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Format: p. 153-214 , ill

Edition: Online-Ausgabe Boulder, Colo NetLibrary E-Books von NetLibrary Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 22382847

ISBN: 1410608751

Note: "Based on three outstanding articles presented at the Fourth Pacific Asia Conference on Information Systems held in Hong Kong from June 1 through 3, 2000"--P. 153. - Cover title. - Includes bibliographical references. - Made available through NetLibrary; access may be limited to NetLibrary affiliated libraries , Introduction to the special issue on organizational learning and knowledge management /James Y.L. Thong, Patrick Y.K. Chau, Kar Yan Tam --A conceptual model for virtual organizational learning /Fu-ren Lin, Sheng-cheng Lin --Knowledge sharing through intranet-based learning: a case study of an online learning center /Shan L. Pan, Ming-Huei Hsieh, Helen Chen --Internet diffusion in creative micro-businesses : identifying change agent characteristics as critical success factors /Pascale de Berranger, David Tucker, Laurie Jones.

Additional Edition: Reproduktion von Journal or organizational computing and electronic commerce ; [Vol. 11 No. 3] [2001]

Language: English

Keywords: Konferenzschrift ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books ; Konferenzschrift ; Electronic books.

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Format: 1 online resource (220 pages)

Edition: 1st ed.

ISBN: 9783030116743

Note: Hot Property -- Foreword -- Preface -- Key Takeaways -- Conclusion -- Contents -- Part I: The Rise of Major Cities: Causes and Consequences -- Chapter 1: In the Age of Cities: The Impact of Urbanisation on House Prices and Affordability -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Popularity of Major Cities -- 3 Consequences of the Rise of Major Cities: Housing Affordability and Its Challenges -- 3.1 Causes of the Housing Affordability Crisis -- 4 The Impact of Institutional Investment on the Housing Market -- 5 Potential Solutions -- 6 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 2: Tackling Londonś Housing Crisis -- 1 Defining the Crisis -- 2 Building Homes for Londoners -- 3 Beyond Building -- 3.1 Genuinely Affordable Homes -- 3.2 Londonś Private Rented Sector -- 3.3 Homelessness and Rough Sleeping -- 4 Devolution -- References -- Chapter 3: The Housing Market in Major Dutch Cities -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Price Movements in Major Urban Housing Markets Dissected -- 2.1 Signs of Overheating in Major Urban Housing Markets -- 2.2 As Yet no Indications of a Credit-Driven Bubble -- 3 Differences Between the Major Cities and the Rest of the Netherlands -- 3.1 Demand for Housing -- 3.2 Housing Supply -- 4 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations -- References -- Part II: Is There a Bubble in Major Cities? -- Chapter 4: Regional House Price Differences: Drivers and Risks -- 1 Why Might Regionally Concentrated House Price Booms Raise Concerns? -- 2 House Price Developments -- 3 Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Risks Assessments -- 3.1 Persistence, Reversals and Resilience -- 3.2 Externalities -- 4 Implications for Macroprudential Policy -- References -- Chapter 5: A Tale of Two Cities: Is Overvaluation a Capital Issue? -- 1 Introduction -- 2 A Framework for Regional House Price Modelling: The Case of London -- 3 The Case of Paris -- 4 Conclusions -- References. , Chapter 6: Towards a Global Real Estate Market? Trends and Evidence -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Increasing Synchronicity in House Prices Across Countries -- 2.1 Towards a Global Real Estate Market? -- 2.2 Or the Growing Importance of World Cities? -- 3 House Price Determinants -- 3.1 Synchronicity: The Role of Global Factors -- 3.2 Local Amplifiers -- 4 Policy Implications -- References -- Chapter 7: Managing House Price Booms: Evolution of IMF Surveillance and Policy Advice -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Changing Lines of Defense -- 2.1 Explaining Booms -- 2.2 Managing Booms -- 3 Time to Worry Again? -- 4 Dealing with Glocalization -- 4.1 Explaining Local Booms -- 4.2 Managing Local Booms -- 