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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    (DE-627)798690216
    Format: Online-Ressource (49 p)
    ISBN: 9781498327220
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers v.Working Paper No. 14/161
    Content: This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China''s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and estimated for Peru to measure the risk spillovers, and simulate domestic macroeconomic responses in different scenarios with these two external risks. The simulation results suggest that Peru''s output is vulnerable to both risks, particularly the U.S. monetary policy tightening. Simulations also highlight t
    Note: Description based upon print version of record , Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Abstract; Contents; Tables; Figures; I. Introduction; II. A Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy; III. Data and Estimation; IV. Scenarios and Simulations; A1. External Shocks and Simulation Scenarios; A2. Peru's Macroeconomic Responses: Impact of External Shocks; A3. Peru's Macroeconomic Responses with Exogenous Exchange Rates: Impact of External Shocks; A4. Peru's Macroeconomic Responses with a Lower Degree of Dollarization: Impact of External Shocks; V. Concluding Remarks , A1. Estimation Resutls: Aggregate Demand EquationA2. Estimation Resutls: Expectations-Augmented Phillips Curve; A3. Estimation Resutls: Monetary Policy Rule; A4. Estimation Resutls: Exchange Rate Expectation Equation; Appendix; References; Footnotes
    Additional Edition: 9781498384414
    Additional Edition: 9781498327220
    Additional Edition: Print version Measuring External Risks for Peru: Insights from a Macroeconomic Model for a Small Open and Partially Dollarized Economy
    Language: English
    Keywords: Electronic books
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [S.l.] : SSRN
    UID:
    (DE-627)1790674298
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (32 p)
    Series Statement: IMF Working Paper No. 19/31
    Content: Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on the natural rate by lowering trend potential growth. We also find that the negative impact has been increasing over time amid stronger demographic headwinds. These findings highlight the importance of boosting potential growth to offset the negative demographic impact and lift the natural rate in Japan
    Note: Nach Informationen von SSRN wurde die ursprüngliche Fassung des Dokuments February 2019 erstellt
    Language: English
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Stuttgart : Institut für Umformtechnik | Stuttgart : Universitätsbibliothek der Universität Stuttgart
    UID:
    (DE-627)1780643330
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (xiv, 158 Seiten) , Illustrationen, Diagramme
    ISBN: 9783946818175
    Series Statement: Beiträge zur Umformtechnik 92
    Note: Dissertation Universität Stuttgart 2021
    Additional Edition: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Han, Fei, 1985 - A new criterion to determine wrinkling in deep drawing and stretch forming processes Stuttgart : Institut für Umformtechnik, 2021 9783946818175
    Language: English
    Keywords: Hochschulschrift
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : eScholarship, University of California
    UID:
    (DE-627)1803110236
    Content: Congenital heart disease (CHD) is the most common congenital defect affecting about 1% of live births. Cardiovascular MRI (CMR) is increasingly used in pediatric patients with CHD to complement echocardiography and invasive catheterization for anatomical and functional assessment of the heart and blood vessels. For children, the non-invasiveness, unrestricted field of view, absence of contrast nephrotoxicity and ionizing radiation make CMR an attractive imaging modality. Current pediatric CMR protocol includes, among others, 2D cardiac cine and 3D first-pass contrast-enhanced MR angiography, both performed with breath-holding. However, reliable breath-holds are usually hard to achieve in these pediatric patients due to their limited cooperation. In addition, prolonged and repeated breath-holds are undesirable for patients with unstable cardiopulmonary status. More importantly, the data acquisitions in current CMR protocols are limited by the breath-hold duration, the need to capture the first-pass of the gadolinium bolus and relatively thick 2D slices in cardiac cine. Consequently, despite its exquisitely detailed definition of extra-cardiac vascular anatomy, conventional CMR methods fall short of providing a comparable definition of dynamic cardiac anatomy, although the status of these structures is often the basis for treatment and surgical planning. Moreover, a conventional pediatric CMR protocol requires a lot of clinical resources, including an average of 1-2 hours of scanner time and the need for physician's presence to ensure appropriate geometric interrogation of the complex congenital cardiac anatomy. All the aforementioned issues have