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  • 1
    Online Resource
    Online Resource
    Cambridge :Cambridge University Press,
    UID:
    almafu_9960119822602883
    Format: 1 online resource (ix, 244 pages) : , digital, PDF file(s).
    ISBN: 0-511-52197-9
    Content: The rational expectations revolution and other developments in economics (notably game theory) have fundamentally altered the application of optimal control theory to economic forecasting and planning. In particular, they have shown that economic systems cannot be modelled simplistically on physical systems. However, as the authors of this volume show, these developments have greatly enhanced our understanding of how an economy functions, and now make it possible for optimal control theory to be applied much more effectively to economic modelling and planning. This book is divided into two parts. The first presents the orthodox framework but extends it to allow for multiplicative uncertainty, risk and non-linearities in the econometric model. The second part looks explicitly at the question of expectations. It provides methods by which forward-looking expectations can be treated jointly with the determination of economic policy. It also examines game-theoretic considerations - where, for instance, policy makers may have incentive to renege on their commitments.
    Note: Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 05 Oct 2015). , Preface1. Introduction2. The theory of economic policy and the linear model3. Optimal-policy design4. Uncertainty and risk5. Risk aversion, priorities and achievements6. Non-linear optimal control7. The linear rational-expectations model8. Policy design for rational-expectations models9. Non-cooperative, full-information dynamic games10. Incomplete information, bargaining and social optimaNotesReferencesIndex. , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 0-521-12633-9
    Additional Edition: ISBN 0-521-26444-8
    Language: English
    URL: Volltext  (lizenzpflichtig)
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