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  • TH Brandenburg  (10)
  • SB Beeskow
  • Stasi-Unterlagen-Archiv
  • Kinemathek
  • Bauhaus-Archiv Berlin
  • HFS Ernst Busch
  • Kraay, Aart  (10)
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  • 1
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Product quality, productive efficiency, and international technology diffusion : evidence from plant-level panel data (2002)
    Washington, D.C : World Bank, Development Research Group, Macroeconomics and Growth, and, Trade
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV049075834
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg Also available in print
    Serie: Policy research working paper 2759
    Inhalt: In Colombia, Mexico, and Morocco, firms' past exposure to foreign knowledge through exports, imported imputs, and foreign direct investment does not help to predict current product quality or productive efficiency
    Anmerkung: "January 2002 , Includes bibliographical references (p. 34-36) , Title from title screen as viewed on Aug. 22, 2002
    Weitere Ausg.: Kraay, Aart Product quality, productive efficiency, and international technology diffusion
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (Deutschlandweit zugänglich)
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    UB Potsdam
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
    MPI Bildungsforschung
  • 2
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Poverty traps, aid, and growth (2005)
    [Washington, D.C] : World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV049074993
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg Also available in print
    Serie: Policy research working paper 3631
    Inhalt: "The authors examine the empirical evidence in support of the poverty trap view of underdevelopment. They calibrate simple aggregate growth models in which poverty traps can arise due to either low saving or low technology at low levels of development. They then use these models to assess the empirical relevance of poverty traps and their consequences for policy. The authors find little evidence of the existence of poverty traps based on these two broad mechanisms. When put to the task of explaining the persistence of low income in African countries, the models require either unreasonable values for key parameters, or else generate counterfactual predictions regarding the relations between key variables. These results call into question the view that a large scaling-up of aid to the poorest countries is a necessary condition for sharp and sustained increases in growth. "--World Bank web site
    Anmerkung: Includes bibliographical references , Title from PDF file as viewed on 8/23/2005
    Weitere Ausg.: Kraay, Aart Poverty traps, aid, and growth
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 3
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    The Worldwide Governance Indicators Project : Answering The Critics (2007)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV040618754
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (34 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe World Bank E-Library Archive Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 041181-4
    Inhalt: The Worldwide Governance Indicators, reporting estimates of six dimensions of governance for over 200 countries between 1996 and 2005, have become widely used among policymakers and academics. They have also attracted some explicit written criticisms. In this short paper the authors synthesize 11 critiques offered by four recent papers. They then refute them as either conceptually incorrect or empirically unsubstantiated
    Anmerkung: Weitere Ausgabe: Kaufmann, Daniel: The Worldwide Governance Indicators Project
    Weitere Ausg.: Reproduktion von Kaufmann, Daniel The Worldwide Governance Indicators Project 2007
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 4
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Growth Forecasts Using Time Series and Growth Models (1999)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV040616864
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (38 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe World Bank E-Library Archive Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 041181-4
    Inhalt: November 1999 - It is difficult to choose the best model for forecasting real per capita GDP for a particular country or group of countries. This study suggests potential gains from combining time series and growth-regression-based approaches to forecasting. Kraay and Monokroussos consider two alternative methods of forecasting real per capita GDP at various horizons: · Univariate time series models estimated country by country. · Cross-country growth regressions. They evaluate the out-of-sample forecasting performance of both approaches for a large sample of industrial and developing countries. They find only modest differences between the two approaches. In almost all cases, differences in median (across countries) forecast performance are small relative to the large discrepancies between forecasts and actual outcomes. Interestingly, the performance of both models is similar to that of forecasts generated by the World Bank's Unified Survey. The results do not provide a compelling case for one approach over another, but they do indicate that there are potential gains from combining time series and growth-regression-based forecasting approaches. This paper - a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group - is part of a larger effort in the group to improve the understanding of economic growth. The authors may be contacted at akraay@worldbank.org or gmonokroussos@worldbank.org
    Weitere Ausg.: Reproduktion von Kraay, Aart Growth Forecasts Using Time Series and Growth Models 1999
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 5
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Governance Indicators : Where Are We, Where Should We Be Going ? (2007)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV040618974
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (45 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe World Bank E-Library Archive Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 041181-4
