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    UID:
    almahu_9948026698302882
    Format: 1 online resource (457 p.)
    ISBN: 1-281-79027-3 , 9786611790271 , 0-08-086670-0
    Series Statement: Advances in psychology ; 16
    Content: This volume contains the revised papers of an international symposium on research on fallacies, biases, and the development of decision behavior under uncertainty. The papers are organized in five main sections.The Introduction outlines the conceptual framework and how three of the sections - Cognitive Decision Research, Social Interaction, and Development and Epistemology - are interrelated and also how new fields, such as research into developmental questions, can be productively integrated.In the fifth section Comments are collected, which evaluate the impact of the contribu
    Note: Revised papers of an international symposium, held at Bielefeld University, Nov. 10-12, 1982. , Front Cover; Decision Making Under Uncertainty; Copyright Page; Contents; Preface; PART I: INTRODUCTION; Chapter 1. Introduction to Decision Making under Uncertainty: Biases, Fallacies, and the Development of Decision Making; PART II: COGNITIVE DECISION RESEARCH; Chapter 2. The Theoretical Status of Judgmental Heuristics; Chapter 3. The Base Rate Fallacy Controversy; Chapter 4. The Two Camps on Rationality; Chapter 5. The Role of Heuristics in Models of Decision; Chapter 6. On the Testability of the Availability Heuristic , Chapter 7. Problem Structuring Calculi and Levels of Knowledge Representation in Decision MakingChapter 8. Verbal vs. Numerical Processing of Subjective Probabilities; Chapter 9. Subjective Expected Utility: A Model of Decision Making; PART III: SOCIAL INTERACTION; Chapter 10. Conditions of Violating Individual Rationality; Chapter 11. Biases in Group Decision Making; Chapter 12. The Dependance of Cognition and Behavior in 2x2 Matrice Games; Chapter 13. On the Prominence Structure of the Decimal System; PART IV: DEVELOPMENT AND EPISTEMOLOGY , Chapter 14. Conceptual and Theoretical Issues in Developmental Research on the Acquisition of the Probability ConceptChapter 15. The Perception of Probability Situations in Pupils Aged 12 to 14; Chapter 16. The Psychology of Inference and the Teaching of Probability and Statistics: Two Sides of the Same Coin?; Chapter 17. (Mis-) Interpretation of Stochastic Models; Chapter 18. Randomness and Stochastic Independence - On the Relationship Between Intuitive Notion and Math-ematical Definition; Chapter 19. Decision-Theoretic Paradoxes; PART V: COMMENTS , Chapter 20. The Possible and the Profitable Some remarks on the symposium's impact on decision researchChapter 21. The Importance of the Fictional for Theories of Knowledge Some remarks on the symposium's impact on cognitive psychology; Chapter 22. Why are Developmental Psychologists Biased with Regard to the Biasedness of the Human Subject? Some remarks on the symposium's impact on developmental psychology; Chapter 23. Individual Decision Making and Social Psychology Some remarks on the symposium's impact on social psychology , Chapter 24. Towards a Theory of Limited Rationality Some remarks on the symposium's impact on economic theoryChapter 25. Towards an Education for Decision Behavior Some remarks on the symposium's impact on mathematical education; ADDRESSES OF CONTRIBUTORS; ABSTRACTS; AUTHOR INDEX , English
    Additional Edition: ISBN 0-444-86738-4
    Language: English
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