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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958078746202883
    Format: 1 online resource (58 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-3983-2 , 1-4552-0008-5 , 1-282-02669-0 , 1-4552-4033-8 , 9786613796431
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: This paper investigates empirically the degree of international integration of industrial and emerging country equity markets. It analyzes two issues: first, the extent to which equity prices have tended to move similarly across countries and regions in the long run; and second, the strength of cross-country “contagion” effects. The paper’s findings suggest that both intra-regional and inter-regional linkages across national equity markets have strengthened in recent years. In addition, using impulse response functions, the paper shows that cross-country contagion effects of country-specific shocks dissipate in a matter of weeks while contagion effects of global shocks take several months to unwind themselves.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-5328-9
    Language: English
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958078755702883
    Format: 1 online resource (18 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-4486-0 , 1-4552-3742-6 , 1-282-02003-X , 9786613796127 , 1-4552-3630-6
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Energy exports, which are already the primary source of Soviet convertible currency earnings and an important contributor to the budget, could bring in much more revenue if the Soviet Union were to reduce its extremely high levels of energy consumption. To encourage this process, energy prices need to be raised substantially. Under plausible assumptions, it is shown that an increase in prices could yield sizable foreign exchange earnings. Large increases in energy prices could, however, threaten the solvency of industrial enterprises, precipitate major economic and social dislocation, and severely strain interrepublican economic relationships.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-5476-5
    Language: English
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958092870302883
    Format: 1 online resource (34 p.)
    ISBN: 1-4623-1893-2 , 1-4552-4070-2 , 1-4519-7121-4
    Series Statement: IMF Policy Discussion Papers
    Content: Since the mid-1980s, there has been a very substantial increase in stock market activity in many developing countries. This paper first examines the main characteristics of the emerging stock markets, and illustrates the evolution of equity prices in these markets over the last decade. It then discusses the reasons for the markets’ growth and assesses the extent to which domestic policies, as well as external factors, have played a role. This is followed by a discussion of the likely benefits of these markets; the effects which any abrupt correction in stock prices could have for the economy; and the ways in which these markets can be made more efficient.
    Language: English
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958078251102883
    Format: 1 online resource (34 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-3598-5 , 1-4552-2421-9 , 1-281-08946-X , 9786613774828 , 1-4552-0795-0
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: This paper examines the composition of primary commodity exports by industrial countries and contrasts this composition with that of the exports by developing countries. Both the share of industrial countries’ commodity exports in world commodity exports, as well as in their own total merchandize exports, is examined over time and across different commodities and geographical areas. The paper then specifies and empirically estimates an econometric model of the demand for and the supply of commodity exports by industrial countries. The model is estimated for five groups of industrial countries and the parameters of the model are compared with those available for the developing countries.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-4195-7
    Language: English
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958071265202883
    Format: 1 online resource (33 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-1385-X , 1-4527-9976-8 , 1-4552-5727-3
    Series Statement: IMF Staff Position Notes
    Content: This paper presents sharp increase in government debt has complicated the management of preexisting challenges from population aging, especially in advanced economies. The increase in debt ratios projected for these economies is the largest since World War II. The increase in deficits and debt raises complicated tradeoffs. Policymakers will need to balance two competing risks: on the one hand, a too hasty withdrawal of fiscal stimulus would risk nipping a recovery in the bud; on the other hand, with a delayed withdrawal investor concerns about sustainability may increase, leading to higher interest rates on government paper, undermining the recovery and increasing risks of a snowballing of debt. Regardless of the timing of adjustment, its necessary scale will be quite large, particularly for high-debt advanced economies. Preserving investor confidence in government solvency is key to avoiding an increase in interest rates, thereby not only preventing snowballing debt dynamics, but also ensuring that the fiscal stimulus is effective.
    Language: English
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958096560602883
    Format: 1 online resource (60 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-8429-3 , 1-4552-3940-2 , 1-281-60234-5 , 9786613783035 , 1-4552-6552-7
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: This paper discusses three important extensions to the developing country scenario and adjustment model used in the World Economic Outlook exercises. First, the model is augmented to include fiscal and monetary sectors and now explicitly captures links among government policy, investment, output and inflation. Second, the external sector is modified to allow domestic demand factors to influence imports, as well as allowing flexibility in the financing of imports. Third, the model system is extended to the group of net-creditor countries, and for the oil exporters within this group, oil exports are modeled separately. The revised model is estimated for each of the 95 developing countries and parameter estimates for each of the main equations are presented. The paper also reports the results of four simulation exercises to illustrate how the new model system may be used to quantify the effects of changes in domestic policies and in the external environment.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-4938-9
    Language: English
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958111984202883
    Format: 1 online resource (48 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-3375-3 , 1-4552-5660-9 , 1-282-10768-2 , 9786613801036 , 1-4552-2722-6
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Mobilization of national saving is an important determinant of investment and growth. It assumed greater importance in the case of the Iranian economy, given the difficult external environment. This paper discusses the recent saving performance of the Iranian economy, particularly in relation to investment needs. Following a quantitative evaluation of the determinants of saving, the paper reviews the main implications for domestic economic policies in the period ahead.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-5576-1
    Language: English
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958096569702883
    Format: 1 online resource (52 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-7314-3 , 1-4552-2429-4 , 1-281-60194-2 , 1-4552-2721-8 , 9786613782632
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of these markets, including relative to international comparators, and examines associated structural features. This, along with an analysis of the informational efficiency of selected markets in the region, provides a basis for the subsequent review of policies for enhancing the role of equity markets in the macroeconomy of Middle Eastern countries.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-5266-5
    Language: English
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  • 9
    UID:
    almafu_9958059393102883
    Format: 1 online resource (152 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-4721-5 , 1-4552-8596-X
    Series Statement: Fiscal Monitor
    Content: With increasing fiscal challenges in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, multilateral surveillance of fiscal developments, a key part of the IMF's surveillance responsibilities, has gained further importance. In response, the Fiscal Monitor was launched in 2009 to survey and analyze the latest public finance developments, update fiscal implications of the crisis and medium-term fiscal projections, and assess policies to put public finances on a sustainable footing. The Fiscal Monitor is prepared twice a year by the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department. The Monitor's projections are based on the same database used for the October 2010 World Economic Outlook (WEO) and Global Financial Stability Report.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , Fiscal themes and near-term outlook -- , Sovereign financing and government debt markets -- , Fiscal adjustment plans and medium-term fiscal outlook -- , Assessing fiscal risks -- , Selected spending and tax issues. , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-61635-047-4
    Language: English
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    almafu_9958096524902883
    Format: 1 online resource (25 pages)
    ISBN: 1-4623-3984-0 , 1-4519-9853-8 , 1-281-60002-4 , 1-4518-9845-2 , 9786613780713
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Increasing emphasis has been placed on the need for an effective lender of last resort for sovereign states and on procedures for sovereign debt restructuring to help cope with global financial crises. Where private creditors use short-term debt to check sovereign debtor’s moral hazard, there is the risk of self-fulfilling crises. In this context, we conclude that the proposal of the Meltzer Commission—for unconditional financial support, but only to states that pre-qualify—could be the source of increased instability. After discussing analogies with private sector arrangements, we compare the operations of the existing Paris Club with proposed Chapter 11 style procedures.
    Note: Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4518-5281-9
    Language: English
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