5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Part III: Housing Supply in Urban Areas -- Chapter 8: The Macroeconomic Implications of Housing Supply Restrictions -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Hot Property Markets and the Microeconomics of Construction Constraints -- 3 Housing Bubbles, Credit Conditions and Extrapolative Beliefs -- 3.1 Housing Supply Elasticity and Counter-Recessionary Policy -- 4 The Complementarities Between Housing and Macroeconomic Policy -- 5 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 9: Some Brief Thoughts on Housing Supply and Policy -- 1 Introduction -- 2 User Cost, Demand for Dwellings, and Housing Prices -- 3 Capital Markets and Housing -- 4 Housing Supply, Affordability, and Overheating -- 5 Mortgage Underwriting Using Fundamental Housing Valuation Forecasts (FHVF) -- 6 Make Supply Elastic Again -- References -- Chapter 10: The Smouldering Issue -- 1 Shifting Towards the Market for Two Decades -- 2 Agreements with Housing Associations are at the Forefront -- 3 Overheating of the Amsterdam Housing Market -- 4 Exerting Counterpressure on the Market -- 5 Limits on the Management Possibilities of Municipalities. , Chapter 11: Housing Markets in Scandinavia: Supply, Demand and Regulation -- 1 Background -- 2 Explanations for the Shortage and Rise in Prices of Housing -- 3 Policy Options -- 4 An Example of a Macroprudential Policy Measure -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 12: The Relationship Between Supply Constraints and House Price Dynamics in the Netherlands -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Data -- 3 Methodology -- 4 Results -- 4.1 The Long-Run Relation Between Income and House Prices -- 4.2 The Short-Run (Dynamic) Relation Between Income and House Prices -- 5 Conclusion and Future Research -- References -- Part IV: Policy Responses -- Chapter 13: The Dutch Housing Agenda -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Housing Affordability and Increasing Supply -- 3 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 14: Financial Stability and Housing Markets in Large Cities: What Role for Macroprudential Policy? -- 1 Facts About House Price Trends in Large Cities -- 2 Drivers of House Price Trends in Large Cities -- 3 Implications for Financial Stability and the Role of Macroprudential Policy -- 4 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 15: Soaring House Prices in Major Cities: How to Spot and Moderate Them -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Are Capital Cities Different from Other Regions? -- 3 Policy Recommendations -- 3.1 Country Experiences -- 3.2 Policy Options -- References -- Chapter 16: The Korean Housing Market: Its Characteristics and Policy Responses -- 1 Recent Housing Market Developments -- 1.1 Housing Price Trends -- 1.2 Supply and Demand -- 2 Structural Characteristics of the Korean Housing Market -- 2.1 Apartments as a Dominant Form of Housing -- 2.2 Demand for Housing as an Investment -- 2.3 Household-Led Supply of Rental Housing -- 3 Recent Buoyancy in the SMA Housing Market -- 3.1 Persistently Low Interest Rates -- 3.2 Easing of Real Estate Regulations. , 3.3 Stronger Incentives for Financial Institutions to Provide Mortgage Loans -- 4 Policy Responses -- 4.1 Comprehensive Measures -- 4.2 Tailored Responses -- 5 Policy Evaluation -- Appendix -- References -- Chapter 17: House Prices and Financial Stability: An Australian Perspective -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Housing Market in Australia -- 3 The Policy Response -- 4 Reflections -- 4.1 How Is Effectiveness Evaluated? -- 4.2 Are Geographical Restrictions Helpful? -- 4.3 Are There Undesirable Consequences? -- 4.4 How Are These Policies Likely to Evolve? -- References -- Graph Data Sources -- Chapter 18: Exploding House Prices in Urban Housing Markets: Explanations and Policy Solutions for the Netherlands -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Specifics of Pre- and Post-crisis Housing in the Netherlands and Its Major Cities -- 3 Explaining the Emergence of Hot Property Markets -- 4 Policy Solutions for Hot Property Markets -- 4.1 Macroprudential Policy -- 4.2 Structural Urban and National Housing Policies -- 5 Conclusions -- References.

