UID:
almafu_9958982577802883
Format:
1 online resource (335 pages) :
,
illustrations, maps, charts; digital, PDF file(s).
Edition:
1st ed.
ISBN:
3-631-75692-5
Series Statement:
CeGE-Schriften,
Content:
The inclusion of agricultural products in the current customs union is one of the potential future steps on the road to further political and economic integration between Turkey and the EU. This book examines the effects of such integration of agricultural markets on the Turkish agricultural sector as well as on consumers and the Turkish budget. Results are compared to alternative options for Turkish agricultural policy. To this aim, a detailed partial equilibrium model of the Turkish agricultural sector is developed. The complete liberalization of the agricultural sector is found to lead to significant welfare gains compared to the maintenance of current policies. It appears that including agricultural products in the customs union results in similar results with few but significant exemptions.
Note:
Cover -- List of Tables -- List of Graphs -- List of Figures -- Abbreviations -- Executive Summary -- 1 INTRODUCTION -- 2 AGRICULTURAL MARKETS AND POLICIES IN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION -- 2.1 Introductory Overview -- 2.2 Agricultural Markets and Product-Specific Support Policies -- 2.2.1 Cereals -- 2.2.2 Other Crops -- 2.2.3 Fruit and Vegetables -- 2.2.4 Meat -- 2.2.5 Eggs and Milk -- 2.3 Non-Product-Specific Agricultural Policies -- 3 DEVELOPMENT AND STATUS OF AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EUROPEAN UNION -- 3.1 Overview of Agricultural Trade between Turkey and the European Union -- 3.2 Agricultural Trade Preferences between Turkey and the European Union -- 3.2.1 EU Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from Turkey -- 3.2.2 Turkish Preferences Granted for Agricultural Products Originating from the EU -- 3.2.3 Preferential Trade Arrangements for Non-Annex I Products -- 4 FUTURE AGRICULTURAL TRADE RELATIONS BETWEEN TURKEY AND THE EU: THE POTENTIAL INCLUSION OF AGRICULTURE IN THE CUSTOMS UNION -- 4.1 Theoretical Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU -- 4.1.1 Comparative Static Effects -- 4.1.2 Dynamic Effects of Market Integration -- 4.2 Previous Analytical Work on the Integration of Agricultural Markets between Turkey and the EU -- 4.3 Institutional Aspects of a Customs Union in Agriculture between Turkey and the EU -- 4.3.1 Harmonization of Agricultural Price Policies and Prices -- 4.3.2 Harmonization of Other Agricultural Policies -- 4.3.3 WTO Aspects -- 4.3.3.1 Market Access -- 4.3.3.2 Export Competition -- 4.3.3.3 Domestic Support -- 5 QUALIFICATION AND STRUCTURE OF THE TURKISH AGRICULTURAL SECTOR MODEL FOR POLICY ANALYSIS -- 5.1 Potential Modeling Tools for the Analysis of the Extension of the Customs Union and Justification of the Chosen Model.
