UID:
edoccha_9961612705002883
Format:
1 online resource (301 pages)
Edition:
1st ed.
ISBN:
9783031631863
Series Statement:
Hurricane Risk Series ; v.3
Note:
Intro -- Foreword -- Acknowledgements -- Contents -- Contributors -- Chapter 1: Modeling Return Periods of Tropical Cyclone Winds in the Vicinity of Hawaii-A Revisit -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Materials and Method -- 1.2.1 Data -- 1.2.2 Statistical Methods -- 1.2.2.1 Poisson Process -- 1.2.2.2 Kernel Density Estimation -- 1.2.2.3 Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) Distribution -- 1.3 Modern Statistical Model to Estimate the Return Periods -- 1.3.1 Procedures for Selecting Variables as Predictors -- 1.3.2 Statistical Model to Estimate the Return Periods -- 1.4 Results -- 1.5 Conclusions and Discussion -- References -- Chapter 2: Extratropical Transition of Tropical Cyclones in a Changing Climate -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Evolution and Detection of ET -- 2.2.1 Evolution of ET -- 2.2.2 Detection of ET: Cyclone Phase Space -- 2.2.2.1 Parameter B: Symmetry Vs Asymmetry -- 2.2.2.2 Parameters : Warm-Core Vs Cold-Core -- 2.2.2.3 Diagnostics of ET Onset and Completion -- 2.3 Future Changes in ET Events -- 2.3.1 ET Events Represented in High-Resolution Models -- 2.3.2 Future Changes in ET Events in the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific -- 2.3.3 Future Changes in ET Events in the Western North Pacific -- 2.4 Summary and Discussion -- References -- Chapter 3: Rainfall Contribution by Cyclonic Disturbances Over India In Two Epochs During 1901-2021 and Risk Assessment -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Data used and Techniques Adopted -- 3.2.1 Datasets Used -- 3.2.2 Methodologies and Techniques Adopted -- 3.3 Crossed and Grazed CDs to Indian Coast -- 3.4 Average CDR and CD Frequency -- 3.5 Spatial Variability of Average CDR Contribution -- 3.6 Spatial Variability of CDR Percentage Contribution -- 3.7 Spatial Distribution of CDR Trend -- 3.8 Variation of Seasonal CDR Percentage Contribution -- 3.9 Trend of Average CDR Over the Indian Coastal States.
,
3.10 Quantifying the Future Risks Using a Probabilistic Approach -- 3.10.1 Parameter Estimation for Probabilistic Model Configurations -- 3.10.2 Model Assessment -- 3.10.3 Estimate Return Levels for Annual Maximum CDR -- 3.11 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 4: Meridional Heat Convergence Will Increase Tropical North Atlantic Heat Content Available for Hurricane Intensificat... -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Data and Methods -- 4.2.1 CMIP6 HighResMIP (High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project) -- 4.2.2 Ocean Data -- 4.2.3 Atmospheric and Surface Flux Data -- 4.2.4 Hurricane Data -- 4.2.5 Water Mass Transformation -- 4.2.6 Back-Tracking Warm Water (TRACMASS) -- 4.3 Results -- 4.3.1 Future Trends in Available Heat Content -- 4.3.2 Changes in Atmospheric Heat Flux -- 4.3.3 Climate Change and Tropical Atlantic Advective Heat Flux -- 4.4 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 5: Is the Increasing Trend in the Environmental Upper-Ocean Heat Content in the Northwest Pacific Strengthening Tropic... -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 Data and Methods -- 5.3 Results -- 5.3.1 Trends in TC Best-Track Central Pressures -- 5.3.2 Trends in SST and Conventional UOHC -- 5.3.2.1 SST -- 5.3.2.2 UOHC -- 5.3.2.3 New Ocean Heat Content -- 5.3.2.4 Relationship Between New Heat Content and TC Central Pressure -- 5.3.2.5 Case Study: Typhoon HAGIBIS (2019) -- 5.4 Discussion -- 5.5 Concluding Remarks -- References -- Chapter 6: Integration of Indigenous Traditional Knowledge and AI in Hurricane Resilience and Adaptation -- 6.1 Convergence of Knowledge -- 6.1.1 Overview of Hurricanes -- 6.1.2 The Role of Indigenous Communities in Hurricane Resilience -- 6.1.3 Intersection of AI and Indigenous Knowledge -- 6.2 Case Studies: Traditional Practices in Hurricane Prediction and Response -- 6.2.1 The Scientific Basis of Indigenous Knowledge.