Additional Edition: Print version: Nijskens, Rob Hot Property Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2019 ISBN 9783030116736

Language: English

Subjects: Economics

Keywords: Electronic books. ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Electronic books

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Format: 1 Online-Ressource (xiv 331 p.)

ISBN: 0520228766 , 1597349887 , 9781597349888 , 9780520926943 , 0520926943 , 0585422575 , 9780585422572

Note: Includes bibliographical references and index , Cover -- Contents -- List of Illustrations -- Preface and Acknowledgments -- INTRODUCTION: WAR, LIES, AND NEWSPRINT -- 1. SATIRE AND CENSORSHIP -- 2. VERBAL AND VISUAL, HUMOR AND POLITICS: ORGANIZATION AS DISCOURSE -- 3. UNSTUFFING SKULLS: THE CANARD VERSUS THE MASS PRESS -- 4. THE TEARS OF LINTRAN: SEMIOTIC HIJACKING AND WARTIME ANXIETIES -- 5. SOLDIERS VERSUS PROFITEERS: CLASS WAR AS PATRIOTISM -- 6. IN VINO VERITAS: DE LA FOUCHARDI200;RE, BICARD, AND THE POLITICS OF INEBRIATION -- 7. PEACE OR POSTWAR: THE NEXT LAST WAR -- 8. WEB OF MEMORY -- 9. BETWEEN CANNIBALISM AND RESURRECTION: THE BODY OF THE UNKNOWN SOLDIER -- 10. ANTI-IMPERIALISM AND ITS STEREOTYPES: WAR IN THE COLONIES -- 11. POLITICS AS USUAL: AN ANTIPARLIAMENTARISM OF THE LEFT? -- 12. CANARD ECONOMICS, OR THE COSTS OF THE WAR -- 13. THE WEALTH OF NATIONS -- 14. CONCLUSION: POLITICS OF HUMOR, POLITICS OF MEMORY , War, Memory, and the Politics of Humor, features carnage and cannibalism, gender and cross-dressing, drunks and heroes, militarism and memory, all set against the background of World War I France. Allen Douglas shows how a new satiric weekly, the

Language: English

Keywords: Le canard enchaîné ; Satire ; Erster Weltkrieg ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books

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Format: viii, 323 p. , ill , 24 cm

Edition: Online_Ausgabe Boulder, Colo NetLibrary 2004 E-Books von NetLibrary Sonstige Standardnummer des Gesamttitels: 22382847

ISBN: 1417520027

Content: When New German cinema directors like R. W. Fassbinder, Ulrike Ottinger, and Werner Schroeter explored issues of identity--national, political, personal, and sexual--music and film style played crucial roles. Most studies of the celebrated film movement, however, have sidestepped the role of music, a curious oversight given its importance to German culture and nation formation. Caryl Flinn's study reverses this trend, identifying styles of historical remembrance in which music participates. Flinn concentrates on those styles that urge listeners to interact with difference--including that embodied in Germany's difficult history--rather than to "master" or "get past" it. Flinn breaks new ground by considering contemporary reception frameworks of the New German Cinema, a generation after its end. She discusses transnational, cultural, and historical contexts as well as the sexual, ethnic, national, and historical diversity of audiences. Through detailed case studies, she shows how music helps filmgoers engage with a range of historical subjects and experiences. Each chapter of The New German Cinema examines a particular stylistic strategy, assessing music's role in each. The study also examines queer strategies like kitsch and camp and explores the movement's charged construction of human bodies on which issues of ruination, survival, memory, and pleasure are played out.