    Inhalt: Scholars, policymakers, aid donors, and aid recipients acknowledge the importance of good governance for development. This understanding has spurred an intense interest in more refined, nuanced, and policy-relevant indicators of governance. In this paper we review progress to date in the area of measuring governance, using a simple framework of analysis focusing on two key questions: (i) what do we measure? and, (ii) whose views do we rely on? For the former question, we distinguish between indicators measuring formal laws or rules 'on the books', and indicators that measure the practical application or outcomes of these rules 'on the ground', calling attention to the strengths and weaknesses of both types of indicators as well as the complementarities between them. For the latter question, we distinguish between experts and survey respondents on whose views governance assessments are based, again highlighting their advantages, disadvantages, and complementarities. We also review the merits of aggregate as opposed to individual governance indicators. We conclude with some simple principles to guide the refinement of existing governance indicators and the development of future indicators. We emphasize the need to: transparently disclose and account for the margins of error in all indicators; draw from a diversity of indicators and exploit complementarities among them; submit all indicators to rigorous public and academic scrutiny; and, in light of the lessons of over a decade of existing indicators, to be realistic in the expectations of future indicators
    Anmerkung: Weitere Ausgabe: Kaufmann, Daniel: Governance Indicators
    Weitere Ausg.: Reproduktion von Kaufmann, Daniel Governance Indicators 2007
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 6
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Instrumental Variables Regressions With Honestly Uncertain Exclusion Restrictions (2008)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV040619236
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (42 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe World Bank E-Library Archive Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 041181-4
    Inhalt: The validity of instrumental variables (IV) regression models depends crucially on fundamentally untestable exclusion restrictions. Typically exclusion restrictions are assumed to hold exactly in the relevant population, yet in many empirical applications there are reasonable prior grounds to doubt their literal truth. In this paper I show how to incorporate prior uncertainty about the validity of the exclusion restriction into linear IV models, and explore the consequences for inference. In particular I provide a mapping from prior uncertainty about the exclusion restriction into increased uncertainty about parameters of interest. Moderate prior uncertainty about exclusion restrictions can lead to a substantial loss of precision in estimates of structural parameters. This loss of precision is relatively more important in situations where IV estimates appear to be more precise, for example in larger samples or with stronger instruments. The author illustrates these points using several prominent recent empirical papers that use linear IV models
    Weitere Ausg.: Reproduktion von Kraay, Aart Instrumental Variables Regressions With Honestly Uncertain Exclusion Restrictions 2008
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 7
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Trade, Growth, and Poverty (2001)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV049075978
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (46 Seiten))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg
    Inhalt: (June 2001) - The evidence from individual cases and from cross-country analysis supports the view that globalization leads to faster growth and poverty reduction in poor countries. To determine the effect of globalization on growth, poverty, and inequality, Dollar and Kraay first identify a group of developing countries that are participating more in globalization. China, India, and several other large countries are part of this group, so well over half the population of the developing world lives in these globalizing economies. Over the past 20 years, the post-1980 globalizers have seen large increases in trade and significant declines in tariffs. Their growth rates accelerated between the 1970s and the 1980s and again between the 1980s and the 1990s, even as growth in the rich countries and the rest of the developing world slowed.
    Inhalt: The post-1980 globalizers are catching up to the rich countries, but the rest of the developing world (the non-globalizers) is falling further behind. Next, Dollar and Kraay ask how general these patterns are, using regressions that exploit within-country variations in trade and growth. After controlling for changes in other policies and addressing endogeneity with internal instruments, they find that trade has a strong positive effect on growth. Finally, the authors examine the effects of trade on the poor. They find little systematic evidence of a relationship between changes in trade volumes (or any other measure of globalization they consider) and changes in the income share of the poorest-or between changes in trade volumes and changes in household income inequality. They conclude, therefore, that the increase in growth rates that accompanies expanded trade translates on average into proportionate increases in incomes of the poor.
    Inhalt: Absolute poverty in the globalizing developing economies has fallen sharply in the past 20 years. The evidence from individual cases and from cross-country analysis supports the view that globalization leads to faster growth and poverty reduction in poor countries. This paper-a product of Macroeconomics and Growth, Development Research Group-is part of a larger effort in the department to study the effects of globalization on the poor
    Weitere Ausg.: Kraay, Aart Trade, Growth, and Poverty
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 8
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Governance Matters V : Aggregate And Individual Governance Indicators For 1996 - 2005 (2006)
    Washington, D.C : The World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV040618617
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (1 online resource (109 p.))
