In:
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, SAGE Publications, Vol. 2672, No. 45 ( 2018-12), p. 196-209
Kurzfassung:
Highway traffic incidents induce a significant loss of life, economy, and productivity through injuries and fatalities, extended travel time and delay, and excessive energy consumption and air pollution. Traffic emergency management during incident conditions is the core element of active traffic management, and it is of practical significance to accurately understand the duration time distribution for typical traffic incident types and the factors that influence incident duration. This study proposes a dual-learning Bayesian network (BN) model to estimate traffic incident duration and to examine the influence of heterogeneous factors on the length of duration based on expert knowledge of traffic incident management and highway incident data collected in Zhejiang Province, China. Fifteen variables related to three aspects of traffic incidents, including incident information, incident consequences, and rescue resources, were included in the analysis. The trained BN model achieves favorable performance in several areas, including classification accuracy, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the area under curve (AUC) value. A classification matrix, and significant variables and their heterogeneous influences are identified accordingly. The research findings from this study provide beneficial reference to the understanding of decision-making in traffic incident response and process, active traffic incident management, and intelligent transportation systems.
Materialart:
Online-Ressource
ISSN:
0361-1981
,
2169-4052
DOI:
10.1177/0361198118796938
Sprache:
Englisch
Verlag:
SAGE Publications
Publikationsdatum:
2018
ZDB Id:
2403378-9