Note: Includes bibliographical references and index , Introduction: "strategies of remembrance" -- Mourning, melancholia, and "new German melodrama" -- Modernism's aftershocks: Peer Raben's film music for Fassbinder -- Kluge's assault on history: trauma, testimony, and difference in the patriot -- Undoing act 5: history, bodies, and operatic remains: Kluge's the power of emotion -- Restaging history with fantasy: body, camp, and sound in the films of Treut, Ottinger, and Von Praunheim -- Introjecting kitsch: Werner Schroeter, music, and alterity

Additional Edition: Reproduktion von Flinn, Caryl The new German cinema c2004

Language: English

Subjects: General works , Musicology

Keywords: Neuer deutscher Film ; Filmmusik ; Geschichtsdarstellung ; Geschichte ; Neuer deutscher Film ; Filmmusik ; Filmästhetik ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books

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Format: xv, 284 Seiten : , Illustrationen.

ISBN: 978-0-300-18854-7 , 978-0-300-21251-8

Content: "Why exactly did the Nazis burn the Hebrew Bible everywhere in Germany on November 9, 1938? The perplexing event has not been adequately accounted for by historians in their large-scale assessments of how and why the Holocaust occurred. In this gripping new analysis, Alon Confino draws on an array of archives across three continents to propose a penetrating new assessment of one of the central moral problems of the twentieth century. To a surprising extent, Confino demonstrates, the mass murder of Jews during the war years was powerfully anticipated in the culture of the prewar years. The author shifts his focus away from the debates over what the Germans did or did not know about the Holocaust and explores instead how Germans came to conceive of the idea of a Germany without Jews. He traces the stories the Nazis told themselves-where they came from and where they were heading-and how those stories led to the conclusion that Jews must be eradicated in order for the new Nazi civilization to arise. The creation of this new empire required that Jews and Judaism be erased from Christian history, and this was the inspiration-and justification-for Kristallnacht. As Germans imagined a future world without Jews, persecution and extermination became imaginable, and even justifiable"..

Language: English

Subjects: History

Keywords: Nationalsozialismus ; Ideologie ; Judenvernichtung ; Historische Darstellung

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URL: http://www.h-net.org/reviews/showrev.php?id=41643

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URL: http://yalebooks.com/book/9780300188547/world-without-jews

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Author information: Confino, Alon, 1959-

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Format: X, 324 S. : , Ill.

ISBN: 978-0-8047-5518-4 , 0-8047-5518-3

Series Statement: Stanford studies in Jewish history and culture

Content: "This is a study of how the Jewish community of Breslau - the third largest and one of the most affluent in Germany - coped with Nazi persecution. Ascher has included the experiences of his immediate family, although the book is based mainly on archival sources, numerous personal reminiscences, as well as publications by the Jewish community in the 1930s. It is the first comprehensive study of a local Jewish community in Germany under Nazi rule. Until the very end, the Breslau Jews maintained a stance of defiance and sought to persevere as a cohesive group with its own institutions. They categorically denied the Nazi claim that they were not genuine Germans, but at the same time they also refused to abandon their Jewish heritage. They created a new school for the children evicted from public schools, established a variety of new cultural institutions, placed new emphasis on religious observance, maintained the Jewish hospital against all odds, and, perhaps most remarkably, increased the range of welfare services, which were desperately needed as more and more of their number lost their livelihood. In short, the Jews of Breslau refused to abandon either their institutions or the values that they had nurtured for decades. In the end, it was of no avail as the Nazis used their overwhelming power to liquidate the community by force."--Publisher's description.

Note: Includes bibliographical references and index

Language: English

Subjects: History , Theology

Keywords: Judenverfolgung

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Author information: Ascher, Abraham 1928-

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Format: 1 Online-Ressource (lxix, 300 p.)

