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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    gbv_845838830
    Format: Online-Ressource (25 p)
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    ISBN: 1455205354 , 9781455205356
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 10/204
    Content: The study presents an analysis of the information content of IMF’s Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) indicators. There are significant differences in the quantity of information between DQAF dimensions and sub-dimensions. The most informative DQAF dimension is accessibility, followed by the prerequisites of quality and accuracy and reliability. The least informative DQAF dimensions are serviceability and assurances of integrity. The implication of these findings is that the current DQAF indicators do not maximize the amount of information that could be obtained during data ROSC missions. An additional set of assessments that would refine the existing DQAF indicators would be beneficial in maximizing the information gathered during data ROSC mission. The entropy of DQAF indicators could also be used in the construction of a cardinal index of data quality
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Mrkaic, Mico Information Content of DQAF Indicators: Empirical Entropy Analysis Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010 ISBN 9781455205356
    Language: English
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    edocfu_9958080752402883
    Format: 1 online resource (18 p.)
    ISBN: 1-4843-2845-0 , 1-4843-9805-X , 1-4843-8497-0
    Series Statement: IMF working paper ; WP/13/ ;
    Content: The multipliers of taxes, and government consumption and investment expenditure for the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) are estimated using vector autoregression models with panel data. The impact and long-run multipliers are below unity, suggesting that a great extent of the intended impulse ends up expanding imported demand. The long-run multipliers of taxes and consumption expenditure are non-different from zero statistically, while public investment has a long-run multiplier of 0.6. The results suggest that countercyclical policies to stimulate growth should focus on public investment.
    Note: Description based upon print version of record. , Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. The Role of Fiscal Multipliers; III. Methodology and Data; A. The approach; B. Data issues; C. Interpolation of real GDP to obtain quarterly series; IV. Methodology for Estimation of Fiscal Multipliers; A. Description of the SVAR models used; B. Calculation of fiscal multipliers; C. The direct effects of fiscal Shocks on GDP; Figures; 1. Fiscal multipliers based on the direct effects of fiscal shocks; D. A complete description of the effects of fiscal shocks on GDP; 2. Fiscal multipliers taking into account interaction of variables; V. Conclusion , References , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4843-5991-7
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-299-67800-9
    Language: English
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    gbv_845842595
    Format: Online-Ressource (21 p)
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    ISBN: 1455205346 , 9781455205349
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 10/203
    Content: This paper analyzes the effects of IMF member countries participation in the IMF’s Data Standards Initiatives (DSI) on the statistical quality of WEO forecasts. Results show that WEO forecasts for SDDS subscribers are in general better than for GDDS participants and those member countries than do not participate in the DSIs. Policy implications are that the DSI positively affect the statistical quality of forecasts and by extension improve the necessary conditions for multilateral surveillance and the provision of member countries with high quality policy advice
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Mrkaic, Mico Data Dissemination Standards and the Statistical Quality of the IMF's World Economic Outlook Forecasts Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010 ISBN 9781455205349
    Language: English
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  • 4
    UID:
    gbv_31872894X
    Format: 289 S
    ISBN: 8642705078
    Series Statement: Biblioteka Eseji, kritike i studije
    Language: Serbian
    Keywords: Milutinović, Sima 1791-1847 ; Montenegro ; Literaturbeziehungen ; Rezeption
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  • 5
    UID:
    gbv_751911240
    Format: graph. Darst.
    ISBN: 1616352655
    In: The Eastern Caribbean Economic and Currency Union, Washington, DC : International Monetary Fund, 2013, (2013), Seite 219-231, 1616352655
    In: 9781616352653
    In: year:2013
    In: pages:219-231
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz im Buch
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  • 6
    UID:
    gbv_752189689
    ISBN: 1616352655
    In: The Eastern Caribbean Economic and Currency Union, Washington, DC : International Monetary Fund, 2013, (2013), Seite 487-503, 1616352655
    In: 9781616352653
    In: year:2013
    In: pages:487-503
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz im Buch
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    edoccha_9958114565202883
    Format: 1 online resource (33 p.)
    ISBN: 1-4623-0124-X , 1-4552-3140-1 , 1-283-55490-9 , 1-4552-4855-X , 9786613867353
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: This paper analyzes the effects of IMF member countries participation in the IMF’s Data Standards Initiatives (DSI) on the statistical quality of WEO forecasts. Results show that WEO forecasts for SDDS subscribers are in general better than for GDDS participants and those member countries than do not participate in the DSIs. Policy implications are that the DSI positively affect the statistical quality of forecasts and by extension improve the necessary conditions for multilateral surveillance and the provision of member countries with high quality policy advice.
