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  • 1
    UID:
    almafu_(DE-604)BV046301191
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (231 Seiten) : , Illustrationen.
    Ausgabe: 1. Auflage
    ISBN: 978-3-7489-0319-2
    Serie: Nachhaltige Entwicklung Band 10
    Inhalt: Whether smartphone, smart home or smart city—digitalisation determines almost all areas of our lives today. The topic of sustainability is also omnipresent in 2019 and numerous challenges associated with it are currently being discussed. Digitalisation and sustainability can thus be regarded as the two megatrends of the 21st century. The question of whether digitalisation is an instrument for achieving sustainable development is increasingly at the centre of the debate. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) developed by the United Nations as part of the 2030 Agenda are of particular interest for assessing digitalisation as a potential means of achieving sustainable development. With the help of empirical work by students from the University of Kaiserslautern, this edited volume provides answers to the question of how different digital technologies can help to achieve these 17 goals. With contributions by Katharina Spraul, Cynthia Friedrich, Matthias Klos, Florian Wiegner, Marius Wienand, Antonino-Enrico Bucceri, Jana Becher, Pierre Kohlmann, Teresa Körber, Viktoria Kruppenbacher
    Anmerkung: Beiträge teilweise deutsch teilweise englisch
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-3-8487-6238-5
    Sprache: Englisch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften , Allgemeines
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    Schlagwort(e): Nachhaltigkeit ; Digitalisierung ; Innovation ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Aufsatzsammlung
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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  • 2
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Baden-Baden :Nomos, | Freiburg :Rombach Verlag.
    UID:
    almafu_(DE-604)BV047386833
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (687 Seiten).
    Ausgabe: 1. Auflage
    ISBN: 978-3-96821-727-7
    Serie: Rombach Wissenschaften. Reihe Litterae Band 242
    Inhalt: In einer Verbindung von diskurs-, medien- und literaturgeschichtlicher Perspektivierung wird gezeigt, dass die Einführung der Kategorie des Individuellen in den Bereich des Wissens und damit die Entstehung des modernen Falldenkens am Ende des 18. Jahrhunderts erst durch Fallsammlungen ermöglicht wird, die in Zeitschriften publiziert werden. Im Rekurs auf Flecks Konzept der Zeitschriftenwissenschaft wird das Medium als das Fallmaterial organisierendes Dispositiv untersucht, das in seiner Heterogenität, Vorläufigkeit und Diskursivität dem Genre der Falldarstellung entspricht. Die Analyse von Falldarstellungen im Publikationskontext periodischer Schriften verdeutlicht, dass Fälle nicht als isolierte Einzeltexte zu betrachten sind, sondern in ihren Formen und Funktionen erst erfasst werden können, wenn man sie in einem intertextuellen Gefüge von Reihenbildungen, Weiterverarbeitungen und Diskussionen in den Blick nimmt. Autoren und Psychologen wie Herz, Moritz, Wezel, Hoffbauer, Reil, Maimon, Trapp, Bendavid, Conz oder Müllner werden situiert als Teil einer Debattenkultur, die vorrangig über Zeitschriftennetzwerke organisiert ist. Ein Konnex von Fallsammlungen und literarischen Diskursen ergibt sich nicht nur durch thematische Interferenzen, sondern ebenso durch die Adaption literarischer Narrationsformen bei der Konstruktion von Fällen