ISBN: 9781429465410 , 1429465417

Note: "January 1993." , Paralleltitel: Conflict, culture & history , Includes bibliographical references and index , Class war on a global scale : the Leninist culture of political conflict / Stephen J. Blank -- An Islamic concept of conflict in its historical context / Lewis B. Ware -- Cultural and historical influences on conflict in Sinic Asia : China, Japan, and Vietnam / Lawrence E. Grinter -- Culture and conflict in Latin America : myth or reality? / Bynum E. Weathers -- Culture and conflict in Africa's history : the transition to the modern era / Karl P. Magyar , "Five specialists examine the historical relationship of culture and conflict in various regional societies. The authors use Adda B. Bozeman's theories on conflict and culture as the basis for their analyses of the causes, nature, and conduct of war and conflict in the Soviet Union, the Middle East, Sinic Asia (China, Japan, and Vietnam), Latin America, and Africa. Drs. Blank, Lawrence Grinter, Karl P. Magyar, Lewis B. Ware, and Bynum E. Weathers conclude that non-Western cultures and societies do not reject war but look at violence and conflict as a normal and legitimate aspect of sociopolitical behavior."--Publisher's website

Language: English

Keywords: Electronic books

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Format: 1 online resource (153 pages)

ISBN: 9783319099910

Note: Intro -- Prologue -- Purpose of the Report -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- Chapter 1: Preliminaries: Concepts, Trends, and Frameworks -- Supply Chains -- Offshoring Strategies -- Why Do Firms Fragment Production Internationally? -- What Do Countries in Latin America and the Caribbean Stand to Gain? -- Immense Opportunities but also Potential Risks -- Rationale for Public Policy -- Chapter 2: The Participation of Latin America and the Caribbean in International Supply Chains -- Evidence from Intra-industry Trade Indexes -- Evidence from Trade in Value Added -- Evidence from FDI Data -- Evidence from Trade in Services -- Recapitulating -- Chapter 3: The Drivers of Global Value Chain Participation: Cross-Country Analyses -- Synchronizing Trade: The Role of Transportation, Communication, and Logistics Infrastructure -- Policy Issues -- Production Disintegration and Market Integration: Deep Integration Agreements at Work -- Policy Issues -- Production Unbundling and Firm Boundaries: Foreign Affiliates or Local Suppliers? -- Policy Issues -- Service Offshoring: Grasping the Intangibles -- Policy Issues -- Chapter 4: What It Takes to Join an International Value Chain: The Firm-Level Evidence -- No Ordinary Firms -- Empirical Regularities from Case Studies -- Empirical Regularity 1: Prior Exposure to International Practices and/or Markets -- Empirical Regularity 2: Targeting of Market Segments Based on Some Form of Comparative Advantage -- Empirical Regularity 3: Painstaking Accumulation of Capabilities and Use of Certifications as Evidence of Proficiency -- Empirical Regularity 4: Firms Leveraged Resources and Collaborated with Other Peers to Address Common Challenges -- Empirical Regularity 5: Continuing to Learn and Improving Capabilities Even After Joining a GVC -- Policy Lessons from the Empirical Regularities -- Local Linkages. , Exploit Synergies Through a Coordinated Approach -- Chapter 5: Conclusions -- Appendix A -- Trade in Value Added and Set of Countries -- Comparator Groups -- FDI Dataset -- Appendix B -- Specification for the Model of Vertical FDI and Logistics Infrastructure -- The Effects of Economic Integration Agreements: Estimation and Data Sources -- Specification for the Model of Intra-firm Trade -- Specification for the Model of Service Offshoring -- Appendix C Specification for Measuring the Performance of Vertically Linked Affiliates -- References.

Additional Edition: Print version: Blyde, Juan S. Synchronized Factories Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2014 ISBN 9783319099903

Language: English

Subjects: Economics

Keywords: Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books. ; Electronic books.

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Format: 1 online resource (341 pages)

Edition: 1st ed.

