Kooperativer Bibliotheksverbund

UID:

Umfang: 1 online resource (332 pages)

Ausgabe: 1st ed. 2024.

ISBN: 9783031472299 , 3031472292

Serie: Contributions to Economics,

Inhalt: This book reviews China’s strategic pathway over the last 1000 years and considers its prospects for ascending to high-income status by the end of the 21st century. It analyzes why, although China’s chances of joining the global core are sound, they are not outstanding; in addition, it faces mounting challenges, internal and external alike. The argument is presented in the framework of dynamic-strategy theory, which is expounded here in novel form. This exposition includes a wide ranging survey of global history, with a focus on the development of the industrialisation paths of the major economies of today, including a detailed study of Japan's long-run strategic pathway. The book’s closing section presents a scenario-based discussion of China’s potential place in the world in 2100. The analysis implies that China’s zenith is likely to be reached slightly before mid-century, after which its relative economic scale will likely decline. Beyond that general finding, the scenarios investigate the wide range of plausible outcomes that China may experience: a range that the author contends is much wider for China than for nations under-pinned by less complex political-economies. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars of history, economics, geopolitics and sinology, and to anyone interested in learning about China’s economic prospects at a time of increasingly heated ideological and empirical debates.

Anmerkung: Chapter 1. The Strategic Logic of China’s Economy -- Chapter 2. The Dynamic Strategy Theory, a Formal Statement -- Chapter 3. Industrialisation Sub-strategies: Theory and Practice -- Chapter 4. Asia’s First Industrial Giant: Japan’s Strategic Pursuit -- Chapter 5. China’s Millennial Pathway in a Strategic Mirror -- Chapter 6. China’s Economic Performance and Strategic Pathway From the Late Qing to the Death of Mao Zedong -- Chapter 7. China’s Strategic Pathway From Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping -- Chapter 8. The Xi Inheritance -- Chapter 9. China’s Strategic Pursuit Under Xi Jinping and the New Era -- Chapter 10. China in the World-system: Strategic Pathways to 2100.

Weitere Ausg.: ISBN 9783031472282

Weitere Ausg.: ISBN 3031472284

Sprache: Englisch

Fachgebiete: Wirtschaftswissenschaften

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-47229-9

URL: Volltext  (URL des Erstveröffentlichers)

UID:

Umfang: 1 online resource (332 pages)

Ausgabe: 1st ed.

