Format:
Online-Ressource (605 p)
ISBN:
9780691012407
Content:
This book provides a solution to the ecological inference problem, which has plagued users of statistical methods for over seventy-five years: How can researchers reliably infer individual-level behavior from aggregate (ecological) data? In political science, this question arises when individual-level surveys are unavailable (for instance, local or comparative electoral politics), unreliable (racial politics), insufficient (political geography), or infeasible (political history). This ecological inference problem also confronts researchers in numerous areas of major significance in public pol
Note:
Description based upon print version of record
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Cover Page; Title Page; Copyright Page; Dedication Page; Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Preface; Part I: Introduction; 1 Qualitative Overview; 1.1 The Necessity of Ecological Inferences; 1.2 The Problem; 1.3 The Solution; 1.4 The Evidence; 1.5 The Method; 2 Formal Statement of the Problem; Part II: Catalog of Problems to Fix; 3 Aggregation Problems; 3.1 Goodman's Regression: A Definition; 3.2 The Indeterminacy Problem; 3.3 The Grouping Problem; 3.4 Equivalence of the Grouping and Indeterminacy Problems; 3.5 A Concluding Definition; 4 Non-Aggregation Problems
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4.1 Goodman Regression Model Problems4.2 Applying Goodman's Regression in 2 × 3 Tables; 4.3 Double Regression Problems; 4.4 Concluding Remarks; Part III: The Proposed Solution; 5 The Data: Generalizing the Method of Bounds; 5.1 Homogeneous Precincts: No Uncertainty; 5.2 Heterogeneous Precincts: Upper and Lower Bounds; 5.3 An Easy Visual Method for Computing Bounds; 6 The Model; 6.1 The Basic Model; 6.2 Model Interpretation; 7 Preliminary Estimation; 7.1 A Visual Introduction; 7.2 The Likelihood Function; 7.3 Parameterizations; 7.4 Optional Priors
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7.5 Summarizing Information about Estimated Parameters8 Calculating Quantities of Interest; 8.1 Simulation Is Easier than Analytical Derivation; 8.2 Precinct-Level Quantities; 8.3 District-Level Quantities; 8.4 Quantities of Interest from Larger Tables; 8.5 Other Quantities of Interest; 9 Model Extensions; 9.1 What Can Go Wrong?; 9.2 Avoiding Aggregation Bias; 9.3 Avoiding Distributional Problems; Part IV: Verification; 10 A Typical Application Described in Detail: Voter Registration by Race; 10.1 The Data; 10.2 Likelihood Estimation; 10.3 Computing Quantities of Interest
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11 Robustness to Aggregation Bias: Poverty Status by Sex11.1 Data and Notation; 11.2 Verifying the Existence of Aggregation Bias; 11.3 Fitting the Data; 11.4 Empirical Results; 12 Estimation without Information: Black Registration in Kentucky; 12.1 The Data; 12.2 Data Problems; 12.3 Fitting the Data; 12.4 Empirical Results; 13 Classic Ecological Inferences; 13.1 Voter Transitions; 13.2 Black Literacy in 1910; Part V: Generalizations and Concluding Suggestions; 14 Non-Ecological Aggregation Problems; 14.1 The Geographer's Modifiable Areal Unit Problem
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14.2 The Statistical Problem of Combining Survey and Aggregate Data14.3 The Econometric Problem of Aggregating Continuous Variables; 14.4 Concluding Remarks on Related Aggregation Research; 15 Ecological Inference in Larger Tables; 15.1 An Intuitive Approach; 15.2 Notation for a General Approach; 15.3 Generalized Bounds; 15.4 The Statistical Model; 15.5 Distributional Implications; 15.6 Calculating the Quantities of Interest; 15.7 Concluding Suggestions; 16 A Concluding Checklist; Part VI: Appendices; A Proof That All Discrepancies Are Equivalent; B Parameter Bounds
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B.1 Homogeneous Precincts
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9781400849208
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9780691012407
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe A Solution to the Ecological Inference Problem : Reconstructing Individual Behavior from Aggregate Data
Language:
English
Keywords:
Electronic books
