Format:
1 online resource (212 pages)
ISBN:
9781400836802
Content:
Most theories of elections assume that voters and political actors are fully rational. While these formulations produce many insights, they also generate anomalies--most famously, about turnout. The rise of behavioral economics has posed new challenges to the premise of rationality. This groundbreaking book provides a behavioral theory of elections based on the notion that all actors--politicians as well as voters--are only boundedly rational. The theory posits learning via trial and error: actions that surpass an actor's aspiration level are more likely to be used in the future, while those that fall short are less likely to be tried later. Based on this idea of adaptation, the authors construct formal models of party competition, turnout, and voters' choices of candidates. These models predict substantial turnout levels, voters sorting into parties, and winning parties adopting centrist platforms. In multiparty elections, voters are able to coordinate vote choices on majority-preferred candidates, while all candidates garner significant vote shares. Overall, the behavioral theory and its models produce macroimplications consistent with the data on elections, and they use plausible microassumptions about the cognitive capacities of politicians and voters. A computational model accompanies the book and can be used as a tool for further research.
Content:
COVER -- CONTENTS -- ACKNOWLEDGMENTS -- CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 1.1 FRAMING AND REPRESENTATIONS -- 1.2 HEURISTICS -- 1.3 ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION AND BOUNDED RATIONALITY -- 1.4 PLAN OF THIS BOOK -- CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES -- 2.1 ABARS DEFINED -- 2.2 SOME IMPORTANT PROPERTIES OF ABARs -- 2.3 THE EVIDENTIAL STATUS OF ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTATION -- CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION -- 3.1 RELATED WORK -- 3.2 THE MODEL AND ITS IMPLICATIONS -- 3.3 INFORMED AND/OR SOPHISTICATED CHALLENGERS -- 3.4 ROBUSTNESS ISSUES -- 3.5 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT -- 4.1 THE MODEL -- 4.2 MAIN RESULTS -- 4.3 VARIATIONS IN PARTICIPATION -- 4.4 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE -- 5.1 THE MODEL -- 5.2 THE ENDOGENOUS EMERGENCE OF PARTY AFFILIATION -- 5.3 MISPERCEPTIONS -- 5.4 RETROSPECTION AND PROSPECTION COMBINED -- 5.5 VOTER SOPHISTICATION AND ELECTORAL OUTCOMES -- 5.6 INSTITUTIONS AND UNSOPHISTICATED RETROSPECTIVE VOTERS -- 5.7 CONCLUSIONS -- CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS -- 6.1 FULL COMPUTATIONAL MODEL FOR TWO PARTIES -- 6.2 SOME RESULTS OF THE BASIC INTEGRATED MODEL -- 6.3 THE CHOICES OF VOTERS -- 6.4 PARTY LOCATION -- 6.5 TURNOUT -- 6.6 NEW QUESTIONS -- 6.7 CONCLUSION -- CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.1 EXTENDING OUR RESULTS TO MULTIPLE PARTIES -- 7.2 MULTICANDIDATE COMPETITION AND DUVERGER'S LAW -- 7.3 THE MODEL AND SIMULATION RESULTS -- 7.4 AN INTUITION -- 7.5 ABARs AND DYNAMIC STABILITY -- 7.6 MODEL MEETS DATA -- CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS -- 8.1 TESTING THE THEORY -- 8.2 NORMATIVE CONSIDERATIONS: VOTER ERROR AND SYSTEMIC PERFORMANCE -- 8.3 EXTENSIONS -- APPENDIX A: PROOFS -- APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL -- B.1 OVERVIEW -- B.2 GRAPHICAL MODEL -- B.3 BATCH MODEL -- BIBLIOGRAPHY -- INDEX.
Note:
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources
,
COVER; CONTENTS; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; CHAPTER ONE: BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; CHAPTER TWO: ASPIRATION-BASED ADAPTIVE RULES; CHAPTER THREE: PARTY COMPETITION; CHAPTER FOUR: TURNOUT; CHAPTER FIVE: VOTER CHOICE; CHAPTER SIX: AN INTEGRATED MODEL OF TWO-PARTY ELECTIONS; CHAPTER SEVEN: ELECTIONS WITH MULTIPLE PARTIES; CHAPTER EIGHT: CONCLUSIONS BOUNDED RATIONALITY AND ELECTIONS; APPENDIX A: PROOFS; APPENDIX B: THE COMPUTATIONAL MODEL; BIBLIOGRAPHY; INDEX
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9780691135076
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 9780691135076
Additional Edition:
Druckausg. A behavioral theory of elections Princeton, NY [u.a.] : Princeton Univ. Press, 2011 ISBN 9780691135076
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9780691135069
Language:
English
Subjects:
Political Science
Keywords:
Wahl
;
Verhaltenspsychologie
URL:
Volltext
(lizenzpflichtig)
