UID:
almahu_9949386395202882
Format:
1 online resource
ISBN:
9781000205800
,
1000205800
,
9781003019695
,
1003019692
,
9781000205770
,
1000205770
,
9781000205749
,
1000205746
Series Statement:
Chapman and Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences
Content:
Elections are random events. From individuals deciding whether to vote, to people deciding for whom to vote, to election authorities deciding what to count, the outcomes of competitive democratic elections are rarely known until election dayor beyond. Understanding Elections through Statistics: Polling, Prediction, and Testing explores this random phenomenon from two points of view: predicting the election outcome using opinion polls and testing the election outcome using government-reported data. Written for those with only a brief introduction to statistics, this book takes you on a statistical journey from how polls are taken to how they can--and should--be used to estimate current popular opinion. Once an understanding of the election process is built, we turn toward testing elections for evidence of unfairness. While holding elections has become the de facto proof of government legitimacy, those electoral processes may hide a dirty little secret of the government illicitly ensuring a favorable election outcome. This book includes these features designed to make your statistical journey more enjoyable: Vignettes of elections, including maps, to provide concrete bases for the material In-chapter cues to help one avoid the heavy math--or tofocus on it End-of-chapter problems designed to review and extend that which was covered in the chapter Many opportunities to turn the power of the R statistical environment to the enclosed election data files, as well as to those you find interesting From these features, it is clear the audience for this book is quite diverse. This text provides mathematics for those interested in mathematics, but also offers detours for those who just want a good read and a deeper understanding of elections. Author Ole J. Forsberg holds PhDs in both political science and statistics. He currently teaches mathematics and statistics in the Department of Mathematics at Knox College in Galesburg, IL.
Note:
1. Polling 101; 2. Polling 399; 3. Combining Polls; 4. In-Depth Analysis: Brexit 2016; 5. Digit Tests; 6. Differential Invalidation; 7. Considering Geography; 8. In-Depth Analysis: Sri Lanka since 1994
Additional Edition:
Print version: Forsberg, Ole J. Understanding Elections Through Statistics : Polling, Prediction, and Testing. Milton : CRC Press LLC, ©2020 ISBN 9780367895372
Language:
English
Keywords:
Electronic books.
;
Electronic books.
;
Statistics.
;
Electronic books.
DOI:
10.1201/9781003019695.
URL:
https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/9781003019695
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