Format:
1 Online-Ressource (circa 28 Seiten)
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ISBN:
9781498300865
Series Statement:
IMF working paper WP/19, 49
Content:
This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on fiscal balances in a panel of 142 countries over the period 1985-2015. Our instrumental variable strategy exploits the geographical diffusion of fiscal rules across countries. The intuition is that reforms in neighboring countries may affect the adoption of domestic reforms through peer pressure and imitational effects. We find that fiscal rules correlate with lower deficits, but the positive link disappears when endogeneity is correctly addressed. However, when considering an index of fiscal rules' design, we show that well-designed rules have a statistically significant impact on fiscal balances. We conduct several robustness tests and show that our results are not affected by weak instrument problems
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe Caselli, Francesca Do Fiscal Rules Cause Better Fiscal Balances? A New Instrumental Variable Strategy Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019 ISBN 9781498300865
Language:
English
Keywords:
Graue Literatur
DOI:
10.5089/9781498300865.001
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