    Inhalt: By combining the perspectives of discourse, media and literary history, this book shows that awareness of the category of individuality, and therefore the emergence of modern case law thinking, was only generated at the end of the 18th century through the publication of collections of cases in journals. With recourse to Fleck’s concept of journal theory, this book examines this medium as the agency that organised the case material and that corresponded to the genre of case reports because of its heterogeneity, provisional nature and discursiveness. Analysing case reports in the context of their publication in periodicals highlights that cases should not be regarded as isolated individual texts, but that their forms and functions can only be understood if they are examined within an intertextual framework of series of images, further processing and discussions. This book classes authors and psychologists such as Herz, Moritz, Wezel, Hoffbauer, Reil, Maimon, Trapp, Bendavid, Conz or Müllner as being part of a culture of debate which overrides networks of journals. Furthermore, there is not only a connection between collections of cases and literary discourse in terms of their overlapping themes, but also through their adaptation of literary forms of narration in the construction of cases
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe (Nomos) ISBN 978-3-96821-032-2
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe (Rombach) ISBN 978-3-7930-9947-5
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Fachgebiete: Allgemeines
    RVK:
    Schlagwort(e): Zeitschrift ; Fallsammlung ; Diskursanalyse ; Pädagogische Zeitschrift ; Psychologie ; Gerichtliche Psychologie ; Gerichtliche Psychiatrie ; Fachzeitschrift ; Fallstudie
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Mehr zum Autor: Düwell, Susanne
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  • 3
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Cham :Springer International Publishing AG,
    UID:
    almahu_9949602268002882
    Umfang: 1 online resource (220 pages)
    Ausgabe: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9783030116743
    Anmerkung: Hot Property -- Foreword -- Preface -- Key Takeaways -- Conclusion -- Contents -- Part I: The Rise of Major Cities: Causes and Consequences -- Chapter 1: In the Age of Cities: The Impact of Urbanisation on House Prices and Affordability -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Popularity of Major Cities -- 3 Consequences of the Rise of Major Cities: Housing Affordability and Its Challenges -- 3.1 Causes of the Housing Affordability Crisis -- 4 The Impact of Institutional Investment on the Housing Market -- 5 Potential Solutions -- 6 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 2: Tackling Londonś Housing Crisis -- 1 Defining the Crisis -- 2 Building Homes for Londoners -- 3 Beyond Building -- 3.1 Genuinely Affordable Homes -- 3.2 Londonś Private Rented Sector -- 3.3 Homelessness and Rough Sleeping -- 4 Devolution -- References -- Chapter 3: The Housing Market in Major Dutch Cities -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Price Movements in Major Urban Housing Markets Dissected -- 2.1 Signs of Overheating in Major Urban Housing Markets -- 2.2 As Yet no Indications of a Credit-Driven Bubble -- 3 Differences Between the Major Cities and the Rest of the Netherlands -- 3.1 Demand for Housing -- 3.2 Housing Supply -- 4 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations -- References -- Part II: Is There a Bubble in Major Cities? -- Chapter 4: Regional House Price Differences: Drivers and Risks -- 1 Why Might Regionally Concentrated House Price Booms Raise Concerns? -- 2 House Price Developments -- 3 Macroeconomic and Financial Stability Risks Assessments -- 3.1 Persistence, Reversals and Resilience -- 3.2 Externalities -- 4 Implications for Macroprudential Policy -- References -- Chapter 5: A Tale of Two Cities: Is Overvaluation a Capital Issue? -- 1 Introduction -- 2 A Framework for Regional House Price Modelling: The Case of London -- 3 The Case of Paris -- 4 Conclusions -- References. , Chapter 6: Towards a Global Real Estate Market? Trends and Evidence -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Increasing Synchronicity in House Prices Across Countries -- 2.1 Towards a Global Real Estate Market? -- 2.2 Or the Growing Importance of World Cities? -- 3 House Price Determinants -- 3.1 Synchronicity: The Role of Global Factors -- 3.2 Local Amplifiers -- 4 Policy Implications -- References -- Chapter 7: Managing House Price Booms: Evolution of IMF Surveillance and Policy Advice -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Changing Lines of Defense -- 2.1 Explaining Booms -- 2.2 Managing Booms -- 3 Time to Worry Again? -- 4 Dealing with Glocalization -- 4.1 Explaining Local Booms -- 4.2 