Kooperativer Bibliotheksverbund

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Format: 1 online resource (170 pages) : , illustrations, tables

ISBN: 9789048522095 (e-book)

Note: Includes indexes.

Additional Edition: Print version: Wilkinson, Angela. Essence of scenarios : learning from the Shell experience. Amsterdam, [Netherlands] : Amsterdam University Press, c2014 ISBN 9789089645944

Language: English

Keywords: Electronic books.

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Format: 1 online resource (280 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).

ISBN: 9789048538744 (ebook)

Content: We are running out of water, robots will take our jobs, we are eating ourselves to an early death, old age pension and health systems are bankrupting governments, and an immigration crisis is unravelling the European integration project. A growing number of nightmares, perfect storms, and global catastrophes create fear of the future. One response is technocratic optimism - we'll invent our way out of these impending crises. Or we'll simply ignore them as politically too hot to handle, too uncomfortable for experts - denied until crisis hits. History is littered with late lessons from early warnings. Cynicism is an excuse for inaction. Populism flourishes in the depths of despair. Despite the gloom, there is another way to look at the future. We don't have to be pessimistic or optimistic - we can find realistic hope. This book is written by an international and influential collection of future shapers. It is aimed at anyone who is interested in learning to refresh the present, forge new common ground, and redesign the future.

Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 22 Feb 2021).

Additional Edition: Print version: ISBN 9789462987241

Language: English

URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/9789048538744/type/BOOK

URL: lizenzpflichtig

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Format: xxiii, 242 Seiten , Illustrationen, Diagramme

Edition: First published in paperback

ISBN: 9780198745693 , 9780198820666

Note: Literaturverzeichnis: Seiten [223]-232 , Mit einem Vorwort von Kees van der Heijden

Language: English

Subjects: Economics

Keywords: Strategische Planung ; Planungskonzept ; Szenario

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Format: 168 S. : , Ill.

ISBN: 978-90-8964-594-4 , 90-8964-594-2

Language: English

Subjects: Economics

Keywords: Strategische Planung ; Strategisches Management ; Multinationales Unternehmen ; Management

URL: Inhaltsverzeichnis

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Format: 280 Seiten

ISBN: 9789462987241

Language: English

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Format: 1 online resource (275 pages) , illustrations, tables

Edition: First edition.

ISBN: 9780191062896

Content: This bookprovides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.

Content: Cover -- Strategic Reframing: The Oxford Scenario Planning Approach -- Copyright -- Dedication -- Foreword -- Turbulence -- Where are we now? -- What does scenario planning have to offer? -- Preface -- The journey of learning that led to this book -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- List of Boxes -- List of Abbreviations -- 1: Introduction -- Introduction -- INTERVENING EFFECTIVELY IN AN UNPREDICTABLE WORLD -- BALANCING COMPETITIVE AND COLLABORATIVE TENDENCIES FOR MORE EFFECTIVE FUTURE PREPAREDNESS -- A SHIFT FROM PREDICTION TO REFRAMING -- THE REFRAMING-REPERCEPTION CYCLE IS AT THE HEART OF THE OSPA -- NAVIGATING THE RICH HISTORY OF PRACTICE AND CHALLENGING THE POVERTY OF SHARED WISDOM -- Introducing the OSPA: seven key premises -- What do we mean by turbulence? -- Distinctive features of the OSPA -- A PURPOSEFUL PRACTICE AND LEARNER-CENTRIC SCENARIO PLANNING METHODOLOGY -- THE RELATIONS BETWEEN REFRAMING AND REPERCEPTION AND THE ITERATIVE PROCESS -- THE LIMITS OF POSITIONAL STRATEGY: COLLABORATION FOR EVOLUTIONARY ADVANTAGE -- Methodological choices in the OSPA -- Organization of this book -- Notes -- 2: The OSPA as social process -- Introduction -- Strategic situations are always socially constructed -- Gentle" reperception as sensemaking helped by contrasted future contexts -- Turbulence and unpredictable uncertainty -- Novelty and uniqueness -- Ambiguity -- Examples of TUNA-induced strategic framing contests -- Creating and sustaining a ``safe space´´ to avoid social learning dysfunctions -- Time matters -- Social constructions of time -- Time cultures shape how one ``looks forward´´ -- Negotiation of the time horizon -- The OSPA´s three arrows of time -- Timeliness in the rhythms of organizational routines and processes -- Sensemaking in the safe space: plausibility, memorability, and consistency.

