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  • 1
    UID:
    b3kat_BV023593913
    Format: 46 S. , graph. Darst. , 22 cm
    Series Statement: Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 14028
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 2
    Book
    Book
    Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research
    UID:
    b3kat_BV023592039
    Format: 23 S. , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: National Bureau of Economic Research 〈Cambridge, Mass.〉: NBER working paper series 12103
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 3
    Book
    Book
    Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research
    UID:
    b3kat_BV035852244
    Format: 37 S. , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: NBER working paper series 14630
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 4
    UID:
    gbv_1838816135
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (34 pages)
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers no. 2013, 147
    Content: Natural resource revenues are an increasingly important financing source for public investment in many developing economies. Investing volatile resource revenues, however, may subject an economy to macroeconomic instability. This paper applies to Angola the fiscal framework developed in Berg and others (forthcoming) that incorporates investment inefficiency and absorptive capacity constraints, often encountered in developing countries. The sustainable investing approach, which combines a stable fiscal regime with external savings, can convert resource wealth to development gains while maintaining economic stability. Stochastic simulations demonstrate how the framework can be used to inform allocations between capital spending and external savings when facing uncertain oil revenues. An overly aggressive investment scaling-up path could result in insufficient fiscal buffers when faced with negative oil price shocks. Consequently, investment progress can be interrupted, driving up the capital depreciation rate, undermining economic stability, and lowering the growth benefits of public investment
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Richmond, Christine Investing Volatile Oil Revenues in Capital-Scarce Economies: An Application to Angola Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2021 ISBN 9781484393000
    Language: English
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  • 5
    UID:
    gbv_1667999613
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 46 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781498311151
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/19, 90
    Content: This paper studies the main channels through which interest rate normalization has fiscal implications in the United States. While unexpected inflation reduces the real value of government liabilities, a rising policy rate increases government financing needs because of higher interest payments and lower real bond prices. After an initial decline, the real government debt burden rises even with higher tax revenues in an expansion. Given the current net debt-to-GDP ratio at around 80 percent, interest rate normalization leads to a negligible increase in the sovereign default risk of the U.S. federal government, despite a much higher federal debt-to-GDP ratio than the post-war historical average
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Washington, DC] : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    gbv_1725685051
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 45 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781513546797
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/20, 91
    Content: The theoretical literature generally finds that government spending multipliers are bigger than unity in a low interest rate environment. Using a fully nonlinear New Keynesian model, we show that such big multipliers can decrease when 1) an initial debt-to-GDP ratio is higher, 2) tax burden is higher, 3) debt maturity is longer, and 4) monetary policy is more responsive to inflation. When monetary and fiscal policy regimes can switch, policy uncertainty also reduces spending multipliers. In particular, when higher inflation induces a rising probability to switch to a regime in which monetary policy actively controls inflation and fiscal policy raises future taxes to stabilize government debt, the multipliers can fall much below unity, especially with an initial high debt ratio. Our findings help reconcile the mixed empirical evidence on government spending effects with low interest rates
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Mao, Ruoyun Government Spending Effects in a Policy Constrained Environment Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020 ISBN 9781513546797
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
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  • 7
    UID:
    gbv_85592375X
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 49 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781513578972
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/15/286
    Content: Despite the voluminous literature on fiscal policy, very few papers focus on low-income countries (LICs). This paper develops a new-Keynesian small open economy model to show, analytically and through simulations, that some of the prevalent features of LICs-different types of financing including aid, the marginal efficiency of public investment, and the degree of home bias-play a key role in determining the effects of fiscal policy and related multipliers in these countries. External financing like aid increases the resource envelope of the economy, mitigating the private sector crowding out effects of government spending and pushing up the output multiplier. The same external financing, however, tends to appreciate the real exchange rate and as a result, traded output can respond quite negatively, reducing the overall output multiplier. Although capital scarcity implies high returns to public capital in LICs, declines in public investment efficiency can substantially dampen the output multiplier. Since LICs often import substantial amounts of goods, public investment may not be as effective in stimulating domestic production in the short run
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Shen, Wenyi Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015 ISBN 9781513578972
    Language: English
    Keywords: Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
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  • 8
    UID:
    gbv_845822497
    Format: Online-Ressource (48 p)
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    ISBN: 1475535562 , 9781475535563
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 12/274
    Content: Natural resource revenues provide a valuable source to finance public investment in developing countries, which frequently face borrowing constraints and tax revenue mobilization problems. This paper develops a dynamic stochastic small open economy model to analyze the macroeconomic effects of investing natural resource revenues, making explicit the role of pervasive features in these countries including public investment inefficiency, absorptive capacity constraints, Dutch disease, and financing needs to sustain capital. Revenue exhaustibility raises medium-term issues of how to sustain capital built during a windfall, while revenue volatility raises short-term concerns about macroeconomic instability. Using the model, country applications show how combining public investment with a resource fund---a sustainable investing approach---can help address the macroeconomic problems associated with both exhaustibility and volatility. The applications also demonstrate how the model can be used to determine the appropriate magnitude of the investment scaling-up (accounting for the financing needs to sustain capital) and the adequate size of a stabilization fund (buffer)
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Berg, Andrew Public Investment in Resource-Abundant Developing Countries Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012 ISBN 9781475535563
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
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  • 9
    UID:
    gbv_1725662213
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 55 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781513545868
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/20, 71
    Content: Using the post-WWII data of U.S. federal corporate income tax changes, within a Smooth Transition VAR, this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt-dependent: it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low. To explore the mechanisms that can drive this fiscal state-dependent tax effect, the paper uses a DSGE model with regime-switching fiscal policy and finds that a capital income tax cut is stimulative to the extent that it is unlikely to result in a future fiscal adjustment. As government debt increases to a sufficiently high level, the probability of future fiscal adjustments starts rising, and the expansionary effects of a capital income tax cut can diminish substantially, whether the expected adjustments are through a policy reversal or a consumption tax increase. Also, a capital income tax cut need not always have large revenue feedback effects as suggested in the literature
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Fotiou, Alexandra The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2020 ISBN 9781513545868
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
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  • 10
    UID:
    gbv_1677779446
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 53 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781498316835
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/19, 125
    Content: A New Keynesian model with government production, public compensation, and unemployment is fit to U.S. data to study the macroeconomic and fiscal effects of public wage reductions. We find that accounting for the type of government spending is crucial for its macroeconomic implications. Although reductions in public wages and government purchases of goods have similar effects on total output and the fiscal balance, the former can raise private output slightly, in contrast to the substantial contractionary effects of the latter. In addition, the baseline estimation finds that exogenous public wage reductions decrease private wages. Model counterfactuals show that sufficiently rigid nominal private wages can reverse the response of private wages, as the rigidity dampens the labor reallocation effect from the public to private sector that exerts downward pressure on private wages
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Chang, Juin-Jen Fiscal Consolidation and Public Wages Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019 ISBN 9781498316835
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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