Managing Local Booms -- 5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Part III: Housing Supply in Urban Areas -- Chapter 8: The Macroeconomic Implications of Housing Supply Restrictions -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Hot Property Markets and the Microeconomics of Construction Constraints -- 3 Housing Bubbles, Credit Conditions and Extrapolative Beliefs -- 3.1 Housing Supply Elasticity and Counter-Recessionary Policy -- 4 The Complementarities Between Housing and Macroeconomic Policy -- 5 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 9: Some Brief Thoughts on Housing Supply and Policy -- 1 Introduction -- 2 User Cost, Demand for Dwellings, and Housing Prices -- 3 Capital Markets and Housing -- 4 Housing Supply, Affordability, and Overheating -- 5 Mortgage Underwriting Using Fundamental Housing Valuation Forecasts (FHVF) -- 6 Make Supply Elastic Again -- References -- Chapter 10: The Smouldering Issue -- 1 Shifting Towards the Market for Two Decades -- 2 Agreements with Housing Associations are at the Forefront -- 3 Overheating of the Amsterdam Housing Market -- 4 Exerting Counterpressure on the Market -- 5 Limits on the Management Possibilities of Municipalities. , Chapter 11: Housing Markets in Scandinavia: Supply, Demand and Regulation -- 1 Background -- 2 Explanations for the Shortage and Rise in Prices of Housing -- 3 Policy Options -- 4 An Example of a Macroprudential Policy Measure -- 5 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 12: The Relationship Between Supply Constraints and House Price Dynamics in the Netherlands -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Data -- 3 Methodology -- 4 Results -- 4.1 The Long-Run Relation Between Income and House Prices -- 4.2 The Short-Run (Dynamic) Relation Between Income and House Prices -- 5 Conclusion and Future Research -- References -- Part IV: Policy Responses -- Chapter 13: The Dutch Housing Agenda -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Housing Affordability and Increasing Supply -- 3 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 14: Financial Stability and Housing Markets in Large Cities: What Role for Macroprudential Policy? -- 1 Facts About House Price Trends in Large Cities -- 2 Drivers of House Price Trends in Large Cities -- 3 Implications for Financial Stability and the Role of Macroprudential Policy -- 4 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 15: Soaring House Prices in Major Cities: How to Spot and Moderate Them -- 1 Introduction -- 2 Are Capital Cities Different from Other Regions? -- 3 Policy Recommendations -- 3.1 Country Experiences -- 3.2 Policy Options -- References -- Chapter 16: The Korean Housing Market: Its Characteristics and Policy Responses -- 1 Recent Housing Market Developments -- 1.1 Housing Price Trends -- 1.2 Supply and Demand -- 2 Structural Characteristics of the Korean Housing Market -- 2.1 Apartments as a Dominant Form of Housing -- 2.2 Demand for Housing as an Investment -- 2.3 Household-Led Supply of Rental Housing -- 3 Recent Buoyancy in the SMA Housing Market -- 3.1 Persistently Low Interest Rates -- 3.2 Easing of Real Estate Regulations. , 3.3 Stronger Incentives for Financial Institutions to Provide Mortgage Loans -- 4 Policy Responses -- 4.1 Comprehensive Measures -- 4.2 Tailored Responses -- 5 Policy Evaluation -- Appendix -- References -- Chapter 17: House Prices and Financial Stability: An Australian Perspective -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Housing Market in Australia -- 3 The Policy Response -- 4 Reflections -- 4.1 How Is Effectiveness Evaluated? -- 4.2 Are Geographical Restrictions Helpful? -- 4.3 Are There Undesirable Consequences? -- 4.4 How Are These Policies Likely to Evolve? -- References -- Graph Data Sources -- Chapter 18: Exploding House Prices in Urban Housing Markets: Explanations and Policy Solutions for the Netherlands -- 1 Introduction -- 2 The Specifics of Pre- and Post-crisis Housing in the Netherlands and Its Major Cities -- 3 Explaining the Emergence of Hot Property Markets -- 4 Policy Solutions for Hot Property Markets -- 4.1 Macroprudential Policy -- 4.2 Structural Urban and National Housing Policies -- 5 Conclusions -- References.
