Teitelbaum -- Ethnic nationalism or relaxed assimilation? : the response of dominant ethnic groups to immigration in the Anglo-Saxon world / Eric Kaufmann -- Concluding remarks on the politics of people changing places / Monica Duffy Tof
    Note: Tabelle, Literaturverzeichnisse, Literaturhinweise , Demography, migration, conflict, and the state : the contentious politics of connecting people to places , "Sons of the soil" conflicts and autochthony : bridging the literatures , This land is whose land? : "Sons of the soil" conflicts in Darfur , Ethnic census taking, instability, and armed conflict , Internal migration, political liberalization, and violent conflict in authoritarian China , The concept of "rootedness" in the struggle for political power in the former Soviet Union in the 1990s , How homelands change : lessons from the experience of two Israeli nationalist movements , Sons of the Soviet soil and the collapse of the USSR , Migration and conflict in OECD countries , Ethnic nationalism or relaxed assimilation? : The response of dominant ethnic groups to immigration in the Anglo-Saxon world , Concluding remarks on the politics of people changing places
    Additional Edition: ISBN 9781351117623
    Language: English
    Subjects: Political Science , Sociology
    RVK:
    MD 4300
    RVK:
    MS 3600
    RVK:
    MS 4200
    RVK:
    ME 8800
    Keywords: Internationale Migration ; Migrationspolitik ; Sozialer Konflikt ; Internationale Migration ; Migrationspolitik ; Sozialer Konflikt ; Aufsatzsammlung
    Author information: Kaufmann, Eric 1970-
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  • 7
    Article
    Article
    People vs. Malthus : population pressure, environmental degradation, and armed conflict revisited (2005)
    Show associated volumes
    Details
    UID:
    gbv_1641893419
    Format: Tab., Lit. S. 431-433
    ISSN: 0022-3433
    In: Journal of peace research, London [u.a.] : SAGE Publ., 1964, 42(2005), 4, Seite 417-434, 0022-3433
    In: volume:42
    In: year:2005
    In: number:4
    In: pages:417-434
    Language: English
    Library Location Call Number Volume/Issue/Year Availability
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    Article
    Informationszentrum DGAP get availability status
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