prevented pediatric CMR from reaching its full potential. The overall aim of this thesis is to propose an innovative, effective, and reliable CMR approach to address the aforementioned issues of conventional protocol. The proposed pediatric CMR approach includes the use of ferumoxytol as an intravascular contrast agent and the development of the 4D Multi-phase Steady-state Imaging with Contrast (4D MUSIC) pulse sequence using a ROtating Cartesian K-space (ROCK) sampling pattern, cardiac and respiratory motion self-gating and compressed sensing image reconstruction. The proposed approach potentially represents a new paradigm of CMR in pediatric CHD patients whereby comprehensive volumetric information about cardiovascular anatomy and function can be acquired non-invasively in 10 minutes, without ionizing radiation, without exposure to a Gadolinium-based contrast agent and without breath-holding.Chapter 1 introduces the conventional CMR protocol and discusses its utility in the clinical management of pediatric patients with CHD, which bring out the motivation of the technical development of this thesis. In Chapter 2, a brief technical background of MRI is provided. Chapter 3 introduces the concept of performing CMR with respiratory and cardiac motion compensation during the steady-state distribution of ferumoxytol. The prototype 4D MUSIC pulse sequence and preliminary clinical results from eight pediatric patients with CHD are presented in this chapter. In Chapter 4, several technical developments were made to optimize the 4D MUSIC sequence, including an efficient and flexible ROCK sampling pattern, a robust retrospective motion compensation strategy, and a compressed sensing image reconstruction algorithm. These technical developments further improve the clinical performance of 4D MUSIC in terms of image quality, scan efficiency, and reliability, and potentially eliminate the need for external physiological signal monitoring for motion gating. The optimized 4D MUSIC sequence was validated in a clinical study of ten pediatric patients with CHD. Chapter 5 exploits the potential of 4D MUSIC for cardiac functional evaluation where a motion-weighted image reconstruction strategy was evaluated to improve the temporal resolution of 4D MUSIC images. The results from a retrospective clinical study of sex pediatric patients with CHD showed that 4D MUSIC could offer accurate cardiac functional measurements.Several techniques developed in Chapters 3-5 can be applied to other MRI applications. In Chapter 6, a segmented golden ratio radial reordering scheme is proposed in order to improve the k-space sampling efficiency in 2D cardiac CINE acquisitions and enable image reconstruction with retrospectively defined temporal resolution. A 4D respiratory resolved MRI technique is proposed in Chapter 7, utilizing the ROCK sampling pattern developed in Chapter 4. The proposed technique can be used to quantitatively evaluate the breathing pattern of individual patients and help to optimize the dose delivery in radiation therapy.
    Note: Dissertation eScholarship, University of California 2016
    Language: English
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : University of New South Wales. Chemistry
    UID:
    (DE-627)1803110252
    Content: Gold nanoparticles (AuNPs) incorporated into the stimuli-responsive polymeric matrix play an increasingly important role in the 'smart' optical devices. To date, a myriad of methods in developing the 'smart' plasmonic systems, mainly focus on the reversible aggregation of responsive molecule functionalized AuNPs. In the few available reports, gold nanoparticles assemblies are designed to allow reversibility (dispersion↔aggregation) in respond to temperature changes, since it is an appealing way to bring the constituent particles into close proximity, giving rise to the shift of the LSPR (localized surface plasmon resonance) frequency. While others involve pH or light-induced ligands so that the nanoassemblies are photosensitive to the stimuli. The irregular macroscopic aggregates are mainly discussed in the existing plasmonic platforms but their configurations are not well defined structure, which make it difficult to interpret bulk measurements in terms of the optical response of single nanostructure. We are now focusing on the assembly of AuNPs into arrays of asymmetric nanostructures, such as core-satellites. The temperature-responsive polymers with lower critical solution temperature (LCST), upper critical solution temperature (UCST), and LCST-co-UCST was used to link and modulate the gap distance between the particles. It permits optical shifts over a wide wavelength ranges and reversible control the optical properties by altering the stimuli, which may allow these systems to become candidates for temperature-sensitive nanosensor.
    Note: Dissertation University of New South Wales. Chemistry 2017
    Language: English
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  • 6
    UID:
    (DE-627)845952587
    Format: Online-Ressource (24 p)
    Edition: Online-Ausg.
