UID:
edocfu_9961512037602883
Format:
1 online resource (xii, 218 pages) :
,
illustrations, charts.
Edition:
First edition.
ISBN:
0-262-37319-X
,
0-262-37320-3
Series Statement:
The MIT Press
Content:
The power of the ever-increasing tools and algorithms for prediction and their paradoxical effects on risk. The Age of Prediction is about two powerful, and symbiotic, trends: the rapid development and use of artificial intelligence and big data to enhance prediction, as well as the often paradoxical effects of these better predictions on our understanding of risk and the ways we live. Beginning with dramatic advances in quantitative investing and precision medicine, this book explores how predictive technology is quietly reshaping our world in fundamental ways, from crime fighting and warfare to monitoring individual health and elections. As prediction grows more robust, it also alters the nature of the accompanying risk, setting up unintended and unexpected consequences. The Age of Prediction details how predictive certainties can bring about complacency or even an increase in risks -- genomic analysis might lead to unhealthier lifestyles or a GPS might encourage less attentive driving. With greater predictability also comes a degree of mystery, and the authors ask how narrower risks might affect markets, insurance, or risk tolerance generally. Can we ever reduce risk to zero Should we even try This book lays an intriguing groundwork for answering these fundamental questions and maps out the latest tools and technologies that power these projections into the future, sometimes using novel, cross-disciplinary tools to map out cancer growth, people's medical risks, and stock dynamics.
Note:
Prediction and risk -- The Quantasaurus -- The trouble with risk -- New tools of prediction -- Mortality and its possibilities -- Crime and privacy -- The smart killing machine -- Predicting performance -- The plague of polling -- The ultimate paradox.
Additional Edition:
ISBN 0-262-04773-X
Additional Edition:
Print version: Tulchinsky, Igor, 1966- Age of prediction Cambridge, Massachusetts : The MIT Press, [2023] ISBN 9780262047739
Language:
English
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