    Weitere Ausg.: Print version: Nijskens, Rob Hot Property Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2019 ISBN 9783030116736
    Sprache: Englisch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften
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    Schlagwort(e): Electronic books. ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Electronic books
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Full-text  ((OIS Credentials Required))
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  • 4
    UID:
    almahu_BV043308891
    Umfang: 1 Online Ressource (XXI, 172 S.).
    Ausgabe: 2. Aufl. 2016
    ISBN: 978-3-8349-4685-0
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe ISBN 978-3-8349-4684-3
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften , Psychologie
    RVK:
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    Schlagwort(e): Innerbetriebliche Kommunikation
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  • 5
    UID:
    almafu_BV043308891
    Umfang: 1 Online Ressource (XXI, 172 S.).
    Ausgabe: 2. Aufl. 2016
    ISBN: 978-3-8349-4685-0
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe ISBN 978-3-8349-4684-3
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften , Psychologie
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Schlagwort(e): Innerbetriebliche Kommunikation
    Bibliothek Standort Signatur Band/Heft/Jahr Verfügbarkeit
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  • 6
    UID:
    edocfu_BV043308891
    Umfang: 1 Online Ressource (XXI, 172 S.).
    Ausgabe: 2. Aufl. 2016
    ISBN: 978-3-8349-4685-0
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe ISBN 978-3-8349-4684-3
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften , Psychologie
    RVK:
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    Schlagwort(e): Innerbetriebliche Kommunikation
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  • 7
    UID:
    edoccha_BV043308891
    Umfang: 1 Online Ressource (XXI, 172 S.).
    Ausgabe: 2. Aufl. 2016
    ISBN: 978-3-8349-4685-0
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druckausgabe ISBN 978-3-8349-4684-3
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften , Psychologie
    RVK:
    RVK:
    Schlagwort(e): Innerbetriebliche Kommunikation
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  • 8
    UID:
    edoccha_BV044291485
    Umfang: 1 Online-Ressource (IX, 195 Seiten).
    ISBN: 978-3-658-17580-1
    Weitere Ausg.: Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-3-658-17579-5
    Sprache: Deutsch
    Schlagwort(e): Entscheidungstheorie ; Fuzzy-Menge ; Operations Research ; Konferenzschrift
    URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)
    Mehr zum Autor: Spengler, Thomas 1961-
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  • 9
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Singapore :Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,
    UID:
    almahu_9949602251802882
    Umfang: 1 online resource (213 pages)
    Ausgabe: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9789811389382
    Anmerkung: Intro -- Foreword -- Prologue -- Acknowledgements -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- About the Author -- Chapter 1: Understanding Frailty: The Science and Beyond -- 1.1 Active Ageing and Life Course -- 1.2 Managing Frailty: A Holistic Approach -- 1.3 Preparation for the Penultimate Phase of Life -- 1.4 Primary/Secondary Frailty and Family Distress -- 1.5 A Wake-Up Call for Older Adults and the Society -- References -- Chapter 2: Living with Failing Memory: A Caregiver's Perspective -- 2.1 Lack of Acceptance in Early Stage of Dementia -- 2.2 Multimodal Diagnosis of Cognitive Impairment -- 2.3 Handling Caregiver Stress with Additional Complications -- 2.4 Downhill Course and Discussion About Advance Directive -- 2.5 Lonely Couple and Their Fight Against Dementia -- 2.6 Abuse of an Older Adult with Cognitive Impairment -- 2.7 Situation of Poor Older Indian -- References -- Chapter 3: Panorama of Cancer -- 3.1 