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausgabe World Bank E-Library Archive Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 041181-4
    Inhalt: The authors report on the latest version of the worldwide governance indicators, covering 213 countries and territories and measuring six dimensions of governance from 1996 until end-2005: voice and accountability, political stability and absence of violence, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, and control of corruption. The latest indicators are based on hundreds of variables and reflect the views of thousands of citizen and firm survey respondents and experts worldwide. Although global averages of governance display no marked trends during 1996-2005, nearly one-third of countries exhibit significant changes [for better or for worse] on at least one dimension of governance. Three new features distinguish this update. (1) The authors have moved to annual reporting of governance estimates. This update includes new governance estimates for 2003 and 2005, as well as minor backward revisions to biannual historical data for 1996-2004. (2) The authors are, for the first time, publishing the individual measures of governance from virtually every data source underlying the aggregate governance indicators. The ready availability of the individual data sources underlying the aggregate governance indicators is aimed at further enhancing the transparency of the methodology and of the resulting aggregate indicators, as well as helping data users and policymakers identify specific governance challenges in individual countries. (3) The authors present new evidence on the reliability of expert assessments of governance which, alongside survey responses, form part of the aggregate measures of governance
    Anmerkung: Weitere Ausgabe: Kaufmann, Daniel: Governance Matters V
    Weitere Ausg.: Reproduktion von Kaufmann, Daniel Governance Matters V 2006
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 9
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    The dot-com bubble, the Bush deficits, and the U.S. current account (2005)
    [Washington, D.C] : World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV049074952
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg Also available in print
    Serie: Policy research working paper 3672
    Inhalt: "Over the past decade the United States has experienced widening current account deficits and a steady deterioration of its net foreign asset position. During the second half of the 1990s, this deterioration was fueled by foreign investment in a booming U.S. stock market. During the first half of the 2000s, this deterioration has been fuelled by foreign purchases of rapidly increasing U.S. government debt. A somewhat surprising aspect of the current debate is that stock market movements and fiscal policy choices have been largely treated as unrelated events. Stock market movements are usually interpreted as reflecting exogenous changes in perceived or real productivity, while budget deficits are usually understood as a mainly political decision. The authors challenge this view here and develop two alternative interpretations. Both are based on the notion that a bubble (the "dot-com" bubble) has been driving the stock market, but differ in their assumptions about the interactions between this bubble and fiscal policy (the "Bush" deficits). The "benevolent" view holds that a change in investor sentiment led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble and the Bush deficits were a welfare-improving policy response to this event. The "cynical" view holds instead that the Bush deficits led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble as the new administration tried to appropriate rents from foreign investors. The authors discuss the implications of each of these views for the future evolution of the U.S. economy and, in particular, its net foreign asset position. "--World Bank web site
    Anmerkung: Includes bibliographical references , Title from PDF file as viewed on 8/12/2005
    Weitere Ausg.: Kraay, Aart The dot-com bubble, the Bush deficits, and the U.S. current account
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    Online-Ressource
    Online Zugang
    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
  • 10
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Governance matters IV : governance indicators for 1996-2004, volume 1 of 2 (2005)
    [Washington, D.C] : World Bank
    Details
    UID:
    b3kat_BV049074994
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource
    Ausgabe: Online-Ausg Also available in print
    Serie: Policy research working paper 3630
    Inhalt: "The authors present the latest update of their aggregate governance indicators, together with new analysis of several issues related to the use of these measures. The governance indicators measure the following six dimensions of governance: (1) voice and accountability; (2) political instability and violence; (3) government effectiveness; (4) regulatory quality; (5) rule of law, and (6) control of corruption. They cover 209 countries and territories for 1996, 1998, 2000, 2002, and 2004. They are based on several hundred individual variables measuring perceptions of governance, drawn from 37 separate data sources constructed by 31 organizations. The authors present estimates of the six dimensions of governance for each period, as well as margins of error capturing the range of likely values for each country.
    Inhalt: These margins of error are not unique to perceptions-based measures of governance, but are an important feature of all efforts to measure governance, including objective indicators. In fact, the authors give examples of how individual objective measures provide an incomplete picture of even the quite particular dimensions of governance that they are intended to measure. The authors also analyze in detail changes over time in their estimates of governance; provide a framework for assessing the statistical significance of changes in governance; and suggest a simple rule of thumb for identifying statistically significant changes in country governance over time. The ability to identify significant changes in governance over time is much higher for aggregate indicators than for any individual indicator.
    Inhalt: While the authors find that the quality of governance in a number of countries has changed significantly (in both directions), they also provide evidence suggesting that there are no trends, for better or worse, in global averages of governance. Finally, they interpret the strong observed correlation between income and governance, and argue against recent efforts to apply a discount to governance performance in low-income countries. "--World Bank web site
    Anmerkung: Includes bibliographical references , Title from PDF file as viewed on 8/22/2005
    Weitere Ausg.: Kaufmann, Daniel Governance matters IV
    Sprache: Englisch
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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    HWR Berlin
    EUV Frankfurt
    TH Brandenburg
    HTW Berlin
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