    ISBN: 1498327222 , 9781498327220
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 14/161
    Content: This paper quantifies the effects of external risks for Peru, with particular attention to two major external risks, China’s investment slowdown and the U.S. monetary policy tightening. In particular, a macroeconomic model for a small open and partially dollarized economy is developed and estimated for Peru to measure the risk spillovers, and simulate domestic macroeconomic responses in different scenarios with these two external risks. The simulation results suggest that Peru’s output is vulnerable to both risks, particularly the U.S. monetary policy tightening. Simulations also highlight the importance of higher exchange rate flexiblity and a lower degree of dollarization, which could help mitigate the negative spillover effects of these external risks
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (IMF e-Library)
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  • 7
    UID:
    (DE-627)1018834559
    Format: iv, 140 Seiten , Illustrationen
    Note: Enthält 3 Beiträge , Dissertation University of California, Berkeley 2012
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur ; Hochschulschrift
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Washington, DC] : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    (DE-627)166640814X
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (circa 32 Seiten) , Illustrationen
    ISBN: 9781484396230
    Series Statement: IMF working paper WP/19, 31
    Content: Japan's aging and shrinking population could lower the natural rate of interest and, together with low inflation expectations, challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to reflate the economy. This paper uses a semi-structural model to estimate the impact of demographics on the natural rate in Japan. We find that demographic change has a significantly negative impact on the natural rate by lowering trend potential growth. We also find that the negative impact has been increasing over time amid stronger demographic headwinds. These findings highlight the importance of boosting potential growth to offset the negative demographic impact and lift the natural rate in Japan
    Language: English
    Keywords: Graue Literatur
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 9
    UID:
    (DE-627)812802322
    Format: Online-Ressource (23 S.) , graph. Darst.
    ISBN: 9781498327220
    Series Statement: IMF working paper 14/161
    Note: Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader.
    Language: English
    Keywords: Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    [Erscheinungsort nicht ermittelbar] : eScholarship, University of California
    UID:
    (DE-627)1803110244
    Content: This dissertation consists of three chapters dealing with different topics in time series econometrics including generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation and vector autoregressions (VAR). These econometric models have revolutionized empirical research in macroeconomics. Previous work by Hansen and Singleton (1982) showed that the GMM method can be applied to estimate nonlinear rational expectations models in a simple way that the models need not even be solved. The seminal work of Sims (1980) has demonstrated how VAR models can be used for macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis. The objective of this dissertation is to provide some new econometric tools for applied research in macroeconomics using time series data.The first chapter develops an asymptotic theory for the GMM estimator in nonlinear econometric models with integrated regressors and instruments. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distribution of the GMM estimator for asymptotically homogeneous regression functions. The estimator is consistent under fairly general conditions, and the convergence rates are determined by the degree of the asymptotic homogeneity of regression functions. Similar to linear regressions, we find that the limiting distribution is generally biased and non-Gaussian, and that instruments themselves cannot eliminate the bias even when they are strictly exogenous. Therefore, GMM yields inefficient estimates and invalid $t$- and chi-square test statistics in general. By implementing the fully modified method developed by Phillips and Hansen (1990), we obtain an efficient GMM estimator which has an unbiased and mixed normal limiting distribution.In the second chapter, we develop a novel shock identification strategy in the context of two-country/block structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models to identify the transmission of credit shocks. Specifically, we investigate how credit shocks originating in the U.S. or euro area affect domestic economic activity in emerging Asia. Shocks within each block are identified using sign restrictions, whereas shocks across the two blocks are identified using a recursive structure (block Cholesky decomposition). This strategy not only enables us to distinguish the external credit shock from the other structural shocks, but also captures the responses of the domestic country. The main findings include that the transmission of credit shocks across countries through the channel of credit contagion is fast and protracted. The adverse effects of external credit tightening are mitigated by domestic credit policy easing in China, but lead to significant decreases in credit and GDP growth in the other emerging Asian countries. We also find that the external credit shocks play a non-negligible role in driving economic fluctuations in emerging Asia, although the role is smaller in China.In the last chapter, we use a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model to forecast the principal macroeconomic indicators of the original five ASEAN member countries (i.e. Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). The GVAR model is a compact model of the world economy designed to explicitly model the economic and financial interdependencies at national and international levels. Our GVAR model covers twenty countries which are grouped into nine countries/regions. After applying vector error correction model (VECM) to estimate parameters in the GVAR, we generate twelve one-quarter-ahead forecasts of real GDP growth, inflation, short-term interest rates, real exchange rates, real equity prices, and world commodity prices over the period 2009Q1-2011Q4, with four out-of-sample forecasts during 2009Q1-2009Q4. Forecast evaluation based on the panel Diebold-Mariano (DM) tests shows that the forecasts of our GVAR model tend to outperform those of country-specific VAR models, especially for short-term interest rates and real equity prices. These results suggest that the interdependencies among countries in the global financial market play an important role in macroeconomic forecasting.
    Note: Dissertation eScholarship, University of California 2012
    Language: English
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