Cancer: An Unpredictable Melody -- 3.2 Non-specific Symptoms in Elderly May Be Signs of Cancer -- 3.3 The Varied Prognosis of Ca Prostate -- 3.4 Bias in Professional Opinion and Management of the Disease -- 3.5 Rapidly Spreading Tumour and Its Consequences -- 3.6 The Life Course Perspective and the Penultimate Phase -- 3.7 Alarm Signs of Early Cancer -- 3.8 Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment: The Best Tool to Assess Octogenarian Preoperatively -- 3.9 Functionality Matters More than the Calendar Age -- 3.10 Routine Screening in Late Life -- 3.10.1 In One of Our Conversations -- 3.11 The Care Provider on Decision-Making Process -- 3.12 The Big Decision -- References -- Chapter 4: Meaningful Engagement: An Option or Not -- 4.1 Difficulties in Visiting Tertiary Care Public Hospital -- 4.2 Evolution of First Geriatric Clinic in North India -- 4.3 Challenges of Multimorbidity and Polypharmacy in Older Adults. , 4.4 Intergenerational Solidarity: A Fantastic Way of Meaningful Engagement -- 4.5 Situation of Primary Care Physician in Metropolitan Cities -- 4.6 Staring Second Innings -- 4.7 Situational Challenges in Late Life -- 4.8 Ill Effects of Space and Time Restriction -- References -- Chapter 5: Constipation: More than Just "A Symptom" -- 5.1 The Uncomfortable Conversation -- 5.2 A Syndrome with Multifactorial Risk Factors -- 5.3 The Emotion of Motion -- 5.4 Dismissive Attitude Towards Constipation of Physicians -- 5.5 A Comprehensive Approach to Constipation -- 5.6 Frailty, Immobility and Constipation in a Long-Term Care Facility -- 5.7 Dealing with Constipation as an End-of-Life Issue -- References -- Chapter 6: Fall: A Geriatric Syndrome with Endless Agony -- 6.1 Falling: A Casual Approach and Its Consequences -- 6.2 Managing Consequences Without Knowing the Cause -- 6.3 Fall Prevention Clinics for Older Adults -- 6.4 Fall-Related Complications and Treatment Expenses -- 6.5 Fall: A Preventable Agony for Individual -- 6.6 Syncope and Its Implications -- 6.7 Deleterious Effects of Fall -- 6.8 Post-Hip Surgery vs Conservative Management -- 6.9 The Divine Relationship of a Daughter and Father -- References -- Chapter 7: Stroke, Premorbid Status and Resilience -- 7.1 Delirium: Family Support, Love and Care -- 7.2 Stroke and Risk Factors -- 7.3 Importance of Family Support -- 7.4 The Virtue of Joint Family -- 7.5 The Gravity of Problems Alter with Changing Support System -- 7.6 Stroke in a Healthy Octogenarian, from Rural India -- 7.7 The Pivotal Role of Rehabilitation -- References -- Chapter 8: Discussion About Sexual Health: Is It Age Inappropriate? -- 8.1 Sexual Health of Older Adults -- 8.2 Importance of Detailed History of Both the Partners -- 8.3 Scarcity of Data -- 8.4 Anxiety and Depression: A Spoiler Vitality -- 8.5 Lack of Awareness About Safe Sex. , 8.6 Love Is Beyond Age -- 8.7 Sexuality Among Cognitively Impaired Gentlemen -- 8.7.1 Andropause: Judicious Management -- 8.8 Necessity to Discuss Sexual Health -- References -- Chapter 9: To Treat or Not to Treat -- 9.1 Managing Terminally Ill Patients with Situational Challenges -- 9.1.1 Discussing DNR: Need and Importance -- 9.2 Creating Awareness About DNR and Passive Euthanasia -- 9.3 Sentiment Versus Science -- 9.4 Scenario for DNR: Public Versus Private Hospitals -- 9.4.1 Can Doctors Be Wrong? -- 9.4.2 Continuing Discussion About DNR in Society -- References -- Chapter 10: Successful Ageing: An Opportunity and Responsibility for All -- 10.1 Individualistic Way of Achieving Successful Ageing -- 10.1.1 Aspiration Index and Active Ageing -- 10.1.2 Conscientiousness and New Possibilities -- 10.1.3 Blue Zone of the Earth: The Life Lessons -- 10.2 Spirituality and Successful Ageing -- 10.3 Adopting with Random Events -- 10.4 Preparation Is Not Similar for Rural Elderly -- 10.5 Regular Physical Activity and Healthy Diet: Needs Behavioural Motivation (Fig. 10.2) -- 10.6 Lifelong Learning for Subjective Wellbeing -- 10.7 To My Doctor and Paramedic Friends -- 10.8 To My Beloved Senior Citizens and Their Family Members -- References.
