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  • 1
    UID:
    (DE-627)816649677
    Format: graph. Darst.
    ISSN: 0022-2879
    In: Journal of money, credit and banking, Malden, Mass. [u.a.] : Wiley-Blackwell, 1969, 46(2014), 8 vom: Dez., Seite 1657-1686, 0022-2879
    In: volume:46
    In: year:2014
    In: number:8
    In: month:12
    In: pages:1657-1686
    Language: English
    Keywords: Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington, D. C : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    (DE-627)870469207
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (44 p)
    ISBN: 9781475541298
    Content: Cover -- Table of Contents -- Abstract -- I. Introduction and Summary -- II. Expectations and a Threatening Dark Corner -- III. Different Kinds of Forward Guidance -- III.1. Conventional Forward Guidance -- III.2. Unconventional Forward Guidance -- III.3. Country Experiences with Unconventional Forward Guidance -- III.3.1. United Kingdom -- III.3.2. United States -- III.3.3. Canada -- IV. Model Simulations of Alternative Policy Strategies -- V. Conclusions -- Appendix I. Policy Credibility: Exchange Rate and Asset Prices as Shock Absorbers or Amplifiers
    Content: Appendix II. The New-Keynesian Model for Canada -- Boxes -- Box 1. Downward Trend in Global Equilibrium Real Interest Rate -- Tables -- Table 1. Inflation Expectations Better Anchored in IFT Countries -- Table 2. Guidance of the Fed after the Global Financial Crisis -- Table 3. Revisions to BoC Forecast for Attainment of Potential Output -- Figures -- Figure 1. Inflation and Consensus Inflation Expectations for Canada -- Figure 2. Dincer-Eichengreen Central Bank Transparency Index -- Figure 3. Oil Price and Canadian Exchange Rate -- Figure 4. Expectations as Shock Absorbers or Amplifiers
    Content: Figure 5. Inflation Paths for Different Policy Frameworks -- Figure 6. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield and Term Premium -- Figure 7. Predicted U.S. Unemployment Rate -- Figure 8. Optimal Control versus IFB Reaction Function -- Figure 9. Predicted Outcomes under Optimal Control with Historical Shocks -- Figure 10. Optimal Control with Negative Interest Rate or Fiscal Backstop -- Figure 11. IFB Reaction Function and Backward-Looking Inflation Expectations -- References
    Note: Description based upon print version of record
    Additional Edition: 9781475541298
    Additional Edition: Print version Obstfeld, Maurice How to Improve Inflation Targeting in Canada Washington, D. C : International Monetary Fund,c2016 9781475541298
    Language: English
    Keywords: Electronic books
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 3
    UID:
    (DE-603)348364113
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (61 p.)
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1074
    Content: This paper develops a simple model-based framework for stress testing fiscal consolidation strategies under different scenarios of future shocks. A baseline scenario assuming a gradual debt consolidation is presented and by assuming different future developments (e.g. lower potential growth) and/or model specification in terms of a fiscal rule confidence bands around the baseline are obtained. Trade-offs between costs and benefits are evaluated, in terms of cumulative output loss and primary surpluses, as well as political difficulty of fiscal strategies and risk of failed consolidation. The model is applied to Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. This working paper relates to the 2013 OECD Economic Surveys of Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. (www.oecd.org/eco/surveys)...
