UID:
edoccha_9961047508002883
Format:
1 online resource (xiii, 214 pages)
Content:
Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are weather systems that substantially modulate the large-scale extratropical circulation. As they can amplify forecast errors and project them onto the Rossby wave pattern, they are of high relevance for numerical weather prediction. This work elaborates on two aspects of WCBs in the context of ensemble forecasts: (1) sensitivities of WCBs to the representation of initial condition and model uncertainties, and (2) the role of WCBs for forecast error growth.
Note:
Introduction -- 1 -- Background and Research Questions -- 5 -- Data and Methods -- 29 -- The impact of ensemble configuration on rapidly ascending air streams -- 55 -- Impacts through stochastic perturbations -- 105 -- The role of WCBs for forecast error growth -- 139 -- Conclusions -- 171 -- Appendix for Chapter3 -- 181 -- Appendix for Chapter4 -- 183 -- Appendix for Chapter5 -- 185 -- Appendix for Chapter6 -- 187 -- Bibliography -- 193 -- Acknowledgements -- 213 -- Copyright.
Additional Edition:
ISBN 1000150862
Language:
English
