Skip to main content
Log in

Deformation prediction model based on an improved CNN + LSTM model for the first impoundment of super-high arch dams

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Journal of Civil Structural Health Monitoring Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Herein, we propose a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) + long short-term memory (LSTM) model optimised by L1 regularisation and the dropout method to solve the problem of acquiring both computational speed and accuracy in a deformation prediction analysis model of a super-high arch dam’s first impoundment. The calculation results of one class (OC) + LSTM, traditional LSTM, optimised LSTM, CNN + LSTM and multilayer perceptron are compared with the actual measurement results using deformation monitoring data from the first impoundment of a super-high arch dam in southwest China. The results show that the proposed OC-LSTM model can reduce the computational time without sacrificing computational accuracy, providing a new computational model for super-high arch dam deformation prediction during the first impoundment.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. He J. Theory and application of dam safety monitoring [M]. China Water Resources and Hydropower Press, 2010.

  2. Yang J, Wu Z (2002) Research status and development of dam safety monitoring at home and abroad. J Xi’an Univ Tech 18(1):5

    Google Scholar 

  3. Tonini D (1956) Observed behavior of several Italian arch dams. J Power Division 82(6):1134–1141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Kuai P, Jederbeike ZH et al (2015) Deformation monitoring model of super-high arch dam during construction and initial stage of impoundment. Water Conserv Sci Tech Econ 21(8):3

    Google Scholar 

  5. Hu B, Liu G, Wu Z. (2014) Analysis and safety evaluation of dam body deformation characteristics during the first impoundment period of Xiaowan super-high arch dam [C]. China Hydropower Engineering Society Dam Safety Committee and Dam Safety Monitoring Technology Status and Development Prospect Academic Exchange Conference.

  6. Zhang G, Li H, Ai Y. Regression statistical model research on construction of super-high arch dam and initial water storage deformation [C]. China dam association; sichuan university. China dam association; Sichuan University, 2012

  7. Shen J, Zheng D (2018) Improved spatial and temporal distribution model of arch dam deformation with temperature component. Water Resour Hydropower Tech 49(5):6

    Google Scholar 

  8. Yin W, Zhao E, Gu C et al (2019) A nonlinear method for component separation of dam effect quantities using kernel partial least squares and pseudosamples. Adv Civil Eng 2019(6):1–12

    Google Scholar 

  9. Liang G, Hu Y, Li Q. Safety monitoring of high arch dams in initial operation period using vector error correction model [J]. Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering, 2017.

  10. Ren Q, Li M, Li H et al (2021) A novel deep learning prediction model for concrete dam displacements using interpretable mixed attention mechanism. Adv Eng Inform 50(3):101407

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Xu C, Wang S, Gu C, et al. (2022) A Probabilistic prediction model for displacement of super-high arch dams combined with spatial correlation. Journal of Wuhan University (Information Science Edition): 1–15[03–10]. https://doi.org/10.13203/j.whugis20200508.

  12. Wang S, Xu Y, Gu C et al (2020) Two spatial association-considered mathematical models for diagnosing the long-term balanced relationship and short-term fluctuation of the deformation behaviour of high concrete arch dams. Struct Health Monit 19(5):1421–1439

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Liu W, Pan J, Ren Y et al (2020) Coupling prediction model for long-term displacements of arch dams based on long short-term memory network. Struct Control Health Monit 27(3):e2548

    Google Scholar 

  14. Ren Q, Shen Y, Li M, Kong R et al (2021) Research on in-depth analysis model and optimization of safety monitoring of hydraulic structures. J Hydraul Eng 52(01):71–80. https://doi.org/10.13243/j.cnki.slxb.20200270

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Yang D, Gu C, Zhu Y et al (2020) A Concrete dam deformation prediction method based on LSTM with attention mechanism. IEEE Access 8:185177–185186

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Qu X, Yang J, Chang M (2019) A deep learning model for concrete dam deformation prediction based on RS-LSTM. J Sensors 2019(1):1–14

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Wu Z. Safety monitoring theory of hydraulic structures and its application [M] Higher education press, 200

  18. Gu C, Wu Z. Theory and method of dam and dam foundation safety monitoring and its application [M]. Hehai University Press, 2006.

  19. Lsra D, Vew A, Tffb C et al (2019) A comparative analysis of long-term concrete deformation models of a buttress dam. Eng Struct 193:301–307

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Ren QB, Shen Y, Li MC, Kong R, Li MH (2021) Safety monitoring model of hydraulic structures and its optimization based on deep learning analysis. J Hydraul Eng 52(1):71–80 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  21. Liu Y, Zhang Q, Song L, Chen Y (2019) Attention-based recurrent neural networks for accurate short-term and long-term dissolved oxygen prediction. Comput Electron Agric 165:104964. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compag.2019.104964

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Du S, Li T, Yang Y, Horng S (2020) Multivariate time series forecasting via attention-based encoder-decoder framework. Neurocomputing 388:269–279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Rao RV (2016) Jaya: a simple and new optimization algorithm for solving constrained and unconstrained optimization problems. Int J Industrial Eng Computat 7(1):19–34

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful for the financial supports of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51839007) and the China Three Gorges Corporation Research Project (No. BHT/0809).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Hu Yu.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Yilun, W., Qingbin, L., Yu, H. et al. Deformation prediction model based on an improved CNN + LSTM model for the first impoundment of super-high arch dams. J Civil Struct Health Monit 13, 431–442 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13349-022-00640-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13349-022-00640-x

Keywords

Navigation