    Weitere Ausg.: Print version: Chatterjee, Prasun Health and Wellbeing in Late Life Singapore : Springer Singapore Pte. Limited,c2019 ISBN 9789811389375
    Sprache: Englisch
    Fachgebiete: Pädagogik , Psychologie
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    Schlagwort(e): Electronic books.
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
    URL: Volltext  (kostenfrei)
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  • 10
    Online-Ressource
    Online-Ressource
    Cham :Springer International Publishing AG,
    UID:
    almahu_9949602158302882
    Umfang: 1 online resource (341 pages)
    Ausgabe: 1st ed.
    ISBN: 9783030050757
    Serie: Demographic Research Monographs
    Anmerkung: Intro -- Preface -- Contents -- Chapter 1: Introduction -- 1.1 The Need for Accurate Mortality Forecasts Is Greater Than Ever Before -- 1.2 Determinants and Dynamics of Life Expectancy - Pensions Are Upping the Ante for the Challenge Facing the Art of Projecting... -- 1.3 Cause of Death Forecasts -- 1.4 Period and Cohort Perspectives -- 1.5 Joint Forecasting of Mortality in Similar Populations -- 1.6 From Scenarios to Stochastic Modelling -- 1.7 How Conditions in Early Life Affect Mortality in Later Life -- 1.8 The Increasing Gap in Life Expectancy with Respect to Position in the Income Distribution -- References -- Part I: Current Practice -- Chapter 2: Life Expectancy Is Taking Center Place in Modern National Pension Schemes - A New Challenge for the Art of Projecti... -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Basic Pension Economics - The Role of Mortality -- 2.3 NDC and FDC Schemes - And Life Expectancy -- 2.4 Itś More Important Than Ever to Project Life Expectancy Accurately -- 2.5 Final Comments -- References -- Chapter 3: Experiences from Forecasting Mortality in Finland -- 3.1 Modeen and Törnqvist -- 3.2 Official Forecasts -- 3.3 Predictive Distribution of Mortality -- 3.4 Applications -- References -- Chapter 4: Mortality Projections in Norway -- 4.1 A Brief Description of the Norwegian Population Projection Model -- 4.2 A Short History of Mortality Projections in Norway -- 4.3 Current Methodology of Mortality Projections -- 4.3.1 Target Life Expectancies -- 4.3.2 Difference in Target e0 for Males and Females -- 4.3.3 Life Expectancies in the First Projection Year -- 4.3.4 Path of e0 from the Initial Until the Target Year -- 4.3.5 Slope of e0 in the Target Year -- 4.3.6 Alternative Mortality Assumptions -- 4.3.7 Age Groups -- 4.3.8 Cohort Mortality -- 4.4 Age-Specific Trends in Mortality Rates -- 4.5 Projections of Age-Specific Mortality Rates. , 4.6 Projection Results -- References -- Chapter 5: Mortality Assumptions for Sweden. The 2000-2050 Population Projection -- 5.1 Mortality Projection in Sweden -- 5.2 Sharply Lower Mortality in 1950-1999 -- 5.3 Reasons for the Decline in Mortality in 1980-1999 -- 5.4 Higher Average Life Expectancy in 1950-1999 -- 5.5 Future Mortality -- 5.6 Assumptions Used in the Forecast for the Immediate Future -- 5.7 Assumptions Used in the Forecast for the Longer Term -- 5.8 Mortality Trends over the Period 1950-2050 -- 5.9 Higher Average Life Expectancy -- 5.10 Assumptions Regarding Mortality Trends in Some Countries -- 5.11 Alternative Assumptions -- Chapter 6: Forecasting Life Expectancy: The SCOPE Approach -- References -- Chapter 7: Mortality Forecasts. Comments on How to Improve Existing Models - An Epidemiologistś Perspective -- 7.1 Are the Lifespans of Relatives Correlated? -- 7.2 The Relative Effects of Genetic and Environmental