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  • HU Berlin  (337)
  • Anna-Ditzen-Bibliothek Neuenhagen
  • SB Rathenow
  • Härdle, Wolfgang Karl  (337)
  • Open access  (337)
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  • HU Berlin  (337)
  • Anna-Ditzen-Bibliothek Neuenhagen
  • SB Rathenow
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  • Open access  (337)
  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4565
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (44 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2005,47
    Content: We propose marginal integration estimation and testing methods for the coefficients of varying coefficient multivariate regression model. Asymptotic distribution theory is developed for the estimation method which enjoys the same rate of convergence as univariate function estimation. For the test statistic, asymptotic normal theory is established. These theoretical results are derived under the fairly general conditions of absolute regularity (beta-mixing). Application of the test procedure to the West German real GNP data reveals that a partially linear varying coefficient model is best parsimonious in fitting the data dynamics, a fact that is also confirmed with residual diagnostics
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 2
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4581
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (12 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2006,2
    Content: The calibration of option pricing models leads to the minimization of an error functional. We show that its usual specification as a root mean squared error implies fluctuating exotics prices and possibly wrong prices. We propose a simple and natural method to overcome these problems, illustrate drawbacks of the usual approach and show advantages of our method. To this end, we calibrate the Heston model to a time series of DAX implied volatility surfaces and then price cliquet options.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 3
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4578
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (25 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2005,60
    Content: Risk management technology applied to high dimensional portfolios needs simple and fast methods for calculation of Value-at-Risk (VaR). The multivariate normal framework provides a simple off-the-shelf methodology but lacks the heavy tailed distributional properties that are observed in data. A principle component based method (tied closely to the elliptical structure of the distribution) is therefore expected to be unsatisfactory. Here we propose and analyze a technology that is based on Independent Component Analysis (ICA). We study the proposed ICVaR methodology in an extensive simulation study and apply it to a high dimensional portfolio situation. Our analysis yields very accurate VaRs.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 4
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4526
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (28 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2005,8
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 5
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4519
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2005,1
    Content: In this paper we propose the GHADA risk management model that is based on the generalized hyperbolic (GH) distribution and on a nonparametric adaptive methodology. Compared to the normal distribution, the GH distribution possesses semi-heavy tails and represents the financial risk factors more appropriately. The nonparametric adaptive methodology has the desirable property of estimating homogeneous volatility in a short time interval. For DEM/USD exchange rate data and a German bank portfolio data the proposed GHADA model provides more accurate value at risk calculation than the traditional model based on the normal distribution. All calculations and simulations are done with XploRe.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 6
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4530
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (22 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2005,12
    Content: Trading, hedging and risk analysis of complex option portfolios depend on accurate pricing models. The modelling of implied volatilities (IV) plays an important role, since volatility is the crucial parameter in the Black-Scholes (BS) pricing formula. It is well known from empirical studies that the volatilities implied by observed market prices exhibit patterns known as volatility smiles or smirks that contradict the assumption of constant volatility in the BS pricing model. On the other hand, the IV is a function of two parameters: the strike price and the time to maturity and it is desirable in practice to reduce the dimension of this object and characterize the IV surface through a small number of factors. Clearly, a dimension reduced pricing-model that should reflect the dynamics of the IV surface needs to contain factors and factor loadings that characterize the IV surface itself and their movements across time.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 7
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4695
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (25 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2007,24
    Content: We consider two semiparametric models for the weight function in a biased sample model. The object of our interest parametrizes the weight function, and it is either Euclidean or non Euclidean. One of the models discussed in this paper is motivated by the estimation the mixing distribution of individual utility functions in the DAX market.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 8
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4632
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (33 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2006,50
    Content: Econometrics often deals with data under, from the statistical point of view, non-standard conditions such as heteroscedasticity or measurement errors and the estimation methods need thus be either adopted to such conditions or be at least insensitive to them. The methods insensitive to violation of certain assumptions, for example insensitive to the presence of heteroscedasticity, are in a broad sense referred to as robust (e.g., to heteroscedasticity). On the other hand, there is also a more specific meaningof the word `robust`, which stems from the field of robust statistics. This latter notion defines robustness rigorously in terms of behavior of an estimator both at the assumed (parametric) model and in its neighborhood in the space of probability distributions. Even though the methods of robust statistics have been used only in the simplest setting such as estimation of location, scale, or linear regression for a long time, they motivated a range of new econometric methods recently, which we focus on in this chapter.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 9
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4613
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (26 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2006,31
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 10
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Berlin : Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät
    UID:
    edochu_18452_4634
    Format: 1 Online-Ressource (32 Seiten)
    ISSN: 1860-5664
    Series Statement: 2006,52
    Content: Recently, Diebold and Li (2003) obtained good forecasting results for yield curves in a reparametrized Nelson-Siegel framework. We analyze similar modeling approaches for price curves of variance swaps that serve nowadays as hedging instruments for options on realized variance. We consider the popular Heston model, reparametrize its variance swap price formula and model the entire variance swap curves by two exponential factors whose loadings evolve dynamically on a weekly basis. Generalizing this approach we consider a reparametrization of the three-dimensional Nelson-Siegel factor model. We show that these factors can be interpreted as level, slope and curvature and how they can be estimated directly from characteristic points of the curves. Moreover, we analyze a semiparametric factor model. Estimating autoregressive models for the factor loadings we get termstructure forecasts that we compare in addition to the random walk and the static Heston model that is often used in industry. In contrast to the results of Diebold and Li (2003) on yield curves, no model produces better forecasts of variance swap curves than the random walk but forecasting the Heston model improves the popular static Heston model. Moreover, the Heston model is better than the flexible semiparametric approach that outperforms the Nelson-Siegel model.
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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