ISBN: 3-031-47229-2

Serie: Contributions to Economics Series

Anmerkung: Intro -- Foreword -- Preface -- Symbols and Pro-Numerals from the Dynamic-Strategy Theory -- Acknowledgements -- Contents -- About the Author -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Part I: Theoretical Foundations -- Chapter 1: The Strategic Logic of China´s Economy -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Theoretical Foundations -- 1.3 Asia´s First Industrial Giant: Lessons from Japan -- 1.4 China´s Historical Development Path and Future Prospects Within the World System -- References -- Chapter 2: The Dynamic Strategy Theory, a Formal Statement -- 2.1 Introduction and Motivation -- 2.2 The Dynamic Strategy Theory -- 2.3 An Extension: The Cycle and Strategic Confidence -- 2.4 The Strategic Alternator: The Microeconomic Operation of the Dynamic Strategy Theory -- 2.5 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 3: Industrialisation Sub-strategies: Theory and Practice -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Strategies and Sub-strategies Under the Industrial Paradigm -- 3.3 A Formal Framework for Sub-strategic Diagnosis -- 3.4 A Diagrammatic Exposition: Introducing the Strategy Grid -- 3.5 The Strategy Grids of First- and Second-Generation Industrialisers -- 3.6 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 4: Asia´s First Industrial Giant: Japan´s Strategic Pursuit -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 From Tokugawa Seclusion to Dynamic Latecomer and Imperial Power: 1850 to World War II -- 4.3 From Being a Miracle to Needing One? Japanese Strategy from 1950 -- 4.3.1 The 1950s and 1960s -- 4.3.2 The 1970s Onwards -- 4.4 Beyond the Bubble -- 4.5 Conclusions -- References -- Part II: China -- Chapter 5: China´s Millennial Pathway in a Strategic Mirror -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 An Alternative Periodisation of Chinese History -- 5.3 Answering Needham: China´s Strategic Mix During and After the Song -- 5.4 Longevity of Empire in a Dynamic Strategy Mirror -- 5.5 International Engagement from the Song Forward. , 5.6 Self-Strengthening: A Half-Hearted and Thus Doomed Attempt to Engage with the Industrial Global Strategic Transition -- 5.7 From the Demise of the Qing to the People´s Republic -- 5.8 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 6: China´s Economic Performance and Strategic Pathway from the Late Qing to the Death of Mao -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 China´s Relative Living Standards over Two Millennia -- 6.3 China´s Relative Living Standards and Absolute Relevance since 1820 -- 6.4 The Nature of Chinese Strategy before 1890 as Revealed by the Composition of Economic Activity -- 6.5 Evidence of Industrialisation between 1890 and the Rise of the People´s Republic -- 6.6 Industrialisation in the People´s Republic: China under Mao -- 6.7 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 7: China´s Strategic Pathway from Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 The Reform and Opening-Up: The Initial Foray, 1978-1985 -- 7.3 Macro Instability and Strategic Uncertainty: 1985-1992 -- 7.4 Centralising, Turning Outward and ``reform with losers´´: 1992-2001 -- 7.5 China´s Engagement with the Global Trading Apparatus -- 7.6 Dynamic Substitution in China´s Trade -- 7.7 China´s Strategic Pathway: The Hu-Wen Era -- 7.8 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 8: The Xi Inheritance -- 8.1 Introduction -- 8.2 China´s Historical Industrialisation Path in Comparative Perspective -- 8.3 Policy Parameters as Xi Ascended and the Historical System -- 8.3.1 Energy and the Environment -- 8.3.2 The Cost of Capital and the Reform of Domestic and International Finance -- 8.3.3 The Remuneration of Labour, Particularly Internal Migrants -- 8.3.4 Fiscal Policy -- 8.3.5 International Competitiveness and Factor Market Distortions -- 8.4 A Political-Economic Comment -- 8.5 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 9: China´s Strategic Pursuit under Xi Jinping and the New Era -- 9.1 Introduction. , 9.2 The Achievements and Disappointments of Xi´s First Two Terms -- 9.3 Alternatives to a Smooth Transition -- 9.4 The Strategic Record: The 5YP Plan and Xi´s Work Reports -- References -- Chapter 10: China in the World-System: Strategic Pathways to 2100 -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 The Narrative Worlds on which the Pathways Are Built -- 10.2.1 Schism -- 10.2.2 Song -- 10.2.3 Shadow -- 10.3 The Pathways -- 10.4 An Aside on Population and Its Influence on Absolute and Relative Scale -- 10.5 The Suite of Pathways and the Strategy Grid -- References -- Appendix: The Laws of History -- Primary Laws -- Secondary Laws of Historical Change -- Tertiary Laws of Institutional Change -- Bibliography of Databases -- Subscription Databases -- Other -- Index.

Weitere Ausg.: ISBN 3-031-47228-4

Sprache: Englisch

UID:

Umfang: XXVIII, 318 p. 80 illus., 1 illus. in color. , online resource.

Ausgabe: 1st ed. 2024.

ISBN: 9783031472299

Serie: Contributions to Economics,

Inhalt: This book reviews China's strategic pathway over the last 1000 years and considers its prospects for ascending to high-income status by the end of the 21st century. It analyzes why, although China's chances of joining the global core are sound, they are not outstanding; in addition, it faces mounting challenges, internal and external alike. The argument is presented in the framework of dynamic-strategy theory, which is expounded here in novel form. This exposition includes a wide ranging survey of global history, with a focus on the development of the industrialisation paths of the major economies of today, including a detailed study of Japan's long-run strategic pathway. The book's closing section presents a scenario-based discussion of China's potential place in the world in 2100. The analysis implies that China's zenith is likely to be reached slightly before mid-century, after which its relative economic scale will likely decline. Beyond that general finding, the scenarios investigate the wide range of plausible outcomes that China may experience: a range that the author contends is much wider for China than for nations under-pinned by less complex political-economies. Given its scope, the book will appeal to scholars of history, economics, geopolitics and sinology, and to anyone interested in learning about China's economic prospects at a time of increasingly heated ideological and empirical debates.

Anmerkung: Chapter 1. The Strategic Logic of China's Economy -- Chapter 2. The Dynamic Strategy Theory, a Formal Statement -- Chapter 3. Industrialisation Sub-strategies: Theory and Practice -- Chapter 4. Asia's First Industrial Giant: Japan's Strategic Pursuit -- Chapter 5. China's Millennial Pathway in a Strategic Mirror -- Chapter 6. China's Economic Performance and Strategic Pathway From the Late Qing to the Death of Mao Zedong -- Chapter 7. China's Strategic Pathway From Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping -- Chapter 8. The Xi Inheritance -- Chapter 9. China's Strategic Pursuit Under Xi Jinping and the New Era -- Chapter 10. China in the World-system: Strategic Pathways to 2100.

In: Springer Nature eBook

Weitere Ausg.: Printed edition: ISBN 9783031472282

Weitere Ausg.: Printed edition: ISBN 9783031472305

Weitere Ausg.: Printed edition: ISBN 9783031472312

Sprache: Englisch

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-47229-9

URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-47229-9