ISBN: 9783030050757

Series Statement: Demographic Research Monographs

Note: Intro -- Preface -- Contents -- Chapter 1: Introduction -- 1.1 The Need for Accurate Mortality Forecasts Is Greater Than Ever Before -- 1.2 Determinants and Dynamics of Life Expectancy - Pensions Are Upping the Ante for the Challenge Facing the Art of Projecting... -- 1.3 Cause of Death Forecasts -- 1.4 Period and Cohort Perspectives -- 1.5 Joint Forecasting of Mortality in Similar Populations -- 1.6 From Scenarios to Stochastic Modelling -- 1.7 How Conditions in Early Life Affect Mortality in Later Life -- 1.8 The Increasing Gap in Life Expectancy with Respect to Position in the Income Distribution -- References -- Part I: Current Practice -- Chapter 2: Life Expectancy Is Taking Center Place in Modern National Pension Schemes - A New Challenge for the Art of Projecti... -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Basic Pension Economics - The Role of Mortality -- 2.3 NDC and FDC Schemes - And Life Expectancy -- 2.4 Itś More Important Than Ever to Project Life Expectancy Accurately -- 2.5 Final Comments -- References -- Chapter 3: Experiences from Forecasting Mortality in Finland -- 3.1 Modeen and Törnqvist -- 3.2 Official Forecasts -- 3.3 Predictive Distribution of Mortality -- 3.4 Applications -- References -- Chapter 4: Mortality Projections in Norway -- 4.1 A Brief Description of the Norwegian Population Projection Model -- 4.2 A Short History of Mortality Projections in Norway -- 4.3 Current Methodology of Mortality Projections -- 4.3.1 Target Life Expectancies -- 4.3.2 Difference in Target e0 for Males and Females -- 4.3.3 Life Expectancies in the First Projection Year -- 4.3.4 Path of e0 from the Initial Until the Target Year -- 4.3.5 Slope of e0 in the Target Year -- 4.3.6 Alternative Mortality Assumptions -- 4.3.7 Age Groups -- 4.3.8 Cohort Mortality -- 4.4 Age-Specific Trends in Mortality Rates -- 4.5 Projections of Age-Specific Mortality Rates. , 4.6 Projection Results -- References -- Chapter 5: Mortality Assumptions for Sweden. The 2000-2050 Population Projection -- 5.1 Mortality Projection in Sweden -- 5.2 Sharply Lower Mortality in 1950-1999 -- 5.3 Reasons for the Decline in Mortality in 1980-1999 -- 5.4 Higher Average Life Expectancy in 1950-1999 -- 5.5 Future Mortality -- 5.6 Assumptions Used in the Forecast for the Immediate Future -- 5.7 Assumptions Used in the Forecast for the Longer Term -- 5.8 Mortality Trends over the Period 1950-2050 -- 5.9 Higher Average Life Expectancy -- 5.10 Assumptions Regarding Mortality Trends in Some Countries -- 5.11 Alternative Assumptions -- Chapter 6: Forecasting Life Expectancy: The SCOPE Approach -- References -- Chapter 7: Mortality Forecasts. Comments on How to Improve Existing Models - An Epidemiologistś Perspective -- 7.1 Are the Lifespans of Relatives Correlated? -- 7.2 The Relative Effects of Genetic and Environmental Factors on Lifespan -- 7.3 Prediction of Mortality -- 7.4 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 8: The Need for Looking Far Back in Time When Predicting Future Mortality Trends -- References -- Part II: Probabilistic Models -- Chapter 9: Erroneous Population Forecasts -- 9.1 Forecast Accuracy -- 9.2 Why Population Forecasts Are Inaccurate -- 9.3 Empirical Evidence from Historical Forecasts -- 9.3.1 Forecasts Are More Accurate for Short Than for Long Forecast Durations -- 9.3.2 Forecasts Are More Accurate for Large Than for Small Populations -- 9.3.3 Forecasts of the Old and the Young Tend to Be Less Accurate Than Those of Intermediate Age Groups -- 9.3.4 Accuracy Differs Between Components and Regions -- 9.4 The Expected Accuracy of Current Forecasts -- 9.5 Probabilistic Forecasts: An Alternative to Forecast Variants -- 9.6 Challenges in Probabilistic Population Forecasting -- References. , Chapter 10: Remarks on the Use of Probabilities in Demography and Forecasting -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 Binomial and Poisson Models -- 10.3 Random Rates -- 10.4 Handling of Trends -- 10.5 On Judgment and Subjectivity in Statistical Modeling -- 10.6 On the Interpretation of Probabilities -- 10.7 Eliciting Expert Views on Uncertainty -- References -- Chapter 11: An Expert Knowledge Approach to Stochastic Mortality Forecasting in the Netherlands -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Stochastic Population Forecasts: Methodology -- 11.2.1 An Analysis of Errors of Past Forecasts -- 11.2.2 Model-Based Estimate of Forecast Errors -- 11.2.3 Expert Judgement -- 11.3 Using Expert Knowledge -- 11.4 Expert Knowledge in the Dutch Stochastic Mortality Forecasts -- 11.5 Conclusions -- Appendix: An Explanatory Model for Dutch Mortality -- References -- Chapter 12: Stochastic Forecasts of Mortality, Population and Pension Systems -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Stochastic Forecasts -- 12.3 Mortality Forecasts -- 12.4 From Population to Pension Systems and Policy -- References -- Part III: The Linear Rise in Life Expectancy: History and Prospects -- Chapter 13: The Linear Rise in the Number of Our Days -- 13.1 Better Forecasts -- 13.2 Continuing Belief in Looming Limits -- References -- Chapter 14: Mortality Forecasts and Linear Life Expectancy Trends -- 14.1 Introduction -- 14.2 Linear Change in Life Expectancy over Long Historical Periods -- 14.3 What Is Fundamental, Age at Death or Risk of Death? -- 14.4 Using These Findings to Improve Mortality Forecasts -- 14.5 Considering National Mortality Change in an International Context -- 14.6 Extensions -- 14.6.1 Heterogeneous Targets -- 14.6.2 Heterogeneous Rates of Convergence -- 14.7 Forecasting Mortality -- References -- Chapter 15: Forecasting Life Expectancy: A Statistical Look at Model Choice and Use of Auxiliary Series. , 15.1 Why Forecast Life Expectancy? -- 15.2 Changes in Life Expectancy in 19 Industrialized Countries in 1950-2000 -- 15.3 Conditions on the Usefulness of an Auxiliary Series -- 15.4 Model Choice -- 15.5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 16: Life Expectancy Convergence Among Nations Since 1820: Separating the Effects of Technology and Income -- 16.1 Limits and Convergence in Life Expectancy -- 16.2 The Classic Article: Preston (1975) -- 16.3 Extending the Analysis -- 16.4 New Data -- 16.5 National Effects: A Shopping Analogy -- 16.6 Multilevel Models -- 16.7 Model Results -- 16.8 National Patterns -- 16.9 Convergence -- 16.10 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 17: Linear Increase in Life Expectancy: Past and Present -- 17.1 Descriptive Overview -- 17.2 Causes -- 17.3 Summary and Discussion -- References -- Part IV: Causes of Death -- Chapter 18: How Useful Are the Causes of Death When Extrapolating Mortality Trends. An Update -- 18.1 Extrapolation of Mortality by Cause Risks Absurdity -- 18.2 Would More Sophisticated Methods Be Any Better? -- 18.2.1 A Better Adjustment of Chronological Series of Rates by Age -- 18.2.2 ``Age-Period ́́Adjustment (Lee-Carter Model) -- 18.2.3 ``Age-Period-Cohort ́́Adjustment (APC Model) -- 18.3 The Models Put to the Proof -- 18.4 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 19: Forecasting Life Expectancy and Mortality in Sweden - Some Comments on Methodological Problems and Potential Appro... -- 19.1 Introduction -- 19.2 The Relationships Between Incidence, Prevalence and Mortality -- 19.3 Extrapolating Mortality Trends or Predicting Disease-Specific Causes of Death -- 19.4 Predicting Mortality Based on Potential Elimination of Causes of Death -- 19.5 Predicting Mortality Based on Development of Risk Factors -- 19.6 Methodological Problems in Predicting Mortality Based on Risk Factor Predictions. , 19.7 Future Mortality and Longevity -- 19.8 Implications for the Future -- References -- Chapter 20: How Analysis of Mortality by Cause of Death Is Currently Influencing UK Forecasts -- 20.1 Mortality Improvement in the UK -- 20.2 Current Methodologies and Research in the UK -- 20.3 Understanding the ``UK Cohort Effect ́́-- 20.4 Modelling Mortality by Cause of Death -- 20.5 Implications and Conclusions -- References -- Part V: Cohort Factors: How Conditions in Early Life Influence Mortality Later in Life -- Chapter 21: A Life Course Perspective to the Modern Secular Mortality Decline and Socioeconomic Differences in Morbidity and M... -- 21.1 The Secular Mortality Decline: Early Life and Cohort Explanations and Their Indicators -- 21.2 Historical Trends and Socioeconomic Mortality Differences in a Life Course and Cohort Perspective -- 21.3 Cohort Effects on Mortality and Mortality Predictions: Indicators and Models -- References -- Chapter 22: Early Life Events and Later Life Health: Twin and Famine Studies -- 22.1 Introduction -- 22.2 Famine Early in Life and Later Life Health -- 22.3 Later Life Health for Twins -- 22.4 Twins and Genetic Confounding -- 22.5 Overview -- References -- Chapter 23: The Month of Birth: Evidence for Declining but Persistent Cohort Effects in Lifespan -- 23.1 Introduction -- 23.2 Data -- 23.3 Methods -- 23.4 Results -- 23.4.1 Differences in Lifespan in the United States, Austria, Denmark and Australia -- 23.4.2 Changes in the Month-of-Birth Pattern over Cohorts in Denmark -- 23.4.3 Changes in the 20-Year Survival Probability by Quarter of Birth in the United States -- 23.5 Discussion -- 23.6 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 24: Early-Life Conditions and Old-Age Mortality in a Comparative Perspective: Nineteenth Century Sweden and Belgium -- 24.1 Introduction -- 24.2 Models -- 24.3 Data for Scania -- 24.4 Data for Sart. , 24.5 Results.