    Language: English
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  • 4
    UID:
    (DE-604)BV047934748
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (61 Seiten) , 21 x 29.7cm
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department Working Papers
    Content: This paper develops a simple model-based framework for stress testing fiscal consolidation strategies under different scenarios of future shocks. A baseline scenario assuming a gradual debt consolidation is presented and by assuming different future developments (e.g. lower potential growth) and/or model specification in terms of a fiscal rule confidence bands around the baseline are obtained. Trade-offs between costs and benefits are evaluated, in terms of cumulative output loss and primary surpluses, as well as political difficulty of fiscal strategies and risk of failed consolidation. The model is applied to Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. This working paper relates to the 2013 OECD Economic Surveys of Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. (www.oecd.org/eco/surveys)
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
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  • 5
    UID:
    (DE-605)HT020223043
    Format: Online-Ressource (38 p)
    ISBN: 1451868871 , 9781451868876
    ISSN: 1018-5941
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 08/25
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (IMF e-Library)
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Washington : International Monetary Fund
    UID:
    (DE-627)777735512
    Format: Online-Ressource (40 p)
    ISBN: 9781451868876
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers
    Content: One of the pioneers of inflation targeting (IT), the Bank of Canada is now considering a possibility of switching to price-level-path targeting (PLPT), where past deviations of inflation from the target would have to be offset in the future, bringing the price level back to a predetermined path. This paper draws attention to the fact that the price level in Canada has strayed little from the path implied by the two percent inflation target since its introduction in December 1994, and has tended to revert to that path after temporary deviations. Econometric analysis using Bayesian estimation su
    Note: Description based upon print version of record , Contents; I. Introduction; II. Differences between IT and PLPT in theory and in practice; Figures; 1. Inflation rate and the deviation of the price level from constant growth path after one-period shock under inflation targeting and price level targeting; 2. Evolution of CPI in Canada since introduction of the 2 percent target; 3. Inflation and deviation of price level form constant inflation path; 4. Optimal transition of inflation to the target, with and without uncertainty; III. Model; IV. Estimation; Tables; 1. Priors of model parameters; 2. Estimation results; V. Conclusions; References , Appendix-Estimated Parameters and Impulse-Response FunctionsTable A1. Results from Posterior Maximization. Case 1; Figures A1-A4. The impulse responses to a one standard deviation shock to ε π . Case 1; Table A2. Results from Posterior Maximization. Case 2; Figures A5-A8. The impulse responses to a one standard deviation shock to ε π . Case 2; Table A3. Results from Posterior Maximization. Case 3; Figures A9-A12. The impulse responses to a one standard deviation shock to ε π . Case 3; Table A4. Results from Posterior Maximization. Case 4 , Figures A13-A16. The impulse responses to a one standard deviation shock to ε π . Case 4
    Additional Edition: 9781451913408
    Additional Edition: Print version Why is Canada's Price Level So Predictable?
    Language: English
    Keywords: Electronic books
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  • 7
    UID:
    (DE-604)BV048348750
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (38 p)
    Edition: Online-Ausg
    ISBN: 1451868871 , 9781451868876
    Series Statement: IMF Working Papers Working Paper No. 08/25
    Content: One of the pioneers of inflation targeting (IT), the Bank of Canada is now considering a possibility of switching to price-level-path targeting (PLPT), where past deviations of inflation from the target would have to be offset in the future, bringing the price level back to a predetermined path. This paper draws attention to the fact that the price level in Canada has strayed little from the path implied by the two percent inflation target since its introduction in December 1994, and has tended to revert to that path after temporary deviations. Econometric analysis using Bayesian estimation suggests that a low probability can be assigned to explaining this behavior by sheer luck manifesting itself in mutually offsetting shocks. Much more plausible is the assumption that inflation expectations and interest rates are determined in a way that is consistent with an element of PLPT. This suggests that the difference between IT as it is actually practiced (or perceived) and PLPT may be less stark than what pure theoretical constructs posit, and that the transition to a fullfledged PLPT regime will likely be considerably easier than what was previously thought. The paper also shows that inflation expectations are a major driver of actual inflation in Canada, which makes it easier to keep inflation close to the target without large output costs
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
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  • 8
    UID:
    (DE-605)HT018270159
    Format: 62 p. , 21 x 29.7cm
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department Working Papers no.1074
    Language: English
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  • 9
    UID:
    (DE-602)b3kat_BV047934748
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (61 Seiten) , 21 x 29.7cm
    Series Statement: OECD Economics Department Working Papers
    Content: This paper develops a simple model-based framework for stress testing fiscal consolidation strategies under different scenarios of future shocks. A baseline scenario assuming a gradual debt consolidation is presented and by assuming different future developments (e.g. lower potential growth) and/or model specification in terms of a fiscal rule confidence bands around the baseline are obtained. Trade-offs between costs and benefits are evaluated, in terms of cumulative output loss and primary surpluses, as well as political difficulty of fiscal strategies and risk of failed consolidation. The model is applied to Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. This working paper relates to the 2013 OECD Economic Surveys of Austria, Czech Republic and Germany. (www.oecd.org/eco/surveys)
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
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  • 10
    UID:
    (DE-627)619934980
    Format: Online-Ressource (58 S.) , graph. Darst.
    Series Statement: Working paper series / Czech National Bank 2/2009
    Note: Systemvoraussetzungen: Acrobat Reader.
    Language: English
    Keywords: Arbeitspapier ; Graue Literatur
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