    Note: Description based upon print version of record. , Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Contents; I. Introduction; II. A Theoretical Prelude; A. Timing conventions; B. Properties of Optimal Forecasts; C. Data Dissemination Standards and Forecast Statistical quality; Figure 1: An example of SDDS and GDDS periodicity and timeliness requirements; III. The Data Set; A. Data Coverage by Year and by Region; Table 1. Data coverage by years; Table 2. Data coverage by region; B. Descriptive Statistics of Forecast Errors; Table 3. Descriptive statistics of the forecast errors; C. The Distribution of Forecast Errors , Figure 2: The shape of the same period real GDP forecast error distributionTable 4. Parametric estimates of forecast errors for the Pearson family; IV. Empirical Results; A. Descriptive Variance Analysis; Table 5. Mean-Variance analysis of same period annual real GDP forecast errors; Table 6. Mean-Variance analysis of one period ahead annual real GDP forecast errors; Table 7. Mean-Variance analysis of same period annual inflation forecast errors; Table 8. Mean-Variance analysis of one period ahead annual inflation forecast errors; B. Variance Equality Tests , Table 9: Test for equality of variances, annual real GDP growth rate forecast errorsTable 10: Test for equality of variances, annual inflation rate forecast errors; C. Correlation Analysis; Table 11: Covariance analysis of real GDP and inflation forecast errors; V. Conclusion; VII. Appendix: The Levene and Brown-Forsythe Tests; VI. References; Footnotes , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-4552-0534-6
    Language: English
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  • 8
    UID:
    edocfu_9960178600502883
    Format: 1 online resource (25 pages)
    ISBN: 1-5135-9071-5
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: This paper dives into the Fund’s historical coverage of cross-border spillovers in its surveillance. We use a state-of-the-art deep learning model to analyze the discussion of spillovers in all IMF Article IV staff reports between 2010 and 2019. We find that overall, while the discussion of spillovers decreased over time, it was pronounced in the staff reports of some systemically important economies and during periods of global spillover events. Spillover discussions were more prominent in staff reports covering advanced and emerging market economies, possibly reflecting their role as sources of global spillovers. The coverage of spillovers was higher in the context of the real, financial, and external sectors. Also, countries with larger economies, higher trade and capital account openess and lower inflation are more likely to discuss spillovers in their Article IV staff reports.
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-5135-7367-5
    Language: English
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    edoccha_9960178629602883
    Format: 1 online resource (39 pages)
    ISBN: 1-5135-6319-X
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Estimates of output gaps continue to play a key role in assessments of the stance of business cycles. This paper uses three approaches to examine the historical record of output gap measurements and their use in surveillance within the IMF. Firstly, the historical record of global output gap estimates shows a firm negative skew, in line with previous regional studies, as well as frequent historical revisions to output gap estimates. Secondly, when looking at the co-movement of output gap estimates and realized measures of slack, a positive, but limited, association is found between the two. Thirdly, text analysis techniques are deployed to assess how estimates of output gaps are used in Fund surveillance. The results reveal no strong bearing of output gap estimates on the coverage of the concept or direction of policy advice. The results suggest the need for continued caution in relying on output gaps for real-time policymaking and policy assessment.
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-5135-6125-1
    Language: English
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D.C. :International Monetary Fund,
    UID:
    edocfu_9960178638502883
    Format: 1 online resource (35 pages)
    ISBN: 1-5135-5878-1
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: Central banks often buy or sell reserves-–-so called FX interventions (FXIs)---to dampen sharp exchange rate movements caused by volatile capital flows. At the same time, these interventions may entail unintended side effects. In this paper, we investigate whether FXIs incentivize firms to take on more unhedged FX debt, thereby increasing medium-term corporate vulnerabilities. Using a novel dataset with close to 5,000 nonfinancial firms across 19 emerging markets covering 2002--2017, we find that the firm-level share of FX debt rises following intensive use of FXIs, particularly for non-exporting firms in shallow financial markets with no FX debt to begin with. The magnitude of this effect is economically significant, with one standard deviation increase in FXI leading to an average 2 percentage points increase in the FX debt share. For reference, the median share of FX debt in the sample is zero.
    Additional Edition: ISBN 1-5135-5766-1
    Language: English
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