Note: Includes bibliographical references and indexes. Description based on print version record

Additional Edition: ISBN 9780198745693

Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Ramírez, Rafael, 1956 - Strategic reframing Oxford : Oxford University Press, 2018 ISBN 9780198820666

Additional Edition: ISBN 9780198745693

Language: English

URL: lizenzpflichtig

UID:

Format: 1 online resource : , illustrations (black and white)

Edition: First edition.

ISBN: 9780191807695 (ebook) :

Content: This text provides clear information and guidance on how to do scenario planning to support strategy and public policy. The book describes the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA), an intellectually rigorous and practical methodolgy.

Note: This edition previously issued in print: 2016.

Additional Edition: Print version : ISBN 9780198745693

Language: English

URL: Oxford scholarship online

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Format: xxiii, 242 Seiten : , Illustrationen, Diagramme.

Edition: First edition

ISBN: 978-0-19-874569-3 , 978-0-19-882066-6

Note: Literaturverzeichnis: Seiten [223]-232. - Mit einem Vorwort von Kees van der Heijden

Language: English

Subjects: Economics

Keywords: Strategische Planung ; Planungskonzept ; Szenario

URL: http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=028978924&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA

UID:

Format: 1 online resource

ISBN: 9789048538744

Content: We are running out of water, robots will take our jobs, we are eating ourselves to an early death, old age pension and health systems are bankrupting governments, and an immigration crisis is unravelling the European integration project. A growing number of nightmares, perfect storms, and global catastrophes create fear of the future. One response is technocratic optimism — we’ll invent our way out of these impending crises. Or we’ll simply ignore them as politically too hot to handle, too uncomfortable for experts — denied until crisis hits. History is littered with late lessons from early warnings. Cynicism is an excuse for inaction. Populism flourishes in the depths of despair. Despite the gloom, there is another way to look at the future. We don’t have to be pessimistic or optimistic — we can find realistic hope.This book is written by an international and influential collection of future shapers. It is aimed at anyone who is interested in learning to refresh the present, forge new common ground, and redesign the future.

Note: Frontmatter -- , Contents -- , Foreword: Realising Hope / , Introduction: Building Better Futures / , 1. Making Globalisation Work / , 2. Energy: A Better Life with a Healthy Planet / , 3. Are Major Wars More Likely in the Future? / , 4. The Future of Work / , 5. Digital Technologies: Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining / , 6. Cities to the Rescue: A New Scale for Dealing with Climate Change / , 7. The Future of Global Poverty / , 8. Transcending Boundaries: The Realistic Hope for Water / , 9. Health Systems: Doomed to Fail or About to Be Saved by a Copernican Shift? / , 10. Seeding the Future: Challenges to Global Food Systems / , 11. The Great Livestock Trade-off : Food Production, Poverty Alleviation, and Climate Change / , 12. Rethinking Economics for Global Challenges / , 13. Leadership and the Future of Democratic Societies / , 14. Prototyping the Future: A New Approach to Whole-of-Society Visioning / , Five Principles of Realistic Hope / , Epilogue: From the Eclipse of Utopia to the Restoration of Hope / , Acknowledgements -- , Name Index -- , Subject Index -- , Endorsements for Realistic Hope , In English.

Language: English

DOI: 10.1515/9789048538744

URL: https://doi.org/10.1515/9789048538744

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Format: 1 online resource (168 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).

ISBN: 9789048522095 (ebook)

Content: In 1965, Royal Dutch Shell started experimenting with a new approach to preparing for the future. This approach, called scenario planning, eschewed forecasting in favor of plausible alternative stories. By using stories, or 'scenarios,' Shell aimed to avoid the false assumption that the future would look much like the present - an assumption that marred most corporate planning at the time. The Essence of Scenarios offers unmatched insight into the company's innovative practice, which still has a huge influence on the way businesses, governments, and other organizations think about and plan for the future. In the course of their research, Angela Wilkinson and Roland Kupers interviewed almost every living veteran of the Shell scenario planning operation, along with many top Shell executives from later periods. Drawing on these interviews, the authors identify several principles that characterize the Shell process and explain how it has survived and thrived for so long. They also enumerate the qualities of successful Shell scenarios, which above all must be plausible stories with logical trajectories. Ultimately, Wilkinson and Kupers demonstrate the value of scenario planning as a sustained practice, rather than as a one-off exercise.

Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 22 Feb 2021).

Additional Edition: Print version: ISBN 9789089645944

Language: English

URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/9789048522095/type/BOOK