UID:
kobvindex_INT0000481
Umfang:
xxvi, 982 pages :
,
illustrations ;
,
1 CD-ROM.
,
26 x 21 cm. +
ISBN:
9780072311358 (hbk.)
,
0072311355 (hbk.)
Inhalt:
MACHINE-GENERATED SUMMARY NOTE: "This text explains what system dynamics is and how it is applied successfully to solve business and organizational problems. The text includes role-playing exercises and case studies depicting real companies to provide realism and proof of the effectiveness of system dynamics principles." -- "The field of system dynamics was created in 1956 under the leadership of MIT Professor Jay W. Forrester to evaluate how alternative policies affect growth, stability, fluctuation, and changing behavior in corporations, cities, and countries. Forrester founded the System Dynamics Program in the Alfred P. Sloan School of Management at MIT. John Sterman is currently Director of the System Dynamics Group at MIT. This text is a summary of the wisdom and knowledge gathered over more than twenty years of research dedicated to the study of practical methods for systems thinking and the dynamic modeling of complex systems. It is well written, easy to understand, and worthy of serious consideration."
Anmerkung:
MACHINE-GENERATED CONTENTS NOTE: Preface -- PERSPECTIVE AND PROCESS : Learning in and about complex systems ; System dynamics in action ; The modelling process ; Structure and behaviour of dynamic systems -- TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING : Causal loop diagrams ; Stocks and flows ; Dynamics of stocks and flows ; Closing the loop : dynamics of simple structures -- THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH : S-shaped growth : epidemics, innovation diffusion and the growth of new products ; Path dependence and positive feedback -- TOOLS FOR MODELLING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS : Delays ; Co-flows and ageing chains ; Modeling decision making ; Formulating nonlinear relationships ; Modelling human behaviour : bounded rationality or rational expectations? ; Forecasts and fudge factors : modelling expectation formation -- INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION : Supply chains and the origin of oscillations ; The manufacturing supply chain ; The labour supply chain and the origin of business cycles ; The invisible hand sometimes shakes : commodity cycles ; -- MODEL TESTING : Truth and beauty : validation and model testing -- COMMENCEMENT : Challenges for the future -- APPENDIX A : Numerical integration. Challenge: choosing a time step -- APPENDIX B Noise. Challenge: exploring noise -- References -- Index.
Sprache:
Englisch
Schlagwort(e):
Handbooks and manuals
;
Case studies
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