Factors on Lifespan -- 7.3 Prediction of Mortality -- 7.4 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 8: The Need for Looking Far Back in Time When Predicting Future Mortality Trends -- References -- Part II: Probabilistic Models -- Chapter 9: Erroneous Population Forecasts -- 9.1 Forecast Accuracy -- 9.2 Why Population Forecasts Are Inaccurate -- 9.3 Empirical Evidence from Historical Forecasts -- 9.3.1 Forecasts Are More Accurate for Short Than for Long Forecast Durations -- 9.3.2 Forecasts Are More Accurate for Large Than for Small Populations -- 9.3.3 Forecasts of the Old and the Young Tend to Be Less Accurate Than Those of Intermediate Age Groups -- 9.3.4 Accuracy Differs Between Components and Regions -- 9.4 The Expected Accuracy of Current Forecasts -- 9.5 Probabilistic Forecasts: An Alternative to Forecast Variants -- 9.6 Challenges in Probabilistic Population Forecasting -- References. , Chapter 10: Remarks on the Use of Probabilities in Demography and Forecasting -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 Binomial and Poisson Models -- 10.3 Random Rates -- 10.4 Handling of Trends -- 10.5 On Judgment and Subjectivity in Statistical Modeling -- 10.6 On the Interpretation of Probabilities -- 10.7 Eliciting Expert Views on Uncertainty -- References -- Chapter 11: An Expert Knowledge Approach to Stochastic Mortality Forecasting in the Netherlands -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Stochastic Population Forecasts: Methodology -- 11.2.1 An Analysis of Errors of Past Forecasts -- 11.2.2 Model-Based Estimate of Forecast Errors -- 11.2.3 Expert Judgement -- 11.3 Using Expert Knowledge -- 11.4 Expert Knowledge in the Dutch Stochastic Mortality Forecasts -- 11.5 Conclusions -- Appendix: An Explanatory Model for Dutch Mortality -- References -- Chapter 12: Stochastic Forecasts of Mortality, Population and Pension Systems -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Stochastic Forecasts -- 12.3 Mortality Forecasts -- 12.4 From Population to Pension Systems and Policy -- References -- Part III: The Linear Rise in Life Expectancy: History and Prospects -- Chapter 13: The Linear Rise in the Number of Our Days -- 13.1 Better Forecasts -- 13.2 Continuing Belief in Looming Limits -- References -- Chapter 14: Mortality Forecasts and Linear Life Expectancy Trends -- 14.1 Introduction -- 14.2 Linear Change in Life Expectancy over Long Historical Periods -- 14.3 What Is Fundamental, Age at Death or Risk of Death? -- 14.4 Using These Findings to Improve Mortality Forecasts -- 14.5 Considering National Mortality Change in an International Context -- 14.6 Extensions -- 14.6.1 Heterogeneous Targets -- 14.6.2 Heterogeneous Rates of Convergence -- 14.7 Forecasting Mortality -- References -- Chapter 15: Forecasting Life Expectancy: A Statistical Look at Model Choice and Use of Auxiliary Series. , 15.1 Why Forecast Life Expectancy? -- 15.2 Changes in Life Expectancy in 19 Industrialized Countries in 1950-2000 -- 15.3 Conditions on the Usefulness of an Auxiliary Series -- 15.4 Model Choice -- 15.5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 16: Life Expectancy Convergence Among Nations Since 1820: Separating the Effects of Technology and Income -- 16.1 Limits and Convergence in Life Expectancy -- 16.2 The Classic Article: Preston (1975) -- 16.3 Extending the Analysis -- 16.4 New Data -- 16.5 National Effects: A Shopping Analogy -- 16.6 Multilevel Models -- 16.7 Model Results -- 16.8 National Patterns -- 16.9 Convergence -- 16.10 