UID:
kobvindex_DGP397577540
Format:
Online-Ressource (1 online resource (215 p.))
Edition:
Online-Ausg.
ISBN:
9780821399248
Series Statement:
Directions in Development
Content:
C1; C2; Contents; Foreword by Nigeria's Coordinating Minister for the Economy; Foreword by the World Bank; Acknowledgments; About the Editors; Abbreviations; Overview; Climate Risks to Vulnerable Sectors; Figure O.1 Average Air Surface Temperature, Nigeria, 1976-2065; A Decline in Rain-Fed Yields; Implications for GDP Growth and Trade; Figures; Map O.1 Projected Changes in Average Water Flows by Sub-basin, 2050 Compared to 1990; Challenges to Food Security; Figure O.2 Aggregate Percent Change in Crop Yields by 2050; Maps; Sustainable Land Management Options
Content:
Map O.2 Decline in Food Security by AESZ, 2050 Compared to 2000The Role of Irrigation; Map O.3 Integrated Risk for Livestock, 2050 Compared to 2000; The Climate-Smart Way; Figure O.3 Robust Rain-Fed Adaptation Strategies; The Case for Acting Now; Ten Ways to Enhance Climate Resilience by 2020; Table O.1 Recommendations for Action by 2020; Tables; Chapter 1 Introduction; References; Chapter 2 Background; Agriculture and Food Security; Boxes; Box 2.1 Documentation of Nigeria's Vulnerability to Climate Change; Box 2.2 Nigeria's Primary Crops
Content:
Map 2.1 Nigeria: Spatial Distribution of Farms by Classes, 2007Water Resource Management; Figure 2.1 Annual Hydroelectric Production in kWh and as a Share of Total Energy, 1971-2004; The Lagos Metropolitan Area; Notes; References; Chapter 3 Methodology of Analysis; Climate Projections and Uncertainty; Box 3.1 Sources and Quality of Data Used in the Analysis; Box 3.2 Climate Model Uncertainty; Crop Modeling; Table 3.1 GCMs Used to Perturb Regional Model Outputs; Table 3.2 Treatment of Climate Model Uncertainty across the Areas of Analysis; Food Security; Box 3.3 The CO2 Fertilization Effect
Content:
LivestockWater Resources; Macroeconomic Analysis; Table 3.3 Macroeconomic Assumptions, No Climate Change Reference Scenario; Table 3.4 Agro-ecological Zoning Used in the Economic and Crop Models; Annex 3A Data Sources; Table 3A.1 Data Used as Inputs to the Analysis; Note; References; Chapter 4 Climate Projections; Nigeria's Climate: Features and Trends; Projecting Change; Figure 4.1 Air Surface Temperatures Averaged, 1976-2065; Map 4.1 Distribution of Temperature Increase in 2050 Compared to 1990; Map 4.2 Air Surface Temperature Increases in 2056-65 Compared to 2001-10
Content:
Figure 4.2 Annual Precipitation over Nigeria, Averaged, 1976-2065Table 4.1 Risk Classes of Changes in Water Flows from Historical Averages; Note; References; Map 4.3 Distribution of Classes of Precipitation Changes; Chapter 5 Climate Change Impact Analysis; Crop Yields; Figure 5.1 Aggregate Percent Change in Crop Yields, 2050; Figure 5.2 Aggregate Percent Change in Crop Yields, 2020; Figure 5.3 Aggregate Percent Change in Crop Yields by AESZ, 2020 and 2050; Map 5.1 Changes in Rice Yields (Intermediate Model); Food Security; Livestock
Content:
Table 5.1 Mean Adequacy Ratio (MAR) by AESZ, Year, and Climate Model
Content:
If not addressed in time, climate change is expected to exacerbate Nigeria's currentvulnerability to weather swings and limit its ability to achieve and sustain the objectivesof Vision 20:2020 [as defined in http://www.npc.gov.ng /home/doc.aspx?mCatID=68253].The likely impacts include: A long-term reduction in crop yields of 20-30 percent Declining productivity of livestock, with adverse consequences on livelihoods Increase in food imports (up to 40 percent for rice long term) Worsening prospects for food security, particularly in the north and the southwest A long-term decline in GDP of up to
Note:
Description based upon print version of record
Additional Edition:
ISBN 9780821399231
Additional Edition:
Erscheint auch als Druck-Ausgabe ISBN 978-082-139-923-1
Language:
English
Keywords:
Electronic books
Author information:
Valentini, Riccardo 1959-