,
6.3 Modern Scientific Approaches: AI and Machine Learning -- 6.3.1 AI Advances in Hurricane Forecasting and Prediction -- 6.4 Challenges and Opportunities -- 6.4.1 Barriers in Recognizing Indigenous Knowledge -- 6.4.2 Advocating Indigenous Strategies in Formal Policies -- 6.4.3 Opportunities for Enhancing Indigenous Voices -- 6.5 A Call for International Collaboration and Communication to Address Climate Change -- 6.5.1 The Climate Communication Channel: A Model for Collaborative Hurricane Readiness -- 6.5.2 Model Overview: Conceptual Framework for Collaborative Resilience -- 6.5.2.1 Community and Natural Knowledge -- 6.5.2.2 Scientific Research Communities -- 6.5.2.3 Knowledge Processing Centres -- 6.5.2.4 Educational Institutions -- 6.5.2.5 Facilitators: Community, Researchers, Educators, and Learners -- 6.6 Implementation Case Study: Climate Education in India -- 6.6.1 The 3C Model Pilot at Hyderabad, India -- 6.6.2 Community Engagement Initiatives -- 6.6.3 Future Directions and Ongoing Efforts -- 6.7 Cost Benefit Overview for the 3C Model Implementation -- 6.8 Conclusion -- 6.9 Acknowledgement of Funding Support -- References -- Chapter 7: Navigating Storms: Understanding the Complexities of School Interruptions Post-Hurricane María -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 Interruptions to the Educational Process: Climate Change and Institutional Context -- 7.2.1 Climate Change as an Accelerator of School Interruptions -- 7.2.2 Government Management and School Interruptions -- 7.3 Implications of School Interruptions for Communities, Families, and Children -- 7.3.1 Effects on the Local Neighborhood and the School Community -- 7.3.1.1 Migration as a Consequence and Its Impact on the Community -- 7.3.2 Impact on Children and Families -- 7.3.2.1 Academic Impact -- 7.3.2.2 Physical and Emotional Implications of School Interruption.
,
7.3.2.3 Implications for Human Capital Formation -- 7.3.2.4 Economic Impact -- 7.4 Learned Lessons -- 7.5 Towards Recovery: Prioritizing Education and Support Systems After Disasters -- References -- Chapter 8: College Students and Hurricane Preparedness: Cluster Analysis of Factors Affecting Vulnerability and Coping Capacity -- 8.1 Introduction and Overview -- 8.2 Literature -- 8.2.1 Hurricane Evacuation Preparedness -- 8.2.2 College Student Vulnerability to and Preparedness for Hurricane Hazards -- 8.2.3 Conceptual Framework -- 8.3 Survey of College Students in Coastal Virginia -- 8.4 Cluster Analysis -- 8.5 Results -- 8.6 Conclusion -- References -- Chapter 9: Effective Risk Communication for Disaster Response During Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate: The Puerto ... -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 The Imperative of Risk and Health Communication -- 9.3 Risk Communication Challenges in Puerto Rico -- 9.4 Lessons Learned in Emergency Risk Communication -- 9.5 Hurricane History and Experiences in Puerto Rico -- 9.6 Hurricane María: A Before and After for Puerto Rico -- 9.7 Lessons from Hurricane Fiona -- 9.8 Conclusions -- 9.9 Recommendations: Preparedness and Disaster Mitigation Through Education and Persuasive Risk Communication -- References -- Chapter 10: Reconsidering the Saffir-Simpson Scale: A Qualitative Investigation of Public Understanding and Alternative Framew... -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 Literature Review -- 10.3 Methodology -- 10.3.1 Selection of Alternative Survey Scales -- 10.3.2 Participant Recruitment -- 10.3.3 Participant Demographics -- 10.3.4 Focus Group Procedures -- 10.3.5 Data Analysis -- 10.4 Results -- 10.4.1 General Hurricane Experiences -- 10.4.2 General Hurricane Knowledge -- 10.4.3 Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale -- 10.4.4 Alternative Scales -- 10.4.5 Concluding Questions -- 10.5 Discussion.
,
10.5.1 Subjectivity in Hurricane Perception -- 10.5.2 Understanding and Application of the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale -- 10.5.3 Public Reception of Alternative Scales -- 10.5.4 Overall Public Understanding of Hurricane Risks -- 10.5.5 Evaluation of Alternative Scales -- 10.5.6 Implications for Hurricane Communication -- 10.5.7 Limitations and Future Research -- 10.6 Conclusions -- Appendix -- Appendix I Materials Presented to Participants -- A. Focus Group Flyer Distributed Via Social Media -- B. Slide: Understanding Tropical Cyclones -- C. Slide: Explaining the SSHWS -- D. Slide: Clarifying the SSHWS -- E. Slide: Explaining the Concept of Alternative Hurricane Scales -- F. Slides: Introducing the TCSS -- G. Introducing the HHI -- H. Introducing the WSPDR -- I. Example of a Question Slide Used During Questions Comparing the Different Scales -- Appendix II Focus Group Script -- Appendix III Coded Answers to Focus Group Questions -- Appendix IV TCSS Final Storm Rating Adapted from Bloemendaal et al. 2021 -- References -- Chapter 11: A Climate Change Paradigm and Its Effects on Emergency Operations Center Decision-Making Process -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Materials and Methods -- 11.3 The Impact of Climate Change on Hurricanes -- 11.4 Hurricanes and Their Increasing Impacts -- 11.5 Cascading After Effects of Hurricane and Storm-Based Impacts -- 11.6 Decision-Making Within the Emergency Operations Center (EOC) -- 11.7 Conclusion -- References.
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9783031631856
Language:
English
