UID:
kobvindex_INT0002954
Umfang:
222 pages
,
illustrations (black and white)
,
23.5 x 15.5 cm
Ausgabe:
Reprint
ISBN:
9780201479485
,
9780805041606
,
0201479486
,
0805041605
Originaltitel:
Die Logik des Misslingens : strategisches Denken in komplexen Situationen
Inhalt:
"Why do we make mistakes? Are there certain errors common to failure, whether in a complex enterprise or daily life? In this truly indispensable book, Dietrich Dörner identifies what he calls the 'logic of failure'-certain tendencies in our patterns of thought that, while appropriate to an older, simpler world, prove disastrous for the complex world we live in now. Working with imaginative and often hilarious computer simulations, he analyzes the roots of catastrophe, showing city planners in the very act of creating gridlock and disaster, or public health authorities setting the scene for starvation. The Logic of Failure is a compass for intelligent planning and decision-making that can sharpen the skills of managers, policymakers and everyone involved in the daily challenge of getting from point A to point B."
Anmerkung:
EDITORIAL NOTE: "A Merloyd Lawrence Book". -- Title page
,
EDITORIAL NOTE: hardback edition published 1996 by Metropolitan Books, paperback edition published 1997 by Basic Books
,
Some examples. The lamentable fate of Tanaland ; The not-quite-so-lamentable fate of Greenvale ; Chernobyl in Tanaland -- The demands. Complexity ; Dynamics ; Intransparence ; Ignorance and mistaken hypotheses ; Steps in planning and action -- Setting goals. Requirements of goal setting ; General goals and "repair service" behavior ; Liberty, equality, and "voluntary conscription" -- Information and models. Reality, Models, and information ; Solving problems one at a time ; "It's the environment" ; Prime numbers and tourist traffic, or Moltke and forest fires ; The pale cast of thought -- Time sequences. Time and space ; Lily pads, grains of rice, and AIDS ; A premature all clear? ; Laymen and experts ; "Twenty-eight is a good number" ; Predators and prey ; The moths of Kuera -- Planning. "Go make yourself a plan ..." ; Rumpelstiltskin ; Learn by making mistakes? Not necessarily! -- So now what do we do?
,
LANGUAGE NOTE: translation from German: Die Logik des Misslingens : strategisches Denken in komplexen Situationen. Rowohlt, 1989
Sprache:
Englisch