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5.2 Overview of the Turkish Agricultural Sector Model -- 5.3 Integration into the International Trade Environment -- 5.3.1 Basic Approach -- 5.3.2 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in the Base Situation -- 5.3.3 The Generation of Border Prices and the Link to the Domestic Price Level in Simulations -- 5.4 Farm Supply Model -- 5.4.1 Plant Products -- 5.4.1.1 Basic Mechanisms -- 5.4.1.2 Additional Irrigation Area -- 5.4.2 Animal Products -- 5.5 Feed Model -- 5.6 Processing Model -- 5.7 Demand Model -- 5.8 Welfare Calculations -- 5.8.1 Welfare Changes at Farm Level -- 5.8.2 Welfare Changes at the Consumer Level -- 5.8.3 Welfare Changes at the Level of the Processing Industry -- 5.8.4 Budgetary Effects -- 6 BEHAVIORAL PARAMETERS -- 6.1 Basic Approach -- 6.2 Supply Side -- 6.2.1 Plant Products -- 6.2.1.1 Determination of Own Price Elasticities and Cost Shares of Variable Inputs -- 6.2.1.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities -- 6.2.2 Animal Products -- 6.3 Demand Side -- 6.3.1 Estimation of Income Elasticities from Expenditure Survey Data -- 6.3.1.1 Basic Considerations on the Use of Income Elasticity Estimates Based on Cross-Section Expenditure Data for Agricultural Sector Models -- 6.3.1.2 Data Set -- 6.3.1.3 Estimation Method and Results -- 6.3.2 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Human Demand for Each Income Quintile -- 6.3.2.1 Determination of Income and Own Price Elasticities -- 6.3.2.2 Determination of Cross Price Elasticities -- 6.3.3 Development of Elasticity-Matrices of Feed Demand -- 6.3.4 Determination of Processing Demand Elasticities -- 6.4 Estimation of Price Transmission Elasticities for Animal Products -- 7 DATA SET FOR MODEL CALIBRATION -- 7.1 Supply, Trade, and Demand -- 7.1.1 Supply -- 7.1.1.1 Standard Approach -- 7.1.1.2 Specific Cases -- 7.1.2 Trade -- 7.1.3 Demand.
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7.1.3.1 Processing Demand, Seed Demand, and Waste -- 7.1.3.2 Feed Demand -- 7.1.3.3 Human Demand -- 7.2 Domestic Prices, Trade Prices, and Margins -- 7.2.1 Domestic Prices -- 7.2.2 Trade Prices -- 7.2.3 Margins -- 7.3 Base Period Policies -- 7.3.1 Tariffs -- 7.3.2 Export Subsidies -- 7.3.3 Producer Premiums -- 8 PROJECTION SCENARIOS -- 8.1 World Market Prices -- 8.2 Shifters at the Supply Side -- 8.3 Shifters at the Demand Side -- 8.4 Development of the Southeast Anatolian Irrigation Project -- 8.5 Policies and Price Formation under the Status Quo and the Liberalization Scenario -- 8.6 Policies and Price Formation under the CU Scenario -- 9 RESULTS OF POLICY SIMULATIONS -- 9.1 Effects on Agricultural Prices, Production, and Consumption -- 9.1.1 National Effects Aggregated per Product Group -- 9.1.2 National Effects per Product -- 9.1.3 Production Effects per Region and Consumption Effects per Income Quintile -- 9.2 Effects on Trade -- 9.3 Welfare Effects -- 9.3.1 Effects on Producer and Consumer Welfare -- 9.3.2 Effects on Budgetary Outlays and Revenue and Overall Welfare Effects -- 9.3.3 Effects on Welfare Distribution -- 9.3.3.1 Changes in Producer Surplus per Region -- 9.3.3.2 Change in Consumer Welfare per Income Group -- 9.4 Impact of Changes in Farmgate-Wholesale Price Margins and the Real Exchange Rate -- 10 CONCLUSIONS -- 10.1 Liberalization of the Agricultural Sector -- 10.2 Extension of the Customs Union with the EU to Cover Agricultural Products -- REFERENCES -- ANNEX -- to Chapter 3 Overview of Existing Preferences Granted by the EU for Agricultural Imports Originating in Turkey -- to Chapter 5 TURKSIM GAMS code -- to Chapter 6 Table A-6.1: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Area Allocation -- Tables A-6.2-10: Regional Price Elasticities of Area Allocation -- Tables A-6.11-19: Regional Price Elasticities of Animal Supply.
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Table A-6.20: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Human Demand -- Tables A-6.21-25: Compensated Price Elasticities of Human Demand per income quintile -- Tables A-6.26-30: Allen Substitution Elasticities of Feed Demand -- Tables A-6.31-35: Price Elasticities of Feed Demand -- to Chapter 7 Tables A-7.1-A-7.4 (Base data) -- to Chapter 8 Tables A-8.1-A-8.3 (price data for scenarios) -- to Chapter 9 Table A-9: Results per product -- other Map of Production Regions in Turkey.
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Also available in print form.
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In English with front matter in German.
Additional Edition:
Print version: ISBN 9783631519349
Language:
English