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 17: Linear Increase in Life Expectancy: Past and Present -- 17.1 Descriptive Overview -- 17.2 Causes -- 17.3 Summary and Discussion -- References -- Part IV: Causes of Death -- Chapter 18: How Useful Are the Causes of Death When Extrapolating Mortality Trends. An Update -- 18.1 Extrapolation of Mortality by Cause Risks Absurdity -- 18.2 Would More Sophisticated Methods Be Any Better? -- 18.2.1 A Better Adjustment of Chronological Series of Rates by Age -- 18.2.2 ``Age-Period ́́Adjustment (Lee-Carter Model) -- 18.2.3 ``Age-Period-Cohort ́́Adjustment (APC Model) -- 18.3 The Models Put to the Proof -- 18.4 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 19: Forecasting Life Expectancy and Mortality in Sweden - Some Comments on Methodological Problems and Potential Appro... -- 19.1 Introduction -- 19.2 The Relationships Between Incidence, Prevalence and Mortality -- 19.3 Extrapolating Mortality Trends or Predicting Disease-Specific Causes of Death -- 19.4 Predicting Mortality Based on Potential Elimination of Causes of Death -- 19.5 Predicting Mortality Based on Development of Risk Factors -- 19.6 Methodological Problems in Predicting Mortality Based on Risk Factor Predictions. , 19.7 Future Mortality and Longevity -- 19.8 Implications for the Future -- References -- Chapter 20: How Analysis of Mortality by Cause of Death Is Currently Influencing UK Forecasts -- 20.1 Mortality Improvement in the UK -- 20.2 Current Methodologies and Research in the UK -- 20.3 Understanding the ``UK Cohort Effect ́́-- 20.4 Modelling Mortality by Cause of Death -- 20.5 Implications and Conclusions -- References -- Part V: Cohort Factors: How Conditions in Early Life Influence Mortality Later in Life -- Chapter 21: A Life Course Perspective to the Modern Secular Mortality Decline and Socioeconomic Differences in Morbidity and M... -- 21.1 The Secular Mortality Decline: Early Life and Cohort Explanations and Their Indicators -- 21.2 Historical Trends and Socioeconomic Mortality Differences in a Life Course and Cohort Perspective -- 21.3 Cohort Effects on Mortality and Mortality Predictions: Indicators and Models -- References -- Chapter 22: Early Life Events and Later Life Health: Twin and Famine Studies -- 22.1 Introduction -- 22.2 Famine Early in Life and Later Life Health -- 22.3 Later Life Health for Twins -- 22.4 Twins and Genetic Confounding -- 22.5 Overview -- References -- Chapter 23: The Month of Birth: Evidence for Declining but Persistent Cohort Effects in Lifespan -- 23.1 Introduction -- 23.2 Data -- 23.3 Methods -- 23.4 Results -- 23.4.1 Differences in Lifespan in the United States, Austria, Denmark and Australia -- 23.4.2 Changes in the Month-of-Birth Pattern over Cohorts in Denmark -- 23.4.3 Changes in the 20-Year Survival Probability by Quarter of Birth in the United States -- 23.5 Discussion -- 23.6 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 24: Early-Life Conditions and Old-Age Mortality in a Comparative Perspective: Nineteenth Century Sweden and Belgium -- 24.1 Introduction -- 24.2 Models -- 24.3 Data for Scania -- 24.4 Data for Sart. , 24.5 Results.
    Weitere Ausg.: Print version: Bengtsson, Tommy Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting Cham : Springer International Publishing AG,c2019 ISBN 9783030050740
    Sprache: Englisch
    Fachgebiete: Medizin , Soziologie
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    Schlagwort(e): Electronic books. ; Aufsatzsammlung ; Electronic books
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