Additional Edition: Print version: Bengtsson, Tommy Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2019 ISBN 9783030050740

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Subjects: Medicine , Sociology

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Note: 9781785331565_FChigh -- Blank page -- Blank Page -- 9781785334467_OA -- Designing Worlds -- Contents -- Illustrations -- Introduction National Design Histories in an Age of Globalization -- Chapter 1 Designs on/in Africa -- Chapter 2 Does Southern African Design History Exist? -- Chapter 3 Designing the South African Nation -- Chapter 4 Resisting Global Homogeneity but Craving Global Markets -- Chapter 5 Creativity within a Geographical-National Framework -- Chapter 6 Imagining the Indian Nation -- Chapter 7 Troubled Geography -- Chapter 8 Czech Glass or Bohemian Crystal? -- Chapter 9 The Myth of Danish Design and the Implicit Claims of Labels -- Chapter 10 Altering a Homogenized Heritage -- Chapter 11 A Special Relationship -- Chapter 12 Surveying the Borders -- Chapter 13 An Empire of One's Own -- Chapter 14 The Quest for Modernity -- Chapter 15 Of Coffee, Nature and Exclusion -- Index.

Additional Edition: Print version: Fallan, Kjetil Designing Worlds New York, NY : Berghahn Books, Incorporated,